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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Lakeside Lightning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-70
29-19 18-22 16-17 26-12
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game94.7
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game98.3
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2024
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Lakeside Lightning
05 Jul 2025
GERA108
LAKE88
20 Apr 2024
GERA89
LAKE70
27 May 2023
GERA101
LAKE86
22 May 2021
GERA60
LAKE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
115-96
115
96
+19
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H29/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
119-83
119
83
+36
H05/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H12/08
NBL1 West
Sutherland Sharks
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H18/08
NBL 1
Ipswich Force
#5
W
120-91
120
91
+29
H19/08
NBL 1
Willetton Tigers
#3
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H06/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A13/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A14/04
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
29-18
27-22
25-28
24-32
25-9
20-21
20-19
26-21
21-27
19-19
21-19
38-32
28-15
27-13
26-23
24-19
15-29
19-18
28-14
25-17
27-18
22-30
24-11
27-15
24-27
43-25
26-24
32-24
12-17
27-23
31-31
22-26
28-24
24-20
20-16
21-25
26-24
28-29
29-25
189.1Avg total
101.4Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.094.7194.7+5.3100%
Season at home (1)102.095.0197.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)99.094.5193.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)101.487.7189.1+13.7100%
Last 5 (5)103.690.2193.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)99.686.5186.0+13.183%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H24/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
96-101
96
101
-5
H01/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H08/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H14/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A15/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
102-75
102
75
+27
A21/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A28/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
101-107
101
107
-6
A28/03
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H06/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
81-105
81
105
-24
H12/04
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
29-15
12-19
22-26
29-24
22-24
26-24
19-29
27-31
34-32
14-17
15-15
28-19
30-26
18-25
22-24
24-16
23-22
24-18
12-29
28-27
21-13
25-20
28-15
22-26
17-25
17-17
25-30
24-26
12-29
27-23
38-29
20-19
25-22
23-21
12-21
11-32
19-22
23-26
28-25
183.0Avg total
90.1Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.398.3185.7-11.00%
Season at home (2)80.594.0174.5-13.50%
Season away (1)101.0107.0208.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)90.192.9183.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)89.093.6182.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.296.8183.1-10.615%
vs Similar (5)92.287.6179.8+4.680%
vs Weaker (5)93.481.2174.6+12.280%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
Geraldton BuccaneersLakeside Lightning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H05/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H12/08
NBL1 West
Sutherland Sharks
#4
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H18/08
NBL 1
Ipswich Force
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H19/08
NBL 1
Willetton Tigers
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A13/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/04
NBL1 West
95.5Avg total
50.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.243.394.5+7.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.640.591.1+10.176%-
Last 30 away (13)52.047.199.1+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)50.844.795.5+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.843.492.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)51.243.094.2+8.272%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H24/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H01/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H08/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H14/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A21/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/03
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H12/04
NBL1 West
94.7Avg total
47.1Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.246.992.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.647.194.7+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.446.689.0-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)47.147.694.7-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.288.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.249.092.3-5.830%-
vs Similar (5)47.644.692.2+3.060%-
vs Weaker (5)50.440.490.8+10.080%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
1
Lakeside Lightning wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AMandurah Magic104-103
13/04/24ASouth West Slammers94-86
06/04/24HWilletton Tigers102-95
19/08/23HIpswich Force120-91
18/08/23HSutherland Sharks98-76
12/08/23HJoondalup Wolves86-80
05/08/23HPerth Redbacks119-83
29/07/23HWilletton Tigers87-86
22/07/23AWilletton Tigers89-81
21/07/23AEast Perth Eagles115-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HMandurah Magic81-105
06/04/24HGoldfields Giants80-83
28/03/24AWilletton Tigers101-107
28/07/23APerth Redbacks81-98
21/07/23AMandurah Magic102-75
15/07/23AJoondalup Wolves83-85
14/07/23HWarwick Senators98-94
08/07/23HGeraldton Buccaneers90-95
01/07/23HRockingham Flames96-101
24/06/23HPerth Redbacks89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.0102.099.0
Allowed / game94.795.094.5
Point differential+5.3+7.0+4.5
Avg total194.7197.0193.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game87.380.5101.0
Allowed / game98.394.0107.0
Point differential-11.0-13.5-6.0
Avg total185.7174.5208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joondalup Wolves330100%93.777.7+16.0
2 Geraldton Buccaneers330100%100.094.7+5.3
3 Rockingham Flames65183%104.896.8+8.0
4 Willetton Tigers43175%104.096.0+8.0
5 Warwick Senators53260%96.096.2-0.2
6 Mandurah Magic63350%103.2100.7+2.5
7 Perry Lakes Hawks42250%90.890.5+0.2
8 Beeliar Boodjar42250%90.892.2-1.5
9 Goldfields Giants31233%81.787.0-5.3
10 East Perth Eagles41325%90.894.5-3.8
11 Kalamunda Eastern Suns41325%87.291.0-3.8
12 South West Slammers41325%85.591.2-5.8
13 Perth Redbacks51420%84.494.6-10.2
14 Lakeside Lightning3030%87.398.3-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers2918162689
Lakeside Lightning1922171270
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