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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Warwick Senators Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-87
27-24 28-20 29-24 16-19
Position#1
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#2
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game84.4
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators
23 Aug 2025
GERA81
WARW78
09 Aug 2025
GERA84
WARW115
24 May 2025
GERA100
WARW87
08 Jun 2024
GERA106
WARW77
22 Apr 2023
GERA92
WARW82
06 Aug 2022
GERA89
WARW74
31 Jul 2021
GERA62
WARW90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Warwick Senators winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
106-100
106
100
+6
H27/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H03/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
107-111 OT
107
111
-4
A05/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A06/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A26/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
104-71
104
71
+33
A27/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H17/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
22-33
22-17
29-25
21-23
13-31
24-27
31-17
33-32
22-24
25-20
18-22
21-27
12-18
20-12
25-10
34-16
27-12
25-16
21-25
22-25
29-25
17-36
17-13
25-20
27-18
28-13
24-20
35-27
23-21
25-22
28-12
17-23
21-13
28-25
23-31
14-18
19-11
38-17
25-22
182.9Avg total
97.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.182.4179.5+14.862%
Season at home (4)100.877.8178.5+23.075%
Season away (4)93.587.0180.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)97.285.7182.9+11.560%
Last 5 (5)97.082.4179.4+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)94.580.5175.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (28)97.685.9183.5+11.779%
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A27/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
117-79
117
79
+38
A05/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
134-109
134
109
+25
H12/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
102-98
102
98
+4
A17/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
119-83
119
83
+36
H26/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
118-82
118
82
+36
A02/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H16/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
101-69
101
69
+32
A17/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-28
10-30
27-21
37-24
32-21
27-19
21-15
38-22
30-37
47-25
19-25
30-23
25-31
22-23
25-21
25-18
28-20
31-20
35-25
37-23
27-19
35-21
19-19
31-19
33-16
23-24
17-28
19-24
26-23
18-15
18-15
21-19
23-16
31-25
23-16
31-11
31-22
16-19
23-17
192.5Avg total
106.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)108.284.4192.7+23.8100%
Season at home (4)113.888.8202.5+25.0100%
Season away (5)103.881.0184.8+22.8100%
Last 10 (10)106.286.3192.5+19.990%
Last 5 (5)100.478.2178.6+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.8103.8192.5-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)96.099.4195.4-3.429%
vs Weaker (19)105.085.3190.3+19.784%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
Geraldton BuccaneersWarwick Senators
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H27/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H03/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A06/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A26/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A27/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H17/05
NBL1 West
91.2Avg total
47.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.044.693.6+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.143.891.9+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)50.145.495.5+4.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.291.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)49.540.590.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker (28)49.044.993.9+4.171%-
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A27/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A05/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H12/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A17/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H26/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A02/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A17/05
NBL1 West
101.5Avg total
57.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.846.499.2+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.544.598.1+9.077%-
Last 30 away (17)52.347.8100.1+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)57.544.0101.5+13.580%-
Last 5 (5)55.838.494.2+17.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.255.098.2-11.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)49.348.998.1+0.443%-
vs Weaker (19)56.243.699.8+12.584%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HPerry Lakes Hawks96-68
10/05/25HEast Perth Eagles89-92
03/05/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns111-82
27/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks104-71
26/04/25ARockingham Flames85-99
12/04/25HPerth Redbacks107-69
06/04/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns78-67
05/04/25AJoondalup Wolves107-111 OT
03/08/24HWilletton Tigers89-98
27/07/24HMandurah Magic106-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25APerth Redbacks101-69
16/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar98-76
09/05/25APerry Lakes Hawks81-77
03/05/25HMandurah Magic104-87
02/05/25AEast Perth Eagles118-82
26/04/25HPerth Redbacks119-83
17/04/25AJoondalup Wolves102-98
12/04/25HRockingham Flames134-109
05/04/25ALakeside Lightning117-79
27/07/24AGoldfields Giants88-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game97.1100.893.5
Allowed / game82.477.887.0
Point differential+14.8+23.0+6.5
Avg total179.5178.5180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game108.2113.8103.8
Allowed / game84.488.881.0
Point differential+23.8+25.0+22.8
Avg total192.7202.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators990100%108.284.4+23.8
2 Rockingham Flames98189%107.493.3+14.1
3 Goldfields Giants86275%96.286.5+9.8
4 Joondalup Wolves107370%101.593.1+8.4
5 Mandurah Magic96367%97.796.7+1.0
6 Geraldton Buccaneers85362%97.182.4+14.8
7 Willetton Tigers85362%93.987.4+6.5
8 Kalamunda Eastern Suns94544%81.182.0-0.9
9 East Perth Eagles83538%89.295.4-6.1
10 Perry Lakes Hawks83538%78.687.1-8.5
11 Perth Redbacks103730%80.894.9-14.1
12 Lakeside Lightning92722%85.296.0-10.8
13 Beeliar Boodjar91811%80.897.0-16.2
14 South West Slammers100100%82.8100.1-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers27282916100
Warwick Senators2420241987
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