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Gijon vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-74
16-16 24-23 20-14 18-21
Position#27
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game86.6
Gijon 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record12-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.0
SpainSegunda FEBRound 23
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gijon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Gijon
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.2
76.6▼ 0.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.6
94.2▲ 7.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🔥 Form · Toledo
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.7
74.2▼ 6.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.3
72.4▼ 3.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
GijonSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H03/01
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H10/01
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A18/01
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H31/01
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A08/02
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H14/02
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A22/02
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H14/03
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A21/03
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
19-16
18-11
10-23
16-23
17-11
22-15
16-27
20-19
24-18
27-13
16-23
14-16
22-16
16-15
18-16
23-22
13-20
15-15
16-15
22-22
12-30
22-23
28-18
18-23
19-32
19-18
21-25
15-26
22-25
19-22
12-27
19-22
25-24
14-25
21-20
21-23
14-19
16-24
24-23
156.5Avg total
74.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.286.6163.8-9.518%
Season at home (11)79.586.0165.5-6.527%
Season away (11)74.887.3162.1-12.59%
Last 10 (10)74.082.5156.5-8.520%
Last 5 (5)76.694.2170.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.087.5163.5-11.513%
vs Similar (6)83.284.2167.3-1.050%
vs Weaker (1)72.095.0167.0-23.00%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-31
0-0
43-38
0-0
41-28
0-0
38-39
0-0
35-40
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-33
0-0
61-45
24-21
19-15
26-15
16-17
0-0
37-38
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
42-30
0-0
34-49
17-25
13-15
22-11
15-14
24-19
16-17
10-23
24-16
150.2Avg total
78.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.276.0156.2+4.255%
Season at home (11)84.372.1156.4+12.282%
Season away (11)76.279.9156.1-3.727%
Last 10 (10)78.471.8150.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)74.272.4146.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.679.9154.4-5.329%
vs Similar (11)79.477.1156.5+2.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.569.6149.1+9.983%
This opponent (Gijon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
GijonToledo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/01
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/01
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/01
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H31/01
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/02
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H14/02
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A22/02
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/03
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/03
Segunda FEB
79.7Avg total
37.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.781.0-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.445.183.6-6.721%-
Last 30 away (16)36.442.478.8-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.779.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.449.286.6-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.643.780.3-7.217%-
vs Similar (6)40.042.782.7-2.750%-
vs Weaker (1)40.048.088.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H22/03
Segunda FEB
73.0Avg total
38.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.535.174.6+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)36.936.973.9+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.673.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.040.079.0-1.043%-
vs Similar (11)36.435.371.6+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.534.373.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Gijon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gijon wins
1
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Toledo v Gijon94-77
Gijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ACaceres75-89
14/03/26HCordoba79-91
08/03/26AClavijo68-100
22/02/26ACBC Valladolid77-98
14/02/26HMoron84-93
08/02/26ALogrono67-72
31/01/26HIraurgi SB70-63
18/01/26AJaen87-73
10/01/26HCaja 8771-76
03/01/26HPonferrada62-70
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HMoron74-75
15/03/26ALogrono67-65
15/03/26AAkron76-79
13/03/26HUMass77-67
12/03/26HBowling Green77-76
08/03/26HIraurgi SB85-68
07/03/26HBuffalo98-78
04/03/26AMiami (Ohio)72-74
28/02/26AOhio79-67
25/02/26HNorthern Illinois79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gijon
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game77.279.574.8
Allowed / game86.686.087.3
Point differential-9.5-6.5-12.5
Avg total163.8165.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%82%27%
Points / game80.284.376.2
Allowed / game76.072.179.9
Point differential+4.2+12.2-3.7
Avg total156.2156.4156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %14%9%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sant Antoni2217577%82.674.3+8.3
2 Castello2217577%84.976.6+8.3
3 Albacete2317674%83.478.3+5.1
4 CBC Valladolid2316770%85.377.7+7.5
5 Cordoba2316770%75.672.3+3.3
6 Caja 872215768%80.572.2+8.2
7 Gandia2315865%84.178.2+5.9
8 Spanish Basketball Academy2214864%81.477.3+4.1
9 Moron2314961%78.776.3+2.3
10 Caceres2213959%83.477.4+6.0
11 Iraurgi SB2213959%78.775.9+2.8
12 Ponferrada2213959%78.377.4+0.9
13 Lliria23131057%77.875.6+2.2
14 Toledo22121055%80.276.0+4.2
15 Clavijo22121055%76.573.6+2.9
16 Huesca22121055%82.882.3+0.5
17 CB Zaragoza22101245%83.881.0+2.8
18 CB Getafe23101343%81.181.9-0.8
19 Leonesa2291341%82.786.1-3.5
20 Sol Girones Bisbal2291341%73.077.8-4.8
21 Logrono2281436%73.677.3-3.6
22 Jaen2271532%73.582.2-8.7
23 Benicarlo2371630%74.780.3-5.6
24 Molina Basket2371630%75.383.6-8.3
25 Mataro2361726%74.582.9-8.4
26 Gijon2241818%77.286.6-9.5
27 Salou2341917%74.583.0-8.5
28 Valle de Egues2341917%74.787.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gijon1624201878
Toledo1623142174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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