PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Germany vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 81-63
23-11 30-20 16-16 12-16
Position#2
Record10-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.2
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#28
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H18/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#22
W
94-80
94
80
+14
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A27/02
World Cup
China
#3
W
107-58
107
58
+49
112avg 111
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
110avg 111
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
29-14
19-26
18-29
31-27
26-34
26-10
24-25
24-27
27-19
20-19
20-31
19-14
17-9
18-26
28-20
22-19
22-17
25-16
25-28
24-16
10-25
14-20
27-20
21-19
19-12
17-14
16-21
17-22
29-21
23-19
18-19
25-12
24-11
32-18
26-17
26-20
23-25
38-33
14-23
173.2Avg total
91.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.071.2151.2+8.883%
Season at home (6)83.374.8158.2+8.583%
Season away (6)76.767.5144.2+9.283%
Last 10 (10)91.381.9173.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)90.879.8170.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.086.3161.3-11.317%
vs Similar (5)92.887.2180.0+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.975.1162.0+11.984%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Syria
#14
W
117-56
117
56
+61
no box
A15/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
no box
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
73-48
73
48
+25
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
96-61
96
61
+35
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
39-18
28-15
21-14
24-27
10-21
12-20
30-20
32-16
18-18
27-29
25-18
22-33
12-16
20-26
31-24
27-25
5-19
15-21
21-14
14-13
13-14
22-10
24-11
24-10
26-23
13-24
24-17
16-14
29-13
28-19
8-15
22-16
30-13
23-16
21-16
32-19
19-16
22-22
22-15
159.9Avg total
88.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.473.2149.6+3.258%
Season at home (6)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Season away (6)73.274.0147.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)88.071.9159.9+16.170%
Last 5 (5)86.463.2149.6+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.098.3170.3-26.30%
vs Similar (9)75.388.0163.3-12.711%
vs Weaker (15)89.364.4153.7+24.987%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
GermanyJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H18/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#22
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/02
World Cup
China
#3
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/08
DBB Supercup
82.7Avg total
45.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.279.4+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.936.779.6+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)41.237.979.1+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.382.7+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.581.7-1.350%-
vs Similar (5)43.844.888.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.333.976.2+8.489%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#14
W
68-27
68
27
+41
A15/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
World Cup
79.6Avg total
44.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.979.4-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.438.776.1-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)41.140.981.9+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.379.6+9.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.030.275.2+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.848.582.3-14.70%-
vs Similar (9)35.745.080.7-9.322%-
vs Weaker (15)44.033.577.5+10.567%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.020.5
70.7%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.5
36.7%
-43.5
🏀 Free throws30.024.0
80.0%
-24.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Japan wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/23ACanada112-113 OT
12/08/23HChina107-58
27/02/23AFinland87-81
24/02/23HSweden73-66
14/11/22ASlovenia75-81
11/11/22HFinland94-80
18/09/22HPoland82-69
16/09/22HSpain91-96
13/09/22HGreece107-96
10/09/22HMontenegro85-79
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HBahrain95-72
23/02/23HIran96-61
14/11/22AKazakhstan81-61
11/11/22ABahrain87-74
30/08/22HKazakhstan73-48
25/08/22AIran68-79
21/07/22AAustralia85-99
19/07/22HPhilippines102-81
17/07/22AIran76-88
15/07/22ASyria117-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game80.083.376.7
Allowed / game71.274.867.5
Point differential+8.8+8.5+9.2
Avg total151.2158.2144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game76.479.773.2
Allowed / game73.272.374.0
Point differential+3.2+7.3-0.8
Avg total149.6152.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1716194%85.570.3+15.2
3 Australia1312192%83.956.1+27.8
4 Canada1211192%97.768.4+29.2
5 South Sudan1211192%78.664.4+14.2
6 France1210283%81.161.8+19.2
7 Spain1210283%83.167.7+15.4
8 China1210283%79.966.0+13.9
9 Ivory Coast1210283%75.365.9+9.4
10 Germany1210283%80.071.2+8.8
11 New Zealand108280%92.668.9+23.7
12 Puerto Rico108280%80.876.6+4.2
13 Angola1310377%73.562.1+11.5
14 Dominican Republic1310377%82.572.5+9.9
15 Lithuania129375%76.871.0+5.8
16 Italy129375%86.782.9+3.8
17 Montenegro1712571%77.371.0+6.3
18 Lebanon139469%88.275.3+12.8
19 Finland139469%80.879.4+1.4
20 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
21 Venezuela128467%77.267.2+10.1
22 Egypt128467%73.463.8+9.6
23 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
24 Jordan128467%78.872.2+6.6
25 Serbia128467%80.977.4+3.5
26 Mexico117464%82.578.4+4.1
27 Greece117464%77.575.5+1.9
28 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
29 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
30 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
31 Japan127558%76.473.2+3.2
32 Slovenia127558%82.879.8+3.0
33 Georgia127558%80.479.1+1.3
34 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
35 Cape Verde116555%72.169.5+2.6
36 Philippines116555%80.377.7+2.5
37 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
38 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
39 Iran126650%71.368.7+2.7
40 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
41 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
42 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
43 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
44 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
45 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
46 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany2330161281
Japan1120161663
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.