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Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-66
23-16 25-21 16-23 14-6
Position#1
Record24-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#8
Record23-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game84.9
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gimnasia v Independiente de Oliva
18 May 2026
GIMN81
INDE71
10 May 2026
GIMN77
INDE72
08 May 2026
GIMN78
INDE66
27 Jan 2026
GIMN91
INDE82
13 Oct 2024
GIMN97
INDE83
08 Apr 2024
GIMN89
INDE79
04 Feb 2023
GIMN84
INDE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
102-66
102
66
+36
A12/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H19/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H23/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A30/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H18/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-13
33-18
16-29
18-13
17-18
22-20
22-22
31-19
25-12
19-16
27-19
24-21
18-16
22-19
26-27
20-22
27-16
19-19
15-21
16-22
16-11
32-21
13-23
22-14
23-20
21-18
15-21
21-26
18-20
24-23
27-12
11-21
24-21
21-20
21-22
28-16
24-23
25-9
12-26
163.1Avg total
85.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.876.5158.3+5.267%
Season at home (18)83.076.0159.0+7.072%
Season away (18)80.577.1157.6+3.461%
Last 10 (10)85.977.2163.1+8.790%
Last 5 (5)84.279.0163.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.579.7162.2+2.767%
vs Weaker (15)85.775.1160.8+10.580%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H08/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
H11/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A13/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A16/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
102-110 OT
102
110
-8
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A25/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H03/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
31-26
20-27
29-23
20-23
22-24
19-20
25-31
19-15
25-35
27-15
19-25
20-19
28-26
24-26
14-21
29-25
19-19
10-12
19-17
13-25
31-12
21-26
28-30
31-21
23-20
27-27
21-23
14-27
23-17
13-25
12-17
24-12
14-27
17-20
28-19
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
183.6Avg total
90.5Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)87.584.9172.4+2.557%
Season at home (20)91.586.5178.0+5.170%
Season away (20)83.383.3166.7+0.045%
Last 10 (10)90.593.1183.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)89.291.4180.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.786.0171.7-0.356%
vs Weaker (11)89.183.5172.6+5.564%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
GimnasiaIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A12/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H23/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A30/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H18/04
Liga A
78.1Avg total
42.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.880.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.982.8+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.735.777.5+6.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.178.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.538.578.0+1.147%-
vs Weaker (15)45.137.282.3+7.980%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H08/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H11/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A25/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
90.3Avg total
45.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.788.0+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.743.489.1+2.258%-
Last 30 away (18)45.142.287.3+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.990.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)45.644.189.7+1.650%-
vs Weaker (11)45.040.985.9+4.155%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.021.2
60.6%
53.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.4
34.6%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.3
72.8%
71.5%12.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.8
54.5%
53.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.4
32.9%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
71.5%15.7
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WLWWWWWWWW
Independiente de Oliva
WWLWLWLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+11.9
Net rating
-3.3
117.7
Offensive rating
116.1
105.8
Defensive rating
119.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
32.9%
52.5%
Assist %
49.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 116.1Defence105.8 · 119.4Shooting56.5% · 52.2%3-point %34.6% · 32.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gimnasia wins
1
Independiente de Oliva wins
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HArgentino89-74
12/04/26HInstituto de Cordoba77-84
09/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe90-81
30/03/26ASan Lorenzo81-73
28/03/26AObera TC84-83 OT
23/03/26HPlatense81-78
19/03/26HAtenas90-83
12/03/26ASan Martin102-66
10/03/26ARegatas79-73
08/03/26ALa Union86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
01/05/26HLa Union83-78
27/04/26ALa Union62-86
25/04/26ALa Union102-91
19/04/26HQuimsa102-110 OT
16/04/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
13/04/26ABoca Juniors86-92
11/04/26HAtenas108-104 OT
08/04/26HPlatense86-98
28/03/26HPenarol102-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW72%
AwayWWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %67%72%61%
Points / game81.883.080.5
Allowed / game76.576.077.1
Point differential+5.2+7.0+3.4
Avg total158.3159.0157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game87.591.583.3
Allowed / game84.986.583.3
Point differential+2.5+5.1+0.0
Avg total172.3178.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (10)40% (5)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa36241267%83.376.4+6.9
2 Gimnasia36241267%81.876.5+5.2
3 Boca Juniors39251464%82.478.8+3.6
4 Obera TC36231364%81.277.0+4.1
5 Regatas37231462%79.976.7+3.2
6 Ferro41251661%84.082.0+2.0
7 Independiente de Oliva40231757%87.584.9+2.5
8 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
9 Instituto de Cordoba41231856%77.675.9+1.7
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Atenas38142437%77.581.9-4.4
16 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
17 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
18 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
19 Argentino3883021%74.788.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gimnasia2325161478
Independiente de Oliva162123666
← all games of the day
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