PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Gimnasia vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-61
23-14 22-19 11-15 17-13
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game88.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gimnasia v Ferro
28 Oct 2026
GIMN73
FERR61
02 Jun 2026
GIMN88
FERR54
25 May 2026
GIMN79
FERR74
23 May 2026
GIMN81
FERR77
18 Jan 2026
GIMN88
FERR75
31 May 2025
GIMN64
FERR77
29 May 2025
GIMN76
FERR57
18 May 2025
GIMN74
FERR81
30 Mar 2024
GIMN87
FERR83
19 Nov 2022
GIMN86
FERR71
11 Feb 2022
GIMN90
FERR70
13 Jan 2021
GIMN82
FERR73
02 Feb 2020
GIMN88
FERR84
01 Nov 2019
GIMN91
FERR71
31 Jan 2019
GIMN81
FERR72
08 Nov 2018
GIMN62
FERR73
09 Jan 2018
GIMN71
FERR70
11 Nov 2017
GIMN90
FERR78
28 Feb 2017
GIMN94
FERR80
08 Oct 2016
GIMN82
FERR94
02 Dec 2015
GIMN82
FERR77
27 Sep 2015
GIMN87
FERR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.56
Implied61.0%
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.85
Implied39.0%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
76-59
76
59
+17
71avg 74
H12/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
60avg 74
H14/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
60-88
60
88
-28
47avg 74
A18/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
68-56
68
56
+12
60avg 74
H21/06
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
91avg 74
A29/09
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
57-62
57
62
-5
49avg 74
A30/09
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 74
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
73-89
73
89
-16
58avg 74
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 74
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 74
A12/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
25-14
16-12
21-15
19-16
22-17
14-18
11-15
9-20
21-22
21-21
9-25
18-10
20-21
13-12
17-13
26-12
26-15
21-18
19-29
14-17
15-13
6-14
22-18
21-16
30-19
17-28
24-23
22-20
18-18
14-29
19-22
20-18
17-19
16-16
25-19
19-21
18-24
29-23
21-14
150.2Avg total
75.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.877.5157.3+2.367%
Season at home (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Season away (5)77.475.8153.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)75.774.5150.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)77.478.2155.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.072.8148.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (10)86.378.4164.7+7.990%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 74
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 74
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
61avg 74
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 74
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 74
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 74
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 74
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 74
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 74
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 74
H21/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
21-18
20-18
22-22
18-20
19-24
20-14
17-21
22-21
23-14
11-25
18-10
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
162.2Avg total
79.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.288.0174.2-1.840%
Season at home (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season away (4)86.289.8176.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)79.183.1162.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)86.288.0174.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (29)79.181.2160.3-2.145%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155Actual: Under 155
Over 155
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under 155
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 160.25 · main lineActual: Under 160.25
Over 160.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 160.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165
Over 165
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 165
no forecast
@ 1.58
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Under
Marathon Be
1.58
Bet365
1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Gimnasia total 78.5Actual: Gimnasia under 78.5
Over 78.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under 78.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Gimnasia total 82.5 · main lineActual: Gimnasia under 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.71
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Gimnasia total 86.5Actual: Gimnasia under 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.37
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.39
Ferro total 73.5Actual: Ferro under 73.5
Over 73.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under 73.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.41
Ferro total 77.5 · main lineActual: Ferro under 77.5
Over 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Ferro total 81.5Actual: Ferro under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Gimnasia -7Actual: Gimnasia -7
GIMN -7
no forecast
@ 2.36
FERR +7
no forecast
@ 1.70
Best 5 market prices
GIMN
Pinnacle
2.36
Bet365
2.35
SBO
1.98
FERR
SBO
1.70
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Spread Gimnasia -4 · main lineActual: Gimnasia -4
GIMN -4
no forecast
@ 1.90
FERR +4
no forecast
@ 1.92
Best 5 market prices
GIMN
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.80
FERR
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Spread Gimnasia -1Actual: Gimnasia -1
GIMN -1
no forecast
@ 1.55
FERR +1
no forecast
@ 2.30
Best 5 market prices
GIMN
Bet365
1.55
FERR
Bet365
2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
GimnasiaFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/06
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A29/09
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A30/09
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/10
Liga A
74.4Avg total
39.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)41.037.078.0+4.060%33%
Last 30 at home (15)42.936.879.7+6.180%47%
Last 30 away (15)39.137.176.3+2.040%20%
Last 10 (10)39.435.074.4+4.460%20%
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.236.575.7+2.855%20%
vs Weaker (10)44.638.082.6+6.670%60%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
81.8Avg total
40.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)42.340.983.3+1.453%57%
Last 30 at home (10)45.338.683.9+6.770%60%
Last 30 away (20)40.942.183.0-1.245%55%
Last 10 (10)40.741.181.8-0.440%40%
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (29)41.841.182.9+0.752%55%
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%100%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Gimnasia win
GIMN win
no forecast
@ 1.60
FERR win
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Spread Gimnasia -2 · main lineActual: Gimnasia -2
GIMN -2
no forecast
@ 1.89
FERR +2
no forecast
@ 1.92
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Gimnasia 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Gimnasia over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Ferro 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Ferro under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: GIMN + total 79.5
GIMN & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
GIMN & under
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half: Draw + total 79.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: FERR + total 79.5
FERR & over
no forecast
@ 4.25
FERR & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Under 80
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Spread Gimnasia -3Actual: Gimnasia -3
GIMN -3
no forecast
@ 2.08
FERR +3
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Gimnasia -1Actual: Gimnasia -1
GIMN -1
no forecast
@ 1.74
FERR +1
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.73
Under
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Spread Gimnasia -4Actual: Gimnasia -4
GIMN -4
no forecast
@ 2.18
FERR +4
no forecast
@ 1.73
1st half Spread Gimnasia 0Actual: Gimnasia 0
GIMN 0
no forecast
@ 1.44
FERR 0
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Gimnasia (regulation)
GIMN
no forecast
@ 1.66
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
FERR
no forecast
@ 2.77

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GIMN win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
FERR win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GIMN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FERR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (GIMN:FERR): GIMN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.7
53.0%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.9
30.2%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.611.6
69.9%
72.7%11.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.2
56.0%
54.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.27.8
26.7%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
72.7%17.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WWLWLWWLLW
Ferro
WLLWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#11
+1.7
Net rating
-3.3
107.5
Offensive rating
109.1
105.8
Defensive rating
112.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.2%
3-point %
26.7%
50.7%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 109.1Defence105.8 · 112.4Shooting49.5% · 48.7%3-point %30.2% · 26.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Gimnasia wins
5
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
03/06/26Gimnasia v Ferro88-54
30/05/26Ferro v Gimnasia81-73
28/05/26Ferro v Gimnasia74-70
25/05/26Gimnasia v Ferro79-74
23/05/26Gimnasia v Ferro81-77
18/01/26Gimnasia v Ferro88-75
22/11/25Ferro v Gimnasia84-72
03/06/25Ferro v Gimnasia91-69
31/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro64-77
30/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro76-57
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/26AArgentino87-82
11/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy78-72
09/10/26ASan Lorenzo73-89
04/10/26HLa Union92-86
30/09/26APenarol57-62
29/09/26ALanus92-74
21/06/26HQuimsa68-56
18/06/26AQuimsa60-88
14/06/26HQuimsa74-77 OT
12/06/26HQuimsa76-59
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
28/05/26HGimnasia74-70
25/05/26AGimnasia74-79
23/05/26AGimnasia77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %67%100%60%
Points / game79.892.077.4
Allowed / game77.586.075.8
Point differential+2.3+6.0+1.6
Avg total157.3178.0153.2
Over 160.2567%100%60%
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game86.286.086.2
Allowed / game88.081.089.8
Point differential-1.8+5.0-3.5
Avg total174.2167.0176.0
Over 160.2580%100%75%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia64267%79.877.5+2.3
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Ferro52340%86.288.0-1.8
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Lanus72529%75.080.0-5.0
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin5050%87.498.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gimnasia2322111773
Ferro1419151361
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.