PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-68
10-11 14-29 19-17 21-11
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game94.8
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Holbaek-Stenhus 🏆
Denmark
Position#7
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game90.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus
24 Oct 2026
VAER64
HOLB68
28 Mar 2026
VAER87
HOLB80
29 Oct 2025
VAER87
HOLB83
31 Mar 2025
VAER100
HOLB98
07 Dec 2024
VAER88
HOLB90
17 Nov 2024
VAER100
HOLB86
15 Feb 2024
VAER99
HOLB80
12 Apr 2023
VAER104
HOLB60
16 Feb 2023
VAER90
HOLB68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 72
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 72
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
87avg 72
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 72
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 72
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 72
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 72
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 72
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 72
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 72
H18/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-24
24-22
28-25
23-27
14-27
19-21
18-22
24-12
23-23
19-26
23-22
15-22
17-28
25-15
13-26
24-23
18-11
17-28
29-16
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
174.7Avg total
81.7Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.394.8176.2-13.517%
Season at home (2)83.5106.0189.5-22.50%
Season away (4)80.289.2169.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)81.793.0174.7-11.330%
Last 5 (5)80.098.2178.2-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.897.8172.7-23.08%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.584.6170.2+0.971%
vs Weaker (1)74.097.0171.0-23.00%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
L
86-98
86
98
-12
69avg 70
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
85-101
85
101
-16
75avg 70
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 70
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 70
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
67avg 70
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 70
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 70
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 70
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
88-67
88
67
+21
86avg 70
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
83-97
83
97
-14
71avg 70
A15/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-27
28-17
17-33
20-23
32-21
18-27
15-30
24-25
19-25
29-20
31-13
12-24
23-23
26-19
22-23
22-21
32-33
12-26
18-20
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
29-20
20-22
16-22
10-22
21-26
16-12
25-16
18-23
15-14
24-21
21-14
28-18
18-23
24-43
0-0
41-31
173.8Avg total
82.3Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.790.7168.3-13.033%
Season at home (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
Season away (3)71.3100.0171.3-28.70%
Last 10 (10)82.391.5173.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)76.488.8165.2-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.999.8176.7-22.86%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.284.5172.8+3.746%
vs Weaker (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
VaerloseHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
84.1Avg total
40.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.045.684.6-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.646.384.9-7.729%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.984.4-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.784.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.284.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.949.085.9-12.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.642.683.3-2.053%-
vs Weaker (1)37.054.091.0-17.00%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A15/10
Basketligaen
90.6Avg total
42.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.946.487.3-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.346.287.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.687.1-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.348.390.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.087.6-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.250.992.1-9.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.941.582.5-0.646%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
55.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.8
28.9%
31.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.515.5
66.0%
68.0%15.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.8
52.8%
55.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
68.0%12.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLLLWLWLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
LWWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#7
-12.1
Net rating
-9.9
87.1
Offensive rating
89.3
99.2
Defensive rating
99.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
33.9%
61.6%
Assist %
43.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 89.3Defence99.2 · 99.2Shooting49.7% · 52.0%3-point %28.9% · 33.9%Ball care17.6% · 19.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Vaerlose wins
3
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateGameScore
23/04/26Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose83-89
28/03/26Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus87-80
29/10/25Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus87-83
23/09/25Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose81-88
31/03/25Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
03/03/25Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose98-77
13/02/25Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose104-82
07/12/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus88-90
17/11/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus100-86
15/02/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus99-80
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
19/09/26AGladsaxe88-78
28/04/26HBears Academy70-91
23/04/26AHolbaek-Stenhus89-83
19/04/26HBMS Herlev74-97
12/04/26HAmager96-90
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26AHorsens83-97
10/10/26HBears Academy88-67
01/10/26HBMS Herlev80-77
26/09/26ASvendborg75-86
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117
17/09/26HRanders84-100
23/04/26HVaerlose83-89
17/04/26AVejen103-83
12/04/26HBears Academy85-101
08/04/26AAmager86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game81.383.580.2
Allowed / game94.8106.089.2
Point differential-13.5-22.5-9.0
Avg total176.2189.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game77.784.071.3
Allowed / game90.781.3100.0
Point differential-13.0+2.7-28.7
Avg total168.3165.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%103.069.2+33.8
2 Bakken Bears660100%105.776.3+29.3
3 Svendborg75271%89.480.3+9.1
4 Horsens75271%85.681.3+4.3
5 Copenhagen53260%75.674.4+1.2
6 Randers74357%93.186.6+6.6
7 Gladsaxe62433%79.385.2-5.8
8 Holbaek-Stenhus62433%77.790.7-13.0
9 Vejen62433%81.094.2-13.2
10 Vaerlose61517%81.394.8-13.5
11 Bears Academy71614%77.090.0-13.0
12 BMS Herlev71614%73.996.9-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1014192164
Holbaek-Stenhus1129171168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.