PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hermes vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 67-59
20-9 20-23 11-12 16-15
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.5
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game94.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 3· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hermes v Gorica
25 Oct 2026
HERM67
GORI59
16 Feb 2025
HERM68
GORI63
17 Feb 2024
HERM89
GORI84
07 Feb 2021
HERM88
GORI115
11 Jan 2020
HERM82
GORI117
06 Apr 2019
HERM90
GORI109
12 Jan 2019
HERM73
GORI89
18 Mar 2017
HERM99
GORI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
no box
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H23/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
no box
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
12-28
26-25
23-19
14-12
27-17
15-30
10-21
26-19
19-11
21-15
25-16
12-19
25-15
17-20
17-25
18-19
22-33
21-17
24-19
20-24
12-23
17-22
15-21
25-17
16-25
21-11
7-16
29-29
18-28
26-30
19-24
18-17
23-17
23-18
18-13
19-14
9-20
9-27
23-23
159.9Avg total
76.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.074.5145.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)82.065.0147.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)60.084.0144.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)76.883.1159.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)75.485.2160.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.591.3167.8-14.810%
vs Similar (7)83.180.3163.4+2.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.372.7150.0+4.767%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 75
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 75
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
103avg 75
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
59-86
59
86
-27
42avg 75
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 75
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A10/10
Prva Liga
Rogaska
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 75
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 75
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
56avg 75
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
19-18
22-20
24-15
23-16
14-21
16-25
22-20
22-18
25-21
6-21
20-11
29-14
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
32-24
15-24
20-28
28-28
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
160.4Avg total
78.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
Season away (1)74.084.0158.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)78.182.3160.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)77.281.0158.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.283.7155.8-11.515%
vs Similar (12)86.080.8166.8+5.267%
vs Weaker (5)87.677.2164.8+10.480%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
HermesGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/10
Prva Liga
79.3Avg total
38.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.782.2-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.441.981.2-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)37.645.483.0-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.279.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.880.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.247.384.5-10.015%-
vs Similar (7)41.637.679.1+4.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.034.373.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A10/10
Prva Liga
Rogaska
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.1Avg total
38.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.781.4-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.184.6+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.442.278.6-5.812%-
Last 10 (10)38.044.182.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.877.2-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.741.979.6-4.215%-
vs Similar (12)41.541.683.1-0.142%-
vs Weaker (5)40.641.482.0-0.860%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.2
51.5%
53.0%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.0
35.4%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws14.210.7
75.4%
71.6%10.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.1
50.8%
53.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
71.6%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LWLWLLLWLL
Gorica
LLLWLWLWLW
#5
League position
#13
-6.7
Net rating
-3.2
99.1
Offensive rating
86.7
105.8
Defensive rating
89.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
21.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
30.5%
73.9%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 86.7Defence105.8 · 89.9Shooting52.4% · 48.7%3-point %35.4% · 30.5%Ball care21.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds24.7% · -Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hermes   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
8
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Hermes v Gorica68-63
02/11/24Gorica v Hermes95-80
17/02/24Hermes v Gorica89-84
11/11/23Gorica v Hermes99-87
29/03/21Gorica v Hermes97-65
07/02/21Hermes v Gorica88-115
24/11/20Gorica v Hermes113-67
11/01/20Hermes v Gorica82-117
19/10/19Gorica v Hermes85-66
06/04/19Hermes v Gorica90-109
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ASonik Puntamika60-84
11/10/26HOmis82-65
16/04/25HSonik Puntamika92-111
12/04/25ACrikvenica79-76 OT
06/04/25HMladost64-90
30/03/25AKK Zagreb85-88
23/03/25HKastela71-79
16/03/25HDakovo91-61
09/03/25AMarsonia66-80
02/03/25HJazine78-97
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APolzela67-74
18/10/26HJazine95-104
17/10/26HSencur70-76
10/10/26ARogaska80-67
10/10/26ASonik Puntamika74-84
03/10/26HHelios Domzale88-69
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.082.060.0
Allowed / game74.565.084.0
Point differential-3.5+17.0-24.0
Avg total145.5147.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.595.074.0
Allowed / game94.0104.084.0
Point differential-9.5-9.0-10.0
Avg total178.5199.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jazine330100%86.372.7+13.7
2 GKK Sibenka330100%74.066.3+7.7
3 Novi Zagreb220100%77.072.5+4.5
4 Radnik Krizevci32167%85.372.7+12.7
5 Dakovo32167%94.385.7+8.7
6 Crikvenica32167%68.364.0+4.3
7 Sonik Puntamika32167%87.084.0+3.0
8 KK Zagreb21150%72.072.0+0.0
9 Hermes21150%71.074.5-3.5
10 Kastela2020%67.571.5-4.0
11 Marsonia3030%68.776.3-7.7
12 Gorica2020%84.594.0-9.5
13 Omis2020%73.085.0-12.0
14 Mladost3030%62.388.3-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2020111667
Gorica923121559
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.