Gladsaxe will host Holbaek-Stenhus on 4 November 2026 in the Basketligaen, with the model favouring Gladsaxe at 63% to 37% for Holbaek-Stenhus, a game the Pythia predicts will end 86-82 and total 167.5 points. Gladsaxe, 2-6 overall, averages 77.9 points and concedes 90.0, while at home they are 0-4, 69.2 points and 89.0 allowed, and their last five were 1-4 with a loss to Randers 80-110, a loss to Team FOG Naestved 67-99 and a win over Vejen 89-72. Holbaek-Stenhus, 3-5 overall, scores 76.1 and allows 89.1, and on the road they are 1-3, 70.5 points and 91.0 allowed, with a last-five record of 3-2 that includes a loss to Bakken Bears 75-105, a win over Vaerlose 68-64 and a loss to Horsens 83-97. The spread is -2.0 with a 59% chance of Gladsaxe covering, the total line is 168.0 with a 48% over probability, and a 5% overtime likelihood.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.9 | 90.0 | 167.9 | -12.1 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 69.2 | 89.0 | 158.2 | -19.8 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 86.5 | 91.0 | 177.5 | -4.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (8) | 77.9 | 90.0 | 167.9 | -12.1 | 25% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.2 | 97.0 | 173.2 | -20.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 70.8 | 98.0 | 168.8 | -27.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 83.5 | 80.0 | 163.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 102.0 | 70.0 | 172.0 | +32.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 76.1 | 89.1 | 165.2 | -13.0 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.8 | 87.2 | 169.0 | -5.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 70.5 | 91.0 | 161.5 | -20.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.5 | 88.5 | 168.0 | -9.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 82.0 | 160.8 | -3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 76.2 | 100.3 | 176.5 | -24.1 | 7% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 86.8 | 83.1 | 169.9 | +3.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 80.0 | 77.0 | 157.0 | +3.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (8) | 36.5 | 46.8 | 83.2 | -10.2 | 12% | 62% |
| Last 30 at home (4) | 31.8 | 45.2 | 77.0 | -13.5 | 0% | 25% |
| Last 30 away (4) | 41.2 | 48.2 | 89.5 | -7.0 | 25% | 100% |
| Last 10 (8) | 36.5 | 46.8 | 83.2 | -10.2 | 12% | 62% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 51.2 | 86.0 | -16.4 | 0% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 32.2 | 51.4 | 83.6 | -19.2 | 0% | 60% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 38.5 | 42.5 | 81.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 54.0 | 32.0 | 86.0 | +22.0 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 45.3 | 85.6 | -5.0 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.8 | 45.4 | 86.2 | -4.6 | 33% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.8 | 45.3 | 85.1 | -5.5 | 33% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 46.2 | 86.3 | -6.1 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 42.0 | 79.8 | -4.2 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 40.0 | 50.5 | 90.5 | -10.5 | 20% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 40.9 | 40.3 | 81.1 | +0.6 | 50% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 37.0 | 38.0 | 75.0 | -1.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladsaxe +8.5 | 85.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +18.4pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +3 | 71.6% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Push |
| Gladsaxe +4 | 74.7% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +15.3pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +3.5 | 72.4% | 1.47 | 1.61 | 1.51 | 1.28 | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +7.5 | 83.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +4.5 | 75.5% | 1.36 | 1.43 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 88.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.26 | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +5.5 | 78.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 75.5 | 72.7% | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.30 | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +12.5 | 77.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +11.5 | 75.1% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +6.5 | 80.9% | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 74.5 | 75.8% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +16.5 | 95.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 75.5 | 83.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +10.5 | 72.2% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 73.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +23.5 | 95.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 77.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +13.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +21.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 70.0% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 87.5 | 71.0% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.36 | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 79.5 | 72.5% | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 71.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 73.5 | 78.8% | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 72.5 | 81.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe +11.5 | 90.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 96.5 | 85.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 99.5 | 95.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 70.5 | 86.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 74.5 | 86.1% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 100.5 | 92.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 94.5 | 80.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 71.5 | 84.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 72.5 | 90.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 101.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 93.5 | 86.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 100.5 | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 97.5 | 93.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +18.5 | 89.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 95.5 | 90.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 98.5 | 89.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 98.5 | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 78.5 | 75.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 89.5 | 77.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 99.5 | 91.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe over 76.5 | 81.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 92.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 83.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | - |
| Gladsaxe under 97.5 | 87.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 93.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 92.5 | 74.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 89.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 96.5 | 91.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 72.1% | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 91.5 | 82.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 92.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 95.5 | 83.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 94.5 | 88.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 81.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 92.5 | 84.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 88.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 74.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 81.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 88.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 73.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 93.5 | 77.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 87.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 90.5 | 79.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Gladsaxe under 91.5 | 71.8% | 1.27 | 1.31 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 80.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 71.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.5 | 20.0 | 55.2% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.5 | 8.0 | 31.2% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 13.9 | 68.0% | 13.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.4 | 21.5 | 55.2% | 43.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.1 | 31.2% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 11.8 | 68.0% | 11.8 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Randers | 80-110 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Team FOG Naestved | 67-99 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Vejen | 89-72 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Svendborg | 70-92 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Bakken Bears | 75-112 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Copenhagen | 62-77 |
| 23/09/26 | A | BMS Herlev | 102-70 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Vaerlose | 78-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Bakken Bears | 75-105 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Vaerlose | 68-64 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Horsens | 83-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Bears Academy | 88-67 |
| 01/10/26 | H | BMS Herlev | 80-77 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Svendborg | 75-86 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Team FOG Naestved | 56-117 |
| 17/09/26 | H | Randers | 84-100 |
| 23/04/26 | H | Vaerlose | 83-89 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Vejen | 103-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 25% |
| Home | LLLL | 0% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.9 | 69.2 | 86.5 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 89.0 | 91.0 |
| Point differential | -12.1 | -19.8 | -4.5 |
| Avg total | 167.9 | 158.2 | 177.5 |
| Over 164.75 | 62% | 50% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 38% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Points / game | 76.1 | 81.8 | 70.5 |
| Allowed / game | 89.1 | 87.2 | 91.0 |
| Point differential | -13.0 | -5.5 | -20.5 |
| Avg total | 165.2 | 169.0 | 161.5 |
| Over 164.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 102.8 | 69.3 | +33.4 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 76.1 | +29.4 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 88.2 | 79.9 | +8.3 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.1 | 82.5 | +8.6 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 95.2 | 85.8 | +9.5 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.2 | 79.8 | +3.5 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.1 | 89.1 | -13.0 | |
| 8 | Gladsaxe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.9 | 90.0 | -12.1 |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.0 | 95.5 | -14.5 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 80.1 | 92.3 | -12.2 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 78.1 | 92.9 | -14.8 | |
| 12 | BMS Herlev | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 75.9 | 97.6 | -21.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladsaxe | 18 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 81 |
| 24 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 84 |
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