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Warwick Senators vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-96
17-19 22-25 27-26 21-26
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2024
Meetings · Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers
13 Jul 2025
WARW98
GERA118
04 May 2024
WARW87
GERA96
18 Jun 2023
WARW95
GERA94
11 Jun 2022
WARW88
GERA95
18 Jul 2021
WARW81
GERA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Warwick Senators winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
87-110
87
110
-23
H21/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A29/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H28/03
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H05/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
104-88
104
88
+16
A06/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
96-118
96
118
-22
A13/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A19/04
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A20/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
124-78
124
78
+46
H27/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
107-83
107
83
+24
A03/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
24-32
24-23
18-22
26-19
27-31
11-23
21-20
27-14
28-23
21-23
21-23
18-28
26-23
25-28
24-13
28-18
28-23
36-20
12-27
12-27
34-28
35-33
15-30
26-30
23-21
28-29
13-20
21-26
29-16
24-36
16-22
35-27
28-17
38-18
23-16
31-26
25-25
30-17
21-15
191.8Avg total
97.3Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.192.8192.9+7.462%
Season at home (3)104.784.3189.0+20.3100%
Season away (5)97.497.8195.2-0.440%
Last 10 (10)97.394.5191.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)101.495.8197.2+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)89.5101.8191.2-12.225%
vs Similar (10)94.296.7190.9-2.540%
vs Weaker (16)98.085.1183.1+12.969%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H29/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
119-83
119
83
+36
H05/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H12/08
NBL1 West
Sutherland Sharks
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H18/08
NBL 1
Ipswich Force
#5
W
120-91
120
91
+29
H19/08
NBL 1
Willetton Tigers
#3
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H06/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A13/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A14/04
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H20/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
H27/04
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
21-27
19-19
21-19
38-32
28-15
27-13
26-23
24-19
15-29
19-18
28-14
25-17
27-18
22-30
24-11
27-15
24-27
43-25
26-24
32-24
12-17
27-23
31-31
22-26
28-24
24-20
20-16
21-25
26-24
28-29
29-25
29-19
18-22
16-17
26-12
28-21
27-29
19-19
16-21
185.9Avg total
99.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.089.6186.6+7.4100%
Season at home (3)95.786.3182.0+9.3100%
Season away (2)99.094.5193.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)99.586.4185.9+13.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.089.6186.6+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)99.587.3186.8+12.286%
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
Warwick SenatorsGeraldton Buccaneers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H21/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A29/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H28/03
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H05/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A06/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A13/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A19/04
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A20/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H27/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A03/05
NBL1 West
100.4Avg total
51.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.846.596.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.444.594.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (17)49.348.097.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)51.748.7100.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.848.6101.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.854.097.8-10.225%-
vs Similar (10)50.749.099.7+1.760%-
vs Weaker (16)50.743.193.8+7.669%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H05/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H12/08
NBL1 West
Sutherland Sharks
#4
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H18/08
NBL 1
Ipswich Force
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H19/08
NBL 1
Willetton Tigers
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A13/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/04
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H20/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/04
NBL1 West
94.9Avg total
49.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.244.095.2+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.541.692.2+8.982%-
Last 30 away (13)52.047.199.1+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)49.845.194.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.646.294.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)51.243.794.8+7.576%-
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Warwick Senators wins
3
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24APerry Lakes Hawks107-83
27/04/24HPerth Redbacks124-78
20/04/24AWilletton Tigers90-100
19/04/24AKalamunda Eastern Suns90-100
13/04/24ARockingham Flames96-118
06/04/24AEast Perth Eagles104-88
05/04/24HPerry Lakes Hawks93-92
28/03/24HEast Perth Eagles97-83
29/07/23AJoondalup Wolves85-93
21/07/23HRockingham Flames87-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HGoldfields Giants96-94 OT
20/04/24HLakeside Lightning89-70
14/04/24AMandurah Magic104-103
13/04/24ASouth West Slammers94-86
06/04/24HWilletton Tigers102-95
19/08/23HIpswich Force120-91
18/08/23HSutherland Sharks98-76
12/08/23HJoondalup Wolves86-80
05/08/23HPerth Redbacks119-83
29/07/23HWilletton Tigers87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game100.1104.797.4
Allowed / game92.884.397.8
Point differential+7.4+20.3-0.4
Avg total192.9189.0195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.095.799.0
Allowed / game89.686.394.5
Point differential+7.4+9.3+4.5
Avg total186.6182.0193.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joondalup Wolves550100%94.271.6+22.6
2 Geraldton Buccaneers550100%97.089.6+7.4
3 Willetton Tigers76186%100.790.7+10.0
4 Rockingham Flames76186%101.793.7+8.0
5 Warwick Senators85362%100.192.8+7.4
6 Beeliar Boodjar63350%88.588.8-0.3
7 Mandurah Magic84450%98.9100.6-1.8
8 Perry Lakes Hawks83538%87.995.2-7.4
9 Perth Redbacks83538%89.599.9-10.4
10 East Perth Eagles62433%90.789.0+1.7
11 Goldfields Giants62433%88.590.2-1.7
12 Lakeside Lightning72529%86.993.4-6.6
13 Kalamunda Eastern Suns71614%89.497.1-7.7
14 South West Slammers81712%81.891.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Warwick Senators1722272187
Geraldton Buccaneers1925262696
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