Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 117-97

19-26 25-26 33-19 40-26

Position#1

Record10-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game101.7

Allowed / game84.1

Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆

Willetton Tigers

Position#4

Record12-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game94.4

Allowed / game87.4

NBL1 West

Other2025

Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Willetton Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

104-71

104

+33

A27/04

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

111-82

111

+29

H03/05

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

89-92

-3

H10/05

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

96-68

+28

H17/05

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

100-87

100

+13

H24/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

107-87

107

+20

A31/05

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

99-103 OT

103

-4

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

103-83

103

+20

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

103-70

103

+33

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

135-88

135

+47

A21/06

NBL1 West

25-20

27-18

28-13

24-20

35-27

23-21

25-22

28-12

17-23

21-13

28-25

23-31

14-18

19-11

38-17

25-22

27-24

28-20

29-24

16-19

28-27

34-24

23-26

22-10

20-22

29-27

20-13

19-26

22-14

25-35

24-15

32-19

26-16

24-20

30-23

23-11

37-18

39-23

31-22

28-25

187.8Avg total

104.7Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	101.7	84.1	185.8	+17.6	71%
Season at home (7)	101.3	78.7	180.0	+22.6	86%
Season away (7)	102.1	89.4	191.6	+12.7	57%
Last 10 (10)	104.7	83.1	187.8	+21.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	109.4	86.2	195.6	+23.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	96.3	82.7	179.0	+13.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	101.1	86.1	187.2	+15.0	78%

This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Willetton Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joondalup Wolves

105-101

105

101

A09/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

107-73

107

+34

H10/05

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

70-81

-11

H17/05

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#13

84-76

A24/05

NBL1 West

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

99-98

A31/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

103-99 OT

103

H01/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

108-82

108

+26

A07/06

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

83-82

H14/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

93-88

A20/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

95-87

H21/06

NBL1 West

32-22

24-28

20-30

29-21

24-23

32-17

20-16

31-17

28-21

16-20

15-19

11-21

32-19

21-20

17-18

14-19

24-25

30-28

25-23

20-22

22-20

27-29

13-20

26-19

21-22

33-17

21-16

33-27

21-19

31-19

15-29

16-15

21-16

18-15

31-31

23-26

20-28

26-21

21-15

28-23

181.4Avg total

94.7Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	94.4	87.4	181.8	+7.0	80%
Season at home (8)	91.6	87.1	178.8	+4.5	62%
Season away (7)	97.6	87.7	185.3	+9.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	94.7	86.7	181.4	+8.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	87.6	184.0	+8.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	91.8	96.6	188.4	-4.8	40%
vs Similar (11)	95.0	92.9	187.9	+2.1	55%
vs Weaker (14)	95.6	87.4	183.1	+8.2	86%

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Geraldton BuccaneersWilletton Tigers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	23.0	49.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	21.4	47.2	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.4	24.8	51.2	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	20.9	46.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	19.4	46.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	26.6	22.9	49.4	+3.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.7	48.7	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.5	47.3	+0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.4	23.8	50.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.8	24.6	49.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.8	24.8	50.6	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.6	22.4	47.0	+2.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	22.0	47.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.1	21.6	49.6	+6.5	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	21.2	48.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	25.8	56.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	29.0	17.7	46.7	+11.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.0	22.5	47.4	+2.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	22.5	47.2	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	21.8	46.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	23.1	48.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	21.4	47.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.2	47.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.0	23.2	47.2	+0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	25.2	21.4	46.6	+3.9	79%	-

Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

52-38

+14

A27/04

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

58-48

+10

H03/05

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

38-36

H10/05

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

33-29

H17/05

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

55-44

+11

H24/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

62-51

+11

A31/05

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

49-49

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

47-49

-2

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

50-36

+14

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

76-41

+35

A21/06

NBL1 West

94.1Avg total

52.0Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.5	45.0	96.5	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.9	43.8	92.6	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	54.5	46.4	100.9	+8.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.0	42.1	94.1	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.8	45.2	102.0	+11.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	51.3	41.7	93.0	+9.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	51.5	45.3	96.9	+6.2	74%	-

This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Willetton TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joondalup Wolves

56-50

A09/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

56-40

+16

H10/05

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

44-41

H17/05

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#13

53-39

+14

A24/05

NBL1 West

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

54-53

A31/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

49-49

H01/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

54-39

+15

A07/06

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

52-38

+14

H14/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

39-31

A20/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

46-49

-3

H21/06

NBL1 West

93.2Avg total

50.3Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.8	46.1	95.9	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	45.3	93.4	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	51.5	46.9	98.5	+4.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	42.9	93.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.2	89.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	49.8	48.6	98.4	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	49.8	48.0	97.8	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	49.8	43.8	93.6	+6.0	71%	-

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	19.7	43.9	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.8	20.2	46.1	+5.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	20.0	47.6	+7.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.8	45.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.3	19.5	43.7	+4.8	81%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.1	42.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	23.9	45.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	22.2	43.5	-0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.4	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	20.2	44.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.4	44.4	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	19.9	44.5	+4.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.5	43.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.6	20.3	44.8	+4.3	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.5	45.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	22.9	46.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.0	47.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.8	22.7	46.5	+1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	22.1	45.1	+0.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	39.9	88.3	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.8	40.7	90.4	+9.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.9	38.9	85.9	+8.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.6	39.5	91.1	+12.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	38.0	88.4	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	48.8	39.7	88.6	+9.1	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	44.5	88.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	42.1	86.2	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.8	46.9	91.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	42.7	85.6	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.0	45.8	84.8	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.2	44.9	90.1	+0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.9	43.6	89.5	+2.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geraldton Buccaneers wins

Willetton Tigers wins

Date	Game	Score
01/06/25	Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers	103-99 OT
03/08/24	Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers	89-98
06/04/24	Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers	102-95
29/07/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers	87-86
22/07/23	Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers	81-89
13/05/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers	120-98
18/06/22	Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers	102-77
23/04/22	Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers	64-97
13/08/21	Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers	103-42

Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/06/25	A	Goldfields Giants	135-88
14/06/25	H	Mandurah Magic	103-70
07/06/25	H	Joondalup Wolves	103-83
01/06/25	A	Willetton Tigers	99-103 OT
31/05/25	A	Lakeside Lightning	107-87
24/05/25	H	Warwick Senators	100-87
17/05/25	H	Perry Lakes Hawks	96-68
10/05/25	H	East Perth Eagles	89-92
03/05/25	H	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	111-82
27/04/25	A	Perry Lakes Hawks	104-71

Willetton Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/06/25	H	Mandurah Magic	95-87
20/06/25	A	Lakeside Lightning	93-88
14/06/25	H	East Perth Eagles	83-82
07/06/25	A	Goldfields Giants	108-82
01/06/25	H	Geraldton Buccaneers	103-99 OT
31/05/25	A	Beeliar Boodjar	99-98
24/05/25	A	Perth Redbacks	84-76
17/05/25	H	Goldfields Giants	70-81
10/05/25	H	Lakeside Lightning	107-73
09/05/25	A	Joondalup Wolves	105-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	101.7	101.3	102.1
Allowed / game	84.1	78.7	89.4
Point differential	+17.6	+22.6	+12.7
Avg total	185.8	180.0	191.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	86%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	29%

Willetton Tigers

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WLWWW	62%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	80%	62%	100%
Points / game	94.4	91.6	97.6
Allowed / game	87.4	87.1	87.7
Point differential	+7.0	+4.5	+9.9
Avg total	181.8	178.8	185.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	12%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rockingham Flames	15	13	2	87%	107.2	94.1	+13.1
2	Warwick Senators	14	12	2	86%	107.1	90.3	+16.9
3	Willetton Tigers	15	12	3	80%	94.4	87.4	+7.0
4	Geraldton Buccaneers	14	10	4	71%	101.7	84.1	+17.6
5	Joondalup Wolves	16	11	5	69%	97.4	91.2	+6.1
6	Goldfields Giants	15	8	7	53%	91.6	92.1	-0.5
7	East Perth Eagles	15	7	8	47%	93.2	93.5	-0.3
8	Mandurah Magic	15	7	8	47%	94.5	99.0	-4.5
9	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	14	6	8	43%	85.4	85.3	+0.1
10	Perry Lakes Hawks	15	6	9	40%	84.8	91.1	-6.3
11	Perth Redbacks	16	5	11	31%	83.8	94.1	-10.2
12	Lakeside Lightning	15	4	11	27%	86.5	94.5	-8.1
13	Beeliar Boodjar	16	3	13	19%	87.4	97.0	-9.6
14	South West Slammers	15	1	14	7%	80.9	98.9	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geraldton Buccaneers	19	25	33	40	117
Willetton Tigers	26	26	19	26	97

← all games of the day

Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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