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Gold Coast Rollers vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 106-91
24-22 32-19 23-29 27-21
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game90.6
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Gold Coast Rollers v Brisbane Capitals
12 Jul 2025
GOLD106
BRIS91
24 Jun 2023
GOLD114
BRIS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gold Coast Rollers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gold Coast RollersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
99-101
99
101
-2
H09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H17/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
89-108
89
108
-19
A23/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
A24/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
110-79
110
79
+31
A31/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
109-93
109
93
+16
H21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H05/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
22-22
22-32
20-29
23-24
31-25
13-21
21-16
18-27
22-24
19-34
30-23
18-28
37-28
24-16
19-31
33-23
24-17
26-19
27-20
28-22
19-32
20-34
31-22
29-24
25-22
29-28
26-19
26-26
20-17
18-19
26-14
30-15
20-32
19-27
28-31
17-27
23-17
22-21
19-12
189.7Avg total
95.9Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.193.3189.4+2.855%
Season at home (6)94.286.8181.0+7.383%
Season away (5)98.4101.0199.4-2.620%
Last 10 (10)95.993.8189.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)95.092.2187.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)94.0103.7197.7-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (5)99.495.0194.4+4.460%
vs Weaker (19)93.492.3185.7+1.158%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
111-75
111
75
+36
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
114-79
114
79
+35
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
125-130 OT
125
130
-5
H05/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-30
14-19
15-14
21-13
19-25
26-19
23-26
9-22
23-15
31-19
19-15
22-16
28-19
30-16
31-24
35-18
25-20
24-27
31-20
32-32
21-24
34-30
27-21
25-27
23-19
24-14
27-30
33-17
28-30
14-30
17-26
20-15
34-20
31-21
29-23
28-34
37-23
32-29
18-29
191.1Avg total
100.5Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)100.590.6191.1+9.970%
Season at home (5)108.8101.8210.6+7.060%
Season away (5)92.279.4171.6+12.880%
Last 10 (10)100.590.6191.1+9.970%
Last 5 (5)108.8101.8210.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (9)94.085.4179.4+8.678%
vs Weaker (16)96.887.8184.5+9.069%
This opponent (Gold Coast Rollers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Gold Coast RollersBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gold Coast RollersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A24/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A31/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H05/07
NBL1 North
97.0Avg total
50.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.796.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.446.594.9+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)49.949.098.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)50.047.097.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.894.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.351.399.7-3.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.644.693.2+4.080%-
vs Weaker (19)49.447.396.7+2.153%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H05/07
NBL1 North
93.7Avg total
49.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.389.7+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.843.594.3+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)42.543.285.7-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)49.843.993.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)56.248.2104.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.446.892.2-1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.640.886.3+4.867%-
vs Weaker (16)47.143.790.8+3.462%-
This opponent (Gold Coast Rollers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gold Coast Rollers wins
1
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HNorthside Wizards81-77
04/07/25ASouthern District97-105
28/06/25HTownsville Heat90-76
21/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates109-93
07/06/25ALogan Thunder98-110
31/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix110-79
24/05/25ARockhampton Rockets98-103
23/05/25AMackay Meteors89-108
17/05/25HLogan Thunder88-86
09/05/25HCairns Marlins99-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HIpswich Force125-130 OT
28/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix114-79
20/06/25HMackay Meteors92-103
08/06/25HRockhampton Rockets99-90
31/05/25HSouthern District114-107
24/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates115-85
17/05/25ACairns Marlins111-75
16/05/25ATownsville Heat82-71
10/05/25ASouthern District89-83
03/05/25ANorthside Wizards64-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gold Coast Rollers
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game96.194.298.4
Allowed / game93.386.8101.0
Point differential+2.8+7.3-2.6
Avg total189.4181.0199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game100.5108.892.2
Allowed / game90.6101.879.4
Point differential+9.9+7.0+12.8
Avg total191.1210.6171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals107370%100.590.6+9.9
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix128467%91.787.0+4.7
3 Mackay Meteors138562%97.194.7+2.4
4 Gold Coast Rollers116555%96.193.3+2.8
5 Ipswich Force116555%94.296.0-1.8
6 Northside Wizards126650%86.786.2+0.5
7 Logan Thunder115645%96.795.3+1.5
8 South West Metro Pirates115645%91.392.5-1.2
9 Southern District115645%92.696.7-4.1
10 Rockhampton Rockets104640%93.495.7-2.3
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins103730%87.099.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gold Coast Rollers24322327106
Brisbane Capitals2219292191
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