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Gorica vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-77
27-29 17-20 24-13 20-15
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game73.7
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Marsonia
30 Nov 2025
GORI69
MARS85
19 Oct 2024
GORI94
MARS82
21 Jan 2024
GORI88
MARS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 75
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 75
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 75
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 75
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 75
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
62avg 75
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
61avg 75
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
91avg 75
H13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
21-16
13-17
16-17
18-9
10-29
24-22
16-25
21-18
26-11
23-20
23-17
15-21
154.7Avg total
76.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.773.7152.4+5.062%
Season at home (6)81.271.0152.2+10.283%
Season away (7)76.676.0152.6+0.643%
Last 10 (10)76.078.7154.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)73.877.2151.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.490.0162.4-17.60%
vs Similar (17)82.380.9163.2+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.169.0150.1+12.186%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 68
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 68
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
54avg 68
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 68
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 68
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
42avg 68
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 68
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 68
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 68
H23/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 68
A14/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
25-14
14-21
24-24
22-14
24-19
15-23
18-25
10-31
18-14
21-15
22-17
27-36
28-22
32-26
19-23
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
17-23
11-24
8-24
24-28
23-20
17-30
32-17
23-24
16-29
22-14
8-22
20-15
19-28
21-21
20-16
21-22
25-17
27-25
21-20
15-18
168.7Avg total
82.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.186.2167.3-5.231%
Season at home (7)83.184.6167.7-1.429%
Season away (6)78.788.2166.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)82.386.4168.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.087.4165.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.890.5171.2-9.812%
vs Similar (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (3)88.380.7169.0+7.767%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
GoricaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/01
Prva Liga
78.6Avg total
37.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.478.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.277.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.881.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.243.077.2-8.820%-
vs Similar (17)42.137.980.0+4.165%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.433.674.0+6.957%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/01
Prva Liga
84.1Avg total
40.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)39.743.783.4-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.942.080.9-3.129%-
Last 30 away (6)40.745.786.3-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.484.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.285.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.046.985.9-7.912%-
vs Similar (2)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (3)44.036.380.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.6
56.4%
52.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
71.2%11.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.1
51.5%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.813.0
65.7%
71.2%13.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WLWLLWWWLL
Marsonia
WLLWLWLLLL
#4
League position
#9
+8.4
Net rating
-4.6
105.4
Offensive rating
99.6
97.0
Defensive rating
104.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.7%
3-point %
30.9%
62.8%
Assist %
45.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 99.6Defence97.0 · 104.2Shooting52.5% · 49.6%3-point %30.7% · 30.9%Ball care17.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gorica wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Marsonia v Gorica60-80
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HPodstrana87-69
23/12/23AKvarner71-94
16/12/23HOmis68-59
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
02/12/23AStoja69-79
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AStoja88-80
23/12/23HKastela81-87
16/12/23AMladost66-80
10/12/23HHermes95-91
03/12/23AOsijek60-99
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74
18/11/23AJazine106-107
12/11/23HKK Zagreb71-77
04/11/23HSamobor79-81
29/10/23APodstrana75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game78.781.276.6
Allowed / game73.771.076.0
Point differential+5.0+10.2+0.6
Avg total152.4152.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%14%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game81.183.178.7
Allowed / game86.284.688.2
Point differential-5.2-1.4-9.5
Avg total167.3167.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1413193%90.376.5+13.8
2 Kvarner1312192%91.774.8+16.8
3 KK Zagreb1410471%82.471.1+11.3
4 Gorica138562%78.773.7+5.0
5 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
6 Jazine148657%84.986.9-1.9
7 Samobor137654%80.483.5-3.2
8 Hermes147750%92.690.0+2.6
9 Omis147750%78.478.9-0.5
10 Marsonia134931%81.186.2-5.2
11 Mladost1441029%78.283.3-5.1
12 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
13 Stoja1421214%78.089.0-11.0
14 Crikvenica1421214%73.488.6-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2717242088
Marsonia2920131577
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