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Germany W vs Sweden W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-76
27-16 17-11 14-22 31-27
Position#11
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game66.2
Germany W 🏆
vs
Sweden W
Position#4
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· Edel-optics.de Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
no box
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
84avg 63
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
76avg 63
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 63
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 63
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 63
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 63
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
54avg 63
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 63
A09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
25-11
21-14
14-17
23-27
21-16
21-20
17-13
16-15
19-16
10-25
17-28
22-18
19-23
14-22
16-21
22-18
19-19
20-16
19-18
21-23
20-20
17-17
20-10
17-20
21-23
17-15
6-22
16-19
20-16
17-10
11-13
19-25
144.8Avg total
70.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.766.2135.8+3.567%
Season at home (3)68.771.0139.7-2.367%
Season away (3)70.761.3132.0+9.367%
Last 10 (10)70.274.6144.8-4.460%
Last 5 (5)70.274.0144.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.774.1133.8-14.421%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (11)77.559.8137.4+17.791%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
78avg 71
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
59avg 71
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
99avg 71
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
70-51
70
51
+19
72avg 71
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-25
21-23
10-19
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
21-8
11-22
16-8
22-13
138.5Avg total
71.3Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.561.0136.5+14.5100%
Season at home (3)69.760.0129.7+9.7100%
Season away (3)81.362.0143.3+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)71.367.2138.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)77.860.8138.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (6)58.767.3126.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.057.3135.3+20.789%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Germany WSweden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A09/02
European Championship Women
73.6Avg total
36.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.767.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.935.168.1-2.229%-
Last 30 away (13)32.334.166.4-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.273.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.436.464.8-7.914%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (11)36.833.570.3+3.455%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
67.2Avg total
34.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)32.231.263.3+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.431.264.6+2.258%-
Last 30 away (11)30.831.262.0-0.455%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.367.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.467.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (6)27.230.557.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.828.667.3+10.278%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.516.8
43.6%
45.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.0
32.7%
30.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
72.4%14.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.2
45.5%
45.4%32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.8%
30.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
75.8%
72.4%15.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 19 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany W
WLWWLLWWWL
Sweden W
WWWWWWLLLL
#11
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
+19.5
89.0
Offensive rating
100.2
94.7
Defensive rating
80.7
45.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
25.0%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.7%
3-point %
34.8%
70.6%
Assist %
81.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 100.2Defence94.7 · 80.7Shooting45.6% · 48.4%3-point %32.7% · 34.8%Ball care25.0% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Germany W   ■ Sweden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany W wins
0
Sweden W wins
No previous meetings.
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AGreece W67-64
06/02/25AItaly W60-79
10/11/24HCzech Republic W74-67
07/11/24HGreece W79-76
07/08/24HFrance W71-84
04/08/24HUSA W68-87
01/08/24AJapan W75-64
29/07/24HBelgium W83-69
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HEstonia W70-51
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
14/11/21ALatvia W70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game69.768.770.7
Allowed / game66.271.061.3
Point differential+3.5-2.3+9.3
Avg total135.8139.7132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.569.781.3
Allowed / game61.060.062.0
Point differential+14.5+9.7+19.3
Avg total136.5129.7143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W880100%91.948.5+43.4
2 Spain W770100%75.957.0+18.9
3 Sweden W660100%75.561.0+14.5
4 Turkey W87188%81.960.5+21.4
5 Belgium W65183%87.755.8+31.8
6 Portugal W65183%62.254.3+7.8
7 Lithuania W86275%80.567.0+13.5
8 Slovenia W75271%78.367.0+11.3
9 Italy W75271%68.159.7+8.4
10 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
11 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
12 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
13 Germany W64267%69.766.2+3.5
14 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
15 Serbia W85362%75.556.4+19.1
16 Great Britain W74357%74.059.9+14.1
17 Montenegro W74357%69.664.4+5.1
18 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
19 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
20 Switzerland W84450%65.463.9+1.5
21 Czech Republic W73443%66.468.7-2.3
22 Greece W83538%68.471.4-3.0
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany W2717143189
Sweden W1611222776
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