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Gorica vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-82
20-24 33-23 22-19 19-16
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game113.0
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game83.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 2· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Marsonia
30 Nov 2025
GORI69
MARS85
19 Oct 2024
GORI94
MARS82
21 Jan 2024
GORI88
MARS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 76
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 76
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 76
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 76
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 76
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 76
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 76
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 76
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 76
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
78-108
78
108
-30
no box
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
16-34
21-19
25-16
16-23
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
25-24
17-25
19-35
17-24
162.2Avg total
77.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.0113.0184.0-42.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.0113.0184.0-42.00%
Last 10 (10)77.384.9162.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)77.695.2172.8-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.487.1161.6-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.077.2157.2+2.862%
vs Weaker (13)83.873.2157.0+10.785%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 74
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-70
60
70
-10
56avg 74
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 74
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 74
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
66avg 74
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
99avg 74
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 74
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
76avg 74
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
93avg 74
H12/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
31-23
16-17
17-26
22-10
17-18
11-20
10-22
31-24
23-25
24-14
11-21
14-32
15-24
19-21
24-22
20-18
19-28
21-17
21-13
15-19
26-30
22-31
30-13
20-11
31-23
18-23
22-18
19-28
19-16
24-17
17-24
23-17
30-21
17-29
17-23
32-16
22-26
20-17
32-24
172.4Avg total
86.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.286.2172.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)94.487.2181.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.289.9169.1-10.619%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.277.2156.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (7)90.181.7171.9+8.471%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
GoricaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
81.6Avg total
39.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.880.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.781.1+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.979.3-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.881.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.684.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.037.280.2+5.888%-
vs Weaker (13)42.138.280.3+3.854%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/10
Prva Liga
89.3Avg total
45.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.543.485.9-0.944%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.541.784.2+0.850%-
Last 30 away (13)42.545.287.7-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.089.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.746.386.0-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.040.282.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (7)49.338.487.7+10.986%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.1
51.1%
52.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.5%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws11.68.6
74.1%
70.4%8.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.4
50.8%
52.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.6
68.6%
70.4%11.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLLLWLWLWW
Marsonia
WLLWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#6
-4.3
Net rating
+1.1
99.9
Offensive rating
106.2
104.2
Defensive rating
105.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
37.3%
65.4%
Assist %
43.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 106.2Defence104.2 · 105.1Shooting50.1% · 52.6%3-point %32.5% · 37.3%Ball care18.5% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.17 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Gorica v Marsonia88-77
08/10/23Marsonia v Gorica60-80
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HSencur78-108
13/10/24AJazine71-113
16/04/24HKvarner78-92
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HBosco106-83
07/04/24HStoja87-90
27/03/24AKastela79-85
21/03/24HMladost91-75
19/03/24AHermes109-103 OT
14/03/24HJazine81-76
10/03/24HOsijek72-99
02/03/24ACrikvenica89-84
18/02/24AKK Zagreb60-70
11/02/24ASamobor88-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game113.0-113.0
Point differential-42.0--42.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total189.0189.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor110100%97.070.0+27.0
2 Marsonia110100%106.083.0+23.0
3 Skrljevo220100%93.084.5+8.5
4 Hermes110100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Mladost220100%82.076.5+5.5
6 Jazine21150%108.592.5+16.0
7 Omis21150%69.062.0+7.0
8 KK Zagreb21150%47.555.0-7.5
9 Crikvenica1010%84.090.0-6.0
10 Sonik Puntamika2020%58.564.5-6.0
11 Kastela1010%65.072.0-7.0
12 Bosco1010%83.0106.0-23.0
13 Dakovo1010%70.097.0-27.0
14 Gorica1010%71.0113.0-42.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2033221994
Marsonia2423191682
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