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Gimnasia vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:05
Final 81-77
23-14 18-21 18-20 22-22
Position#1
Record27-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#6
Record27-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.8
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Semi-finals· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gimnasia v Ferro
28 Oct 2026
GIMN73
FERR61
02 Jun 2026
GIMN88
FERR54
25 May 2026
GIMN79
FERR74
23 May 2026
GIMN81
FERR77
18 Jan 2026
GIMN88
FERR75
31 May 2025
GIMN64
FERR77
29 May 2025
GIMN76
FERR57
18 May 2025
GIMN74
FERR81
30 Mar 2024
GIMN87
FERR83
19 Nov 2022
GIMN86
FERR71
11 Feb 2022
GIMN90
FERR70
13 Jan 2021
GIMN82
FERR73
02 Feb 2020
GIMN88
FERR84
01 Nov 2019
GIMN91
FERR71
31 Jan 2019
GIMN81
FERR72
08 Nov 2018
GIMN62
FERR73
09 Jan 2018
GIMN71
FERR70
11 Nov 2017
GIMN90
FERR78
28 Feb 2017
GIMN94
FERR80
08 Oct 2016
GIMN82
FERR94
02 Dec 2015
GIMN82
FERR77
27 Sep 2015
GIMN87
FERR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A30/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H18/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H09/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H10/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A14/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A16/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H19/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
16-11
32-21
13-23
22-14
23-20
21-18
15-21
21-26
18-20
24-23
27-12
11-21
24-21
21-20
21-22
28-16
24-23
25-9
12-26
23-16
25-21
16-23
14-6
15-20
16-17
30-11
16-24
21-25
16-22
21-16
18-15
19-19
22-19
15-13
10-23
23-18
21-22
18-18
19-13
155.5Avg total
79.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.076.0157.0+5.066%
Season at home (21)82.475.1157.5+7.376%
Season away (20)79.577.0156.5+2.655%
Last 10 (10)79.975.6155.5+4.370%
Last 5 (5)75.672.2147.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.278.1158.3+2.267%
vs Weaker (12)85.877.5163.2+8.275%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A19/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-22
18-23
15-17
29-30
24-13
17-21
27-27
21-25
29-18
12-20
18-15
20-22
23-18
21-25
11-22
22-19
26-23
22-10
14-16
18-20
19-24
28-24
30-21
21-23
16-20
10-14
13-24
24-16
16-17
30-25
20-17
21-20
21-21
15-20
14-18
24-31
17-23
19-13
27-18
163.9Avg total
81.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)83.481.8165.2+1.560%
Season at home (22)86.679.6166.2+7.073%
Season away (23)80.384.0164.3-3.748%
Last 10 (10)81.982.0163.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)80.681.8162.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.0115.0188.0-42.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)80.681.4162.0-0.848%
vs Weaker (4)88.081.5169.5+6.575%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
GimnasiaFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A30/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H18/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H10/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A16/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/05
Liga A
79.7Avg total
40.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.579.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.981.7+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)41.037.178.1+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.379.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.880.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.838.677.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)45.238.483.7+6.875%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A19/05
Liga A
86.8Avg total
43.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.785.0+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.538.583.9+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)41.644.285.8-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.086.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.066.0106.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)42.341.083.2+1.356%-
vs Weaker (4)50.240.290.5+10.075%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.9
56.4%
53.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.7
31.9%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
71.5%13.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.6
57.5%
53.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
71.5%13.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WLLWWWLWWW
Ferro
WLWLWWLWWL
#1
League position
#6
+6.3
Net rating
-4.2
109.9
Offensive rating
110.2
103.6
Defensive rating
114.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
30.5%
53.8%
Assist %
53.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 110.2Defence103.6 · 114.4Shooting52.3% · 52.2%3-point %31.9% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gimnasia wins
6
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Gimnasia v Ferro88-75
22/11/25Ferro v Gimnasia84-72
03/06/25Ferro v Gimnasia91-69
31/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro64-77
30/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro76-57
27/05/25Ferro v Gimnasia75-92
25/05/25Ferro v Gimnasia77-67
18/05/25Gimnasia v Ferro74-81
11/01/25Ferro v Gimnasia88-84
31/03/24Gimnasia v Ferro87-83
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva81-71
16/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva66-74
14/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva76-78
10/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva77-72
09/05/26HIndependiente de Oliva78-66
18/04/26HArgentino89-74
12/04/26HInstituto de Cordoba77-84
09/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe90-81
30/03/26ASan Lorenzo81-73
28/03/26AObera TC84-83 OT
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/26ARegatas87-85
15/05/26HRegatas71-79
13/05/26HRegatas90-75
11/05/26ARegatas60-81
08/05/26ARegatas95-89
03/05/26APenarol84-68
01/05/26APenarol75-87
26/04/26HPenarol80-78
24/04/26HPenarol97-91
20/04/26APenarol80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW66%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %66%76%55%
Points / game81.082.479.5
Allowed / game76.075.177.0
Point differential+5.0+7.3+2.6
Avg total157.0157.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLWWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %60%73%48%
Points / game83.486.680.3
Allowed / game81.879.684.0
Point differential+1.5+7.0-3.7
Avg total165.2166.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)44% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa42281467%82.975.9+7.0
2 Gimnasia41271466%81.076.0+5.0
3 Boca Juniors43281565%82.578.7+3.8
4 Regatas41251661%79.976.7+3.2
5 Ferro45271860%83.481.8+1.5
6 Obera TC39231659%80.777.7+2.9
7 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
8 Independiente de Oliva45252056%85.883.9+1.9
9 Instituto de Cordoba46252154%76.976.2+0.8
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
16 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
17 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
18 Atenas40142635%76.881.5-4.7
19 Argentino40103025%74.787.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gimnasia2318182281
Ferro1421202277
← all games of the day
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