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Goes vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 86-102
20-21 27-29 17-35 22-17
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game90.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Goes v Nacional
23 Oct 2025
GOES86
NACI102
13 Nov 2023
GOES92
NACI98
16 Feb 2023
GOES95
NACI79
21 Mar 2022
GOES87
NACI80
12 Dec 2019
GOES86
NACI85
20 Dec 2018
GOES78
NACI95
09 Mar 2018
GOES82
NACI81
30 Jan 2018
GOES81
NACI73
28 Oct 2013
GOES80
NACI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
84avg 72
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 72
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 72
A18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-10
21-16
14-20
20-26
24-23
25-27
18-16
–
–
–
–
24-23
17-18
17-19
15-19
26-27
16-15
22-24
21-25
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
24-25
23-27
20-21
24-29
18-16
22-26
20-24
22-23
19-25
17-19
16-31
22-22
124.9Avg total
59.2Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.396.0178.3-13.70%
Season at home (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Season away (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)59.265.7124.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)49.465.6115.0-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.285.6160.8-10.412%
vs Similar (10)70.774.2144.9-3.540%
vs Weaker (3)67.348.3115.7+19.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
102-77
102
77
+25
88avg 83
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
58avg 83
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 83
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 83
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
96avg 83
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 83
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 83
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
43avg 83
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-106
117
106
+11
117avg 83
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 83
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
26-13
23-23
30-16
22-23
12-21
15-16
26-24
14-20
25-25
18-17
16-20
22-13
22-22
18-21
10-24
33-21
21-26
24-20
25-31
35-36
18-24
18-27
26-9
18-17
22-16
15-20
24-24
13-17
17-26
15-20
17-24
32-23
23-24
34-27
28-32
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
172.8Avg total
86.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.090.7177.7-3.767%
Season at home (2)72.083.0155.0-11.050%
Season away (1)117.0106.0223.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.286.6172.8-0.460%
Last 5 (5)87.489.0176.4-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)91.880.2172.0+11.672%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
GoesNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/10
Liga Uruguaya
85.1Avg total
42.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.644.184.7-3.426%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.641.481.0-1.817%-
Last 30 away (15)41.546.287.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (7)42.143.085.1-0.914%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.285.4-3.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.746.185.8-6.419%-
vs Similar (9)41.141.882.9-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)46.038.584.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
89.4Avg total
44.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.687.3+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.840.285.0+4.663%-
Last 30 away (11)47.443.991.3+3.555%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.689.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.341.587.8+4.862%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.5
34.8%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.2
72.5%
70.9%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.8
49.4%
53.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.3
32.0%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.613.9
70.9%
70.9%13.9
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goes
LLLLLLLWLW
Nacional
WWLWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#2
-3.4
Net rating
-0.4
109.4
Offensive rating
108.9
112.8
Defensive rating
109.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
32.0%
56.2%
Assist %
54.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 108.9Defence112.8 · 109.3Shooting53.6% · 48.8%3-point %34.8% · 32.0%Ball care17.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Goes   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Goes wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Nacional v Goes111-61
13/11/23Goes v Nacional92-98
16/02/23Goes v Nacional95-79
09/12/22Nacional v Goes100-75
22/03/22Goes v Nacional87-80
18/12/21Nacional v Goes81-84
17/04/21Nacional v Goes66-78
13/12/19Goes v Nacional86-85
15/10/19Nacional v Goes76-69
20/12/18Goes v Nacional78-95
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AUrunday74-97
14/10/25HBigua82-89
10/10/25ADefensor91-102
06/04/24AMalvin0-20
04/04/24HTrouville0-20
02/04/24ABigua85-91
29/03/24HUrupan73-79
26/03/24HLarre Borges20-0
23/03/24HMalvin87-92
19/03/24ATrouville80-67
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HAguada82-79
16/10/25AWelcome117-106
14/10/25HPenarol62-87
02/06/25HAguada79-77
31/05/25AAguada97-96
28/05/25HAguada103-98
26/05/25AAguada72-80
23/05/25HAguada73-82
20/05/25AAguada75-84
17/05/25HAguada102-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.382.082.5
Allowed / game96.089.099.5
Point differential-13.7-7.0-17.0
Avg total178.3171.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.072.0117.0
Allowed / game90.783.0106.0
Point differential-3.7-11.0+11.0
Avg total177.7155.0223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol440100%92.070.8+21.2
2 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
3 Bigua43175%87.884.0+3.8
4 Aguada32167%95.791.3+4.3
5 Malvin32167%86.387.0-0.7
6 Nacional32167%87.090.7-3.7
7 Urunday42250%101.890.5+11.2
8 Union Atletica42250%82.081.5+0.5
9 Hebraica y Macabi42250%80.584.8-4.2
10 Cordon4040%80.292.8-12.5
11 Goes3030%82.396.0-13.7
12 Welcome4040%85.2102.2-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goes2027172286
Nacional21293517102
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