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Nacional vs Goes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-61
32-13 31-25 25-14 23-9
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#12
Record5-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Goes
26 Oct 2026
NACI110
GOES124
07 Jan 2026
NACI99
GOES79
12 Jan 2024
NACI111
GOES61
09 Dec 2022
NACI100
GOES75
17 Dec 2021
NACI81
GOES84
17 Apr 2021
NACI66
GOES78
15 Oct 2019
NACI76
GOES69
11 Oct 2018
NACI98
GOES84
01 Dec 2017
NACI83
GOES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 85
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 85
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 85
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 85
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 85
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 85
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 85
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 85
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 85
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 85
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
24-21
26-19
22-18
19-20
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
29-14
15-24
18-25
22-20
24-17
34-12
14-26
22-27
175.9Avg total
89.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.883.3174.2+7.585%
Season at home (6)84.578.3162.8+6.283%
Season away (7)96.387.6183.9+8.786%
Last 10 (10)89.086.9175.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)84.486.4170.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.881.3159.2-3.542%
vs Similar (10)82.180.4162.5+1.780%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)95.083.1178.1+11.988%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
92-98
92
98
-6
78avg 73
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
64avg 73
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
91-105
91
105
-14
85avg 73
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 73
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 73
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 73
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 73
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 73
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
78avg 73
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
69avg 73
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
28-21
15-29
30-27
17-24
18-17
16-19
25-18
19-28
25-29
26-23
21-25
16-18
26-25
20-17
14-15
28-19
22-19
14-32
23-15
21-27
23-22
20-22
27-15
18-25
25-19
24-22
18-27
22-27
15-21
18-22
16-10
23-21
12-17
23-13
22-13
24-26
20-26
14-23
22-9
167.7Avg total
82.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.684.9166.6-3.336%
Season at home (8)81.083.1164.1-2.138%
Season away (6)82.587.3169.8-4.833%
Last 10 (10)82.984.8167.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.481.4162.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.889.7173.5-5.817%
vs Similar (15)76.980.8157.7-3.933%
vs Weaker (9)85.276.1161.3+9.167%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
NacionalGoes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
58-29
58
29
+29
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
90.3Avg total
48.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.684.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.540.885.3+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.840.583.2+2.359%-
Last 10 (10)48.541.890.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.081.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.640.880.4-1.242%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.884.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.440.089.4+9.488%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
87.3Avg total
42.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.142.985.0-0.734%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.041.683.6+0.435%-
Last 30 away (12)42.344.787.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.287.3-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.286.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.548.090.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (14)42.043.485.4-1.436%-
vs Weaker (9)42.138.780.8+3.444%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.7
39.3%
33.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.3
68.1%
71.7%14.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.6
34.5%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
71.7%11.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWLWLWLWWW
Goes
LWLLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#12
+2.0
Net rating
-1.9
111.0
Offensive rating
104.0
109.0
Defensive rating
105.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.3%
3-point %
34.5%
66.1%
Assist %
54.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 104.0Defence109.0 · 105.9Shooting54.3% · 53.3%3-point %39.3% · 34.5%Ball care17.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Nacional   ■ Goes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nacional wins
5
Goes wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Goes v Nacional92-98
16/02/23Goes v Nacional95-79
09/12/22Nacional v Goes100-75
22/03/22Goes v Nacional87-80
18/12/21Nacional v Goes81-84
17/04/21Nacional v Goes66-78
13/12/19Goes v Nacional86-85
15/10/19Nacional v Goes76-69
20/12/18Goes v Nacional78-95
11/10/18Nacional v Goes98-84
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ALarre Borges94-82
05/01/24AMalvin84-83
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
27/11/23ABigua94-101
24/11/23HUrupan91-78
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24ADefensor80-84
04/01/24HLarre Borges80-64
20/12/23ACordon71-80
15/12/23HTrouville85-93
01/12/23HBigua91-86
28/11/23AUrupan87-85
25/11/23HHebraica y Macabi76-75
21/11/23AAguada91-105
18/11/23HMalvin76-78
13/11/23HNacional92-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW85%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game90.884.596.3
Allowed / game83.378.387.6
Point differential+7.5+6.2+8.7
Avg total174.2162.8183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game81.681.082.5
Allowed / game84.983.187.3
Point differential-3.3-2.1-4.8
Avg total166.6164.1169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1311285%85.270.3+14.8
2 Nacional1311285%90.883.3+7.5
3 Aguada1411379%85.478.3+7.1
4 Defensor1610662%81.878.5+3.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi169756%82.179.6+2.5
6 Malvin157847%83.180.6+2.5
7 Bigua167944%84.385.6-1.2
8 Trouville156940%80.785.6-4.9
9 Goes145936%81.684.9-3.3
10 Cordon1551033%73.177.4-4.3
11 Urupan1651131%77.083.8-6.8
12 Larre Borges1521313%76.690.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional32312523111
Goes132514961
← all games of the day
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