Gorica vs Crikvenica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 83-66

25-7 23-9 22-27 13-23

Position#4

Record2-1

FormLLWLW

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game68.3

Gorica 🏆

Crikvenica

Position#12

Record1-2

FormLLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game81.3

Prva LigaRound 4· GSD Velika Gorica

Other2023-24

Meetings · Gorica v Crikvenica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crikvenica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGorica

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

71-69

no box

A31/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

83-84

-1

no box

H12/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

88-93 OT

-5

no box

H16/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

109-102 OT

109

102

no box

A22/04

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

80-96

-16

no box

H26/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

83-90

-7

no box

H30/04

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

73-79

-6

no box

A07/05

Premijer liga

Marsonia

80-60

+20

80avg 69

A08/10

Prva Liga

KK Zagreb

61-78

-17

53avg 69

H14/10

Prva Liga

Jazine

83-67

+16

75avg 69

A22/10

Prva Liga

13-22

17-19

18-16

23-12

17-18

28-30

15-21

23-15

19-12

24-16

22-31

7-13

19-18

28-24

19-22

14-16

21-21

23-25

20-32

16-18

24-25

14-23

25-21

20-21

19-16

17-15

20-33

19-21

21-8

16-13

24-18

18-9

19-21

14-23

10-25

17-12

30-18

15-17

21-20

162.9Avg total

81.1Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	74.7	68.3	143.0	+6.3	67%
Season at home (1)	61.0	78.0	139.0	-17.0	0%
Season away (2)	81.5	63.5	145.0	+18.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	81.8	162.9	-0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	74.8	150.8	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.1	90.9	165.0	-16.8	10%
vs Similar (19)	81.3	82.2	163.5	-0.9	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	80.0	60.0	140.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Crikvenica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crikvenica Croatia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCrikvenica

Date

Competition

Mladost

#11

74-90

-16

63avg 69

H07/10

Prva Liga

Kastela

72-85

-13

72avg 69

A15/10

Prva Liga

Stoja

#13

75-69

71avg 69

H21/10

Prva Liga

21-18

15-25

21-21

17-26

20-20

20-25

14-18

18-22

21-16

24-16

11-22

19-15

155.0Avg total

73.7Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	73.7	81.3	155.0	-7.7	33%
Season at home (2)	74.5	79.5	154.0	-5.0	50%
Season away (1)	72.0	85.0	157.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	73.7	81.3	155.0	-7.7	33%
Last 5 (3)	73.7	81.3	155.0	-7.7	33%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	73.0	87.5	160.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar (1)	75.0	69.0	144.0	+6.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GoricaCrikvenica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.2	23.3	41.5	-5.1	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	21.0	8.0	29.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.5	25.0	42.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

30-41

-11

A31/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

45-48

-3

H12/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

43-28

+15

H16/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

47-42

A22/04

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

44-46

-2

H26/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

38-48

-10

H30/04

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

36-31

A07/05

Premijer liga

Marsonia

40-29

+11

A08/10

Prva Liga

KK Zagreb

37-30

H14/10

Prva Liga

Jazine

47-30

+17

A22/10

Prva Liga

78.0Avg total

40.7Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.4	79.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	38.5	78.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	33.6	73.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.5	43.9	80.4	-7.4	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.3	37.5	78.8	+3.8	63%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	40.0	29.0	69.0	+11.0	100%	-

This opponent (Crikvenica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CrikvenicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mladost

#11

36-43

-7

H07/10

Prva Liga

Kastela

40-45

-5

A15/10

Prva Liga

Stoja

#13

45-32

+13

H21/10

Prva Liga

80.3Avg total

40.3Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	40.5	37.5	78.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	40.0	45.0	85.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	32.0	77.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	26.0	45.3	-6.7	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	14.0	18.0	32.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	22.0	33.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.3	41.3	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.7	20.4	39.2	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	43.2	80.7	-5.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	41.4	79.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	44.9	82.0	-7.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	40.2	76.1	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.2	77.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.6	47.0	84.6	-9.4	10%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.4	41.8	79.2	-4.4	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	33.3	41.3	74.7	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	32.0	40.0	72.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	33.3	41.3	74.7	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	33.3	41.3	74.7	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	35.0	43.5	78.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	30.0	37.0	67.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 73.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game

53%

32%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.7	53.2%	52.9%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.7	31.9%	32.9%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	17.7	11.3	64.2%	71.2%	11.3

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Crikvenicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crikvenica: 74.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀68%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 68% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game

53%

32%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	25.0	60.5%	52.9%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	5.7	24.3%	32.9%	17.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.2%	7.0

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	16.7	44.2%	52.9%	33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	8.0	28.6%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.0	66.0%	71.2%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	22.0	52.0%	52.9%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.3	29.3%	32.9%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.7	83.0%	71.2%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	16.7	44.2%	52.9%	33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	8.0	28.6%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.0	66.0%	71.2%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	22.0	52.0%	52.9%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.3	29.3%	32.9%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.7	83.0%	71.2%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Gorica

WLWLLLWLLW

Crikvenica

WLL

League position

#12

+7.2

Net rating

-8.7

98.8

Offensive rating

96.6

91.7

Defensive rating

105.3

51.1%

Effective FG%

51.8%

43.7%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

20.2%

Turnover %

26.1%

27.9%

Off. rebound %

36.1%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.17

31.9%

3-point %

24.3%

58.5%

Assist %

55.4%

40%

Form (last 10/3)

33%

Profile

■ Gorica ■ Crikvenica

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gorica wins

Crikvenica wins

No previous meetings.

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/23	A	Jazine	83-67
14/10/23	H	KK Zagreb	61-78
08/10/23	A	Marsonia	80-60
07/05/23	A	Dinamo Zagreb	73-79
30/04/23	H	Skrljevo	83-90
26/04/23	H	Bosco	80-96
22/04/23	A	Alkar	109-102 OT
16/04/23	H	Zabok	88-93 OT
12/04/23	H	Dinamo Zagreb	83-84
31/03/23	A	Skrljevo	71-69

Crikvenicalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/23	H	Stoja	75-69
15/10/23	A	Kastela	72-85
07/10/23	H	Mladost	74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica

Prva Liga 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	L	0%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	0%	100%
Points / game	74.7	61.0	81.5
Allowed / game	68.3	78.0	63.5
Point differential	+6.3	-17.0	+18.0
Avg total	143.0	139.0	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crikvenica

Prva Liga 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	73.7	74.5	72.0
Allowed / game	81.3	79.5	85.0
Point differential	-7.7	-5.0	-13.0
Avg total	155.0	154.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Zagreb	3	3	0	100%	84.3	55.7	+28.7
2	Kvarner	3	3	0	100%	97.3	73.7	+23.7
3	Osijek	3	3	0	100%	92.0	71.7	+20.3
4	Gorica	3	2	1	67%	74.7	68.3	+6.3
5	Hermes	3	2	1	67%	86.7	87.3	-0.7
6	Jazine	3	2	1	67%	93.0	96.3	-3.3
7	Samobor	4	2	2	50%	80.5	82.5	-2.0
8	Kastela	3	1	2	33%	82.7	80.3	+2.3
9	Omis	3	1	2	33%	68.3	73.3	-5.0
10	Crikvenica	3	1	2	33%	73.7	81.3	-7.7
11	Marsonia	3	1	2	33%	77.0	85.7	-8.7
12	Mladost	4	1	3	25%	82.8	91.8	-9.0
13	Stoja	3	0	3	0%	85.3	98.0	-12.7
14	Podstrana	3	0	3	0%	65.0	93.7	-28.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gorica	25	23	22	13	83
Crikvenica	7	9	27	23	66

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Gorica vs Crikvenica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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