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Gorica vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 69-85
21-21 23-17 16-26 9-21
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#9
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game80.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gorica v Marsonia
30 Nov 2025
GORI69
MARS85
19 Oct 2024
GORI94
MARS82
21 Jan 2024
GORI88
MARS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kastela
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
77avg 79
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 79
H18/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
Amfora
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 79
A25/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
99-59
99
59
+40
97avg 79
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 79
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 79
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 79
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
16-12
19-30
20-24
18-22
14-20
22-11
23-11
18-20
19-19
21-17
14-26
26-24
28-24
18-20
15-21
29-16
23-9
27-12
20-22
19-13
25-23
21-11
13-14
20-18
15-25
29-16
20-18
14-13
33-13
16-27
25-8
24-18
21-14
15-20
28-22
13-22
23-20
17-19
21-16
155.9Avg total
82.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.073.3159.3+12.771%
Season at home (4)85.868.2154.0+17.575%
Season away (3)86.380.0166.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)82.673.3155.9+9.360%
Last 5 (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.291.8177.0-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.775.5154.3+3.255%
vs Weaker (8)82.268.5150.8+13.875%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
79-64
79
64
+15
72avg 67
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 67
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
98-77
98
77
+21
90avg 67
H17/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 67
A11/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
63avg 67
A18/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
55-63
55
63
-8
40avg 67
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
69-102
69
102
-33
59avg 67
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 67
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
45avg 67
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 67
H23/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-9
25-26
19-13
11-31
17-11
22-25
27-17
32-21
22-19
22-21
22-16
14-31
13-19
17-18
25-19
19-27
20-19
21-14
12-17
14-15
12-20
14-16
15-12
14-24
14-19
21-31
20-28
16-13
15-14
13-24
23-21
12-22
8-17
18-25
23-21
25-15
20-21
7-20
21-20
150.7Avg total
72.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.680.3146.9-13.70%
Season at home (3)65.070.3135.3-5.30%
Season away (4)67.887.8155.5-20.00%
Last 10 (10)72.078.7150.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)65.079.6144.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.585.5160.0-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.783.9165.6-2.242%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
GoricaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
Amfora
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A25/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
79.0Avg total
42.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.680.7+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.337.480.8+5.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.839.980.6+0.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.684.9-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.537.576.9+2.055%-
vs Weaker (8)43.835.479.1+8.475%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A11/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/11
Prva Liga
71.6Avg total
33.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.380.5-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.136.578.6+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.645.482.1-8.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.371.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.036.066.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.241.077.2-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.141.281.3-1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)41.040.981.9+0.157%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
53.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
71.6%15.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.2
47.5%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.4
30.3%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.09.6
68.6%
71.6%9.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWWWWWLLWL
Marsonia
LLLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+12.3
Net rating
-9.4
106.6
Offensive rating
97.1
94.3
Defensive rating
106.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
46.7%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.5%
3-point %
30.3%
68.8%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 97.1Defence94.3 · 106.5Shooting54.6% · 46.7%3-point %37.5% · 30.3%Ball care20.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Gorica   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gorica wins
1
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Marsonia v Gorica106-98 OT
19/10/24Gorica v Marsonia94-82
21/01/24Gorica v Marsonia88-77
08/10/23Marsonia v Gorica60-80
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AAjdovscina74-77
22/11/25ADakovo88-74
15/11/25HKK Zagreb88-61
08/11/25ACrikvenica84-77
04/11/25APlama P.78-61
31/10/25HOsijek99-59
25/10/25AAmfora87-89
21/10/25HPlama P.72-82
18/10/25HSonik Puntamika77-64
11/10/25HKastela79-89
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HNovi Zagreb73-76
15/11/25ASkrljevo61-85
09/11/25HMladost67-72
31/10/25AOmis69-102
25/10/25HJazine55-63
18/10/25AKastela72-77
11/10/25ADakovo69-87
17/04/25HSamobor98-77
13/04/25AOmis77-84
06/04/25HSonik Puntamika79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game86.085.886.3
Allowed / game73.368.280.0
Point differential+12.7+17.5+6.3
Avg total159.3154.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.665.067.8
Allowed / game80.370.387.8
Point differential-13.7-5.3-20.0
Avg total146.9135.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo87188%94.673.9+20.8
2 Kastela87188%86.167.1+19.0
3 Mladost86275%79.568.1+11.4
4 Gorica75271%86.073.3+12.7
5 Novi Zagreb74357%75.768.9+6.9
6 KK Zagreb74357%68.673.0-4.4
7 Dakovo84450%82.079.8+2.2
8 Amfora63350%83.389.2-5.8
9 Crikvenica73443%75.076.3-1.3
10 Jazine73443%73.781.3-7.6
11 Omis83538%79.578.8+0.8
12 Sonik Puntamika83538%69.473.8-4.4
13 Marsonia7070%66.680.3-13.7
14 Osijek8080%60.098.9-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica212316969
Marsonia2117262185
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