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Sweden vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-87
16-22 15-26 22-20 19-19
Position#27
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#12
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game59.0
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Meetings · Sweden v Croatia
28 Feb 2022
SWED98
CROA105
29 Nov 2020
SWED72
CROA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#41
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A26/02
World Cup
Latvia
#27
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H28/06
World Cup
Turkey
#21
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A01/07
World Cup
Denmark
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A16/09
EuroBasket
Belarus
#19
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H29/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H21/02
EuroBasket
Belarus
#19
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A24/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A21/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H24/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A27/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
7-25
12-9
22-17
16-16
26-31
8-13
22-22
15-17
10-22
16-25
11-13
28-20
15-19
19-23
10-14
19-20
19-9
26-16
23-14
22-22
15-15
20-24
22-13
17-23
13-13
17-23
13-14
6-18
14-23
25-17
11-14
18-20
29-18
20-17
20-25
18-15
24-23
12-18
22-22
145.5Avg total
70.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.973.1147.0+0.743%
Season at home (3)84.371.0155.3+13.3100%
Season away (4)66.074.8140.8-8.80%
Last 10 (10)70.774.8145.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)71.675.4147.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.873.8140.6-7.022%
vs Similar (7)81.375.3156.6+6.071%
vs Weaker (3)73.776.0149.7-2.333%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H22/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A25/02
World Cup
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sweden
#27
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A24/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H27/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
20-24
23-29
10-16
16-24
17-24
15-18
17-18
19-20
27-22
15-25
19-29
14-21
19-16
15-17
10-20
27-25
18-23
24-11
7-25
17-19
8-22
21-20
25-18
13-18
22-15
16-17
17-19
18-6
23-14
17-25
14-11
18-21
20-14
9-16
22-8
24-7
21-17
12-19
22-19
144.7Avg total
70.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.359.0132.3+14.3100%
Season at home (2)75.559.0134.5+16.5100%
Season away (1)69.059.0128.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.774.0144.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)71.865.0136.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.178.9151.0-6.914%
vs Similar (6)76.275.2151.3+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.268.3145.6+8.967%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
SwedenCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#41
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A26/02
World Cup
Latvia
#27
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H28/06
World Cup
Turkey
#21
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A01/07
World Cup
Denmark
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/09
EuroBasket
Belarus
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/02
EuroBasket
Belarus
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A21/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/11
EuroBasket
75.1Avg total
35.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.638.876.4-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (9)40.638.078.6+2.644%-
Last 30 away (10)34.939.674.5-4.730%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.575.1-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.073.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.340.873.1-8.411%-
vs Similar (7)43.937.681.4+6.357%-
vs Weaker (3)38.736.074.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H22/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A25/02
World Cup
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sweden
#27
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H27/11
EuroBasket
73.7Avg total
37.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.974.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.734.071.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.976.8+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.073.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.937.474.3-0.450%-
vs Similar (6)40.338.278.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.632.872.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden wins
1
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
21/02/20Croatia v Sweden72-56
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/20ANetherlands76-78
24/02/20HTurkey87-80
21/02/20ACroatia56-72
24/02/19ABelarus60-73
21/02/19HDenmark79-74
29/11/18HBelarus87-59
16/09/18ADenmark72-76
01/07/18ATurkey52-77
28/06/18HLatvia72-82
26/02/18AUkraine66-77
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/20HTurkey79-62
24/02/20ANetherlands69-59
21/02/20HSweden72-56
12/07/19AOklahoma City Thunder68-69
10/07/19HDallas Mavericks71-79
09/07/19HOklahoma City Thunder76-84
07/07/19ABrooklyn Nets58-74
05/07/19ADetroit Pistons80-96
25/02/19AHungary65-84
22/02/19HPoland69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game73.984.366.0
Allowed / game73.171.074.8
Point differential+0.7+13.3-8.8
Avg total147.0155.3140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.375.569.0
Allowed / game59.059.059.0
Point differential+14.3+16.5+10.0
Avg total132.3134.5128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belgium770100%81.364.6+16.7
2 Croatia330100%73.359.0+14.3
3 Italy220100%85.072.5+12.5
4 Israel330100%85.773.7+12.0
5 Georgia330100%93.787.7+6.0
6 Hungary220100%69.567.5+2.0
7 France43175%79.869.8+10.0
8 Denmark1612475%80.675.9+4.8
9 Great Britain118373%78.770.3+8.5
10 Poland32167%80.768.3+12.3
11 Bosnia & Herzegovina32167%71.760.0+11.7
12 Russia32167%75.068.7+6.3
13 Slovenia32167%81.376.0+5.3
14 Greece32167%69.768.3+1.3
15 Montenegro32167%75.777.7-2.0
16 Romania117464%76.376.2+0.1
17 North Macedonia106460%75.973.3+2.6
18 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
19 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
20 Austria63350%79.278.8+0.3
21 Netherlands42250%70.070.8-0.8
22 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
23 Switzerland115645%81.782.6-0.9
24 Sweden73443%73.973.1+0.7
25 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
26 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
27 Serbia31233%86.781.3+5.3
28 Latvia31233%80.779.3+1.3
29 Ukraine31233%73.773.0+0.7
30 Spain31233%80.082.0-2.0
31 Lithuania31233%79.385.0-5.7
32 Finland31233%70.778.3-7.7
33 Estonia31233%72.781.0-8.3
34 Bulgaria31233%74.088.3-14.3
35 Germany41325%76.079.0-3.0
36 Turkey41325%70.077.2-7.2
37 Czech Republic41325%79.087.2-8.2
38 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden1615221972
Croatia2226201987
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