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Gorica vs Perspektiva Ilirija Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 10
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perspektiva Ilirija win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 73
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
56avg 73
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
no box
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 73
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
32-24
15-24
20-28
28-28
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
9-20
23-20
12-11
15-16
19-16
28-18
30-17
18-22
24-22
17-20
15-8
19-21
17-21
17-23
23-19
20-23
30-24
21-23
22-20
29-13
13-23
18-19
20-31
14-23
19-19
17-22
14-19
22-25
158.9Avg total
77.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.877.4153.1-1.650%
Season at home (3)86.775.0161.7+11.767%
Season away (5)69.278.8148.0-9.640%
Last 10 (10)77.781.2158.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.684.8156.4-13.114%
vs Similar (9)89.783.6173.2+6.167%
vs Weaker (7)86.975.7162.6+11.186%
This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perspektiva IlirijaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlirija
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
93-69
93
69
+24
93avg 77
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Basket
#18
W
96-62
96
62
+34
95avg 77
H18/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
78-62
78
62
+16
69avg 77
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#13
L
70-95
70
95
-25
59avg 77
A25/10
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
48avg 77
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Studentski Centar
#20
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 77
A01/11
ABA League
Rogaska
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Vienna Basket
#15
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
H07/11
ABA League
Sencur
#4
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cluj-Napoca
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
30-12
22-17
21-26
24-16
19-21
30-12
23-13
21-27
21-7
25-13
11-15
16-26
19-14
12-27
23-28
19-25
23-20
26-13
11-15
20-25
16-21
19-23
29-13
20-20
9-14
20-21
17-22
13-21
18-16
12-22
17-15
27-20
14-25
27-17
31-25
13-16
15-23
21-14
22-24
155.4Avg total
79.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.073.6157.6+10.475%
Season at home (4)81.269.2150.5+12.075%
Season away (4)86.878.0164.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)79.675.8155.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)76.079.4155.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.387.6166.9-8.314%
vs Similar (7)79.185.1164.3-6.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.273.5160.8+13.888%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
GoricaPerspektiva Ilirija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/11
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.543.287.7+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.643.078.6-7.46%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.742.779.4-6.07%-
vs Similar (9)42.145.887.9-3.733%-
vs Weaker (7)41.640.482.0+1.157%-
This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perspektiva IlirijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Basket
#18
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Studentski Centar
#20
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/11
ABA League
Rogaska
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Vienna Basket
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/11
ABA League
Sencur
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cluj-Napoca
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A14/11
ABA League
76.0Avg total
37.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.980.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.639.681.2+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.140.279.3-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.376.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.273.2-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.744.984.6-5.129%-
vs Similar (7)36.340.676.9-4.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.737.480.1+5.262%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
70.0%11.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perspektiva Ilirijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perspektiva Ilirija: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.7
53.2%
53.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.8
34.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
70.0%14.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWLWWLLLL
Perspektiva Ilirija
LWLLWWLWWW
#5
League position
#3
-5.5
Net rating
+1.8
85.5
Offensive rating
93.8
91.0
Defensive rating
92.0
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.8%
3-point %
34.5%
65.3%
Assist %
51.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 93.8Defence91.0 · 92.0Shooting47.7% · 52.7%3-point %29.8% · 34.5%Ball care17.9% · 16.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Perspektiva Ilirija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
1
Perspektiva Ilirija wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Perspektiva Ilirija v Gorica86-59
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMarsonia72-85
10/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto65-96
07/11/26HKK Triglav Kranj102-80
07/11/26ADakovo77-86
31/10/26ATajfun Sentjur75-71
31/10/26HMladost95-73
25/10/26AHermes59-67
24/10/26APolzela67-74
18/10/26HJazine95-104
17/10/26HSencur70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACluj-Napoca71-77
11/11/26ASencur99-87
07/11/26HVienna Basket60-74
04/11/26ARogaska66-77
01/11/26AStudentski Centar84-82
28/10/26HHelios Domzale79-73
25/10/26AZadar70-95
21/10/26HTajfun Sentjur78-62
18/10/26HMega Basket96-62
14/10/26AZlatorog Lasko93-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.886.769.2
Allowed / game77.475.078.8
Point differential-1.6+11.7-9.6
Avg total153.1161.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perspektiva Ilirija
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.081.286.8
Allowed / game73.669.278.0
Point differential+10.4+12.0+8.8
Avg total157.6150.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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