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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Warwick Senators Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 81-78
26-18 14-15 18-22 23-23
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game85.8
Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆
Australia
vs
Warwick Senators
Australia
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game92.2
AustraliaNBL1 WestNBL1 West - Final
Other2025
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators
23 Aug 2025
GERA81
WARW78
09 Aug 2025
GERA84
WARW115
24 May 2025
GERA100
WARW87
08 Jun 2024
GERA106
WARW77
22 Apr 2023
GERA92
WARW82
06 Aug 2022
GERA89
WARW74
31 Jul 2021
GERA62
WARW90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Warwick Senators winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
108-88
108
88
+20
H05/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
115-75
115
75
+40
A12/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
118-98
118
98
+20
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
107-95
107
95
+12
H19/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H26/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A01/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
119-68
119
68
+51
A02/08
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
H09/08
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H15/08
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A17/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
30-20
24-23
30-22
29-18
37-14
28-14
21-29
26-23
32-22
32-30
28-23
24-23
27-26
29-27
27-19
37-21
22-20
32-22
28-33
30-24
27-15
26-20
22-26
25-22
38-16
27-12
29-18
20-26
28-26
21-36
15-27
18-19
30-14
24-17
21-20
23-28
27-24
23-14
26-14
193.7Avg total
106.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)104.385.8190.1+18.680%
Season at home (13)102.885.5188.4+17.385%
Season away (12)105.986.0191.9+19.975%
Last 10 (10)106.787.0193.7+19.790%
Last 5 (5)100.083.6183.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)100.7100.0200.7+0.767%
vs Weaker (27)104.385.6189.9+18.778%
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
A28/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
128-99
128
99
+29
H05/07
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
A12/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
98-118
98
118
-20
H13/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
125-96
125
96
+29
H18/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
130-79
130
79
+51
A19/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H26/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
115-80
115
80
+35
A01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
115-84
115
84
+31
A09/08
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
H16/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
23-20
16-22
36-31
40-19
32-25
29-25
27-30
26-28
28-20
29-22
27-30
23-26
22-32
30-32
23-28
32-11
35-32
29-17
29-36
33-20
34-22
33-20
30-17
17-21
30-22
24-29
30-15
32-23
27-18
36-16
20-23
26-20
26-28
36-21
27-15
29-19
23-23
24-33
23-22
207.5Avg total
112.7Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)109.592.2201.6+17.383%
Season at home (12)111.598.4209.9+13.183%
Season away (12)107.485.9193.3+21.583%
Last 10 (10)112.794.8207.5+17.980%
Last 5 (5)112.085.4197.4+26.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)97.696.1193.7+1.443%
vs Weaker (23)109.190.3199.4+18.887%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +10.1+10.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +10.1+10.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Geraldton BuccaneersWarwick Senators
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H05/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
66-32
66
32
+34
A12/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H19/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H26/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A01/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A02/08
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/08
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/08
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A17/08
NBL1 West
97.8Avg total
55.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.444.496.8+8.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.644.594.1+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)56.244.2100.4+11.969%-
Last 10 (10)55.442.497.8+13.080%-
Last 5 (5)53.242.896.0+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)53.747.0100.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker (27)52.344.196.4+8.267%-
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H05/07
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A12/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H13/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H18/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A19/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A09/08
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/08
NBL1 West
103.3Avg total
56.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.445.6101.0+9.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.645.1100.8+10.588%-
Last 30 away (14)55.146.2101.4+8.964%-
Last 10 (10)56.946.4103.3+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)55.443.298.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)49.749.699.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (23)57.144.4101.6+12.787%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
3
Warwick Senators wins
DateGameScore
09/08/25Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators84-115
13/07/25Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers98-118
24/05/25Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators100-87
08/06/24Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators106-77
04/05/24Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers87-96
18/06/23Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers95-94
22/04/23Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators92-82
06/08/22Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators89-74
11/06/22Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers88-95
31/07/21Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators62-90
Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/08/25AWilletton Tigers99-80
15/08/25HGoldfields Giants93-70
09/08/25HWarwick Senators84-115
02/08/25AEast Perth Eagles119-68
01/08/25APerth Redbacks105-85
26/07/25HSouth West Slammers119-96
19/07/25HBeeliar Boodjar107-95
13/07/25AWarwick Senators118-98
12/07/25AMandurah Magic115-75
05/07/25HLakeside Lightning108-88
Warwick Senatorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HRockingham Flames99-97
09/08/25AGeraldton Buccaneers115-84
01/08/25ABeeliar Boodjar115-80
26/07/25HJoondalup Wolves101-87
19/07/25ASouth West Slammers130-79
18/07/25HPerry Lakes Hawks125-96
13/07/25HGeraldton Buccaneers98-118
12/07/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns110-100
05/07/25HWilletton Tigers128-99
28/06/25ARockingham Flames106-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game104.3102.8105.9
Allowed / game85.885.586.0
Point differential+18.6+17.3+19.9
Avg total190.1188.4191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%85%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game109.5111.5107.4
Allowed / game92.298.485.9
Point differential+17.3+13.1+21.5
Avg total201.6209.9193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators2420483%109.592.2+17.3
2 Geraldton Buccaneers2520580%104.385.8+18.6
3 Rockingham Flames2520580%104.294.5+9.7
4 Willetton Tigers2417771%98.293.6+4.6
5 Joondalup Wolves2314961%94.989.8+5.1
6 Goldfields Giants24131154%93.192.0+1.1
7 Mandurah Magic23111248%94.498.6-4.1
8 East Perth Eagles24101442%90.095.8-5.8
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2291341%89.091.1-2.1
10 Lakeside Lightning2281436%90.394.0-3.7
11 Perry Lakes Hawks2271532%85.993.7-7.9
12 Beeliar Boodjar2261627%90.298.4-8.1
13 Perth Redbacks2261627%85.396.0-10.7
14 South West Slammers221215%82.7102.0-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers2614182381
Warwick Senators1815222378
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