Gorica vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 81-99

21-26 19-29 17-29 24-15

Position#11

Record5-17

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game89.1

Gorica

Zadar 🏆

Position#6

Record15-7

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game77.8

Premijer ligaRound 23

Other2016-17

Meetings · Gorica v Zadar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

#14

77-73

A05/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

92-109

109

-17

H21/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

68-78

-10

A28/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

70-80

-10

H04/02

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

94-67

+27

H25/02

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

75-100

100

-25

A04/03

Premijer liga

Cedevita

70-92

-22

A08/03

Premijer liga

Split

60-79

-19

H12/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

#13

73-99

-26

A18/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

80-64

+16

H26/03

Premijer liga

13-25

25-13

17-15

22-20

17-29

24-20

21-28

30-32

20-22

17-18

18-15

13-23

16-16

19-25

11-15

24-24

22-14

22-18

36-16

14-19

15-20

22-30

20-20

18-30

22-21

11-23

16-24

21-24

18-26

20-14

7-17

15-22

22-17

23-24

8-32

20-26

20-19

18-14

17-13

25-18

160.0Avg total

75.9Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.6	89.1	165.7	-12.5	23%
Season at home (11)	84.5	87.6	172.1	-3.2	36%
Season away (11)	68.7	90.5	159.3	-21.8	9%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	84.1	160.0	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	86.8	158.4	-15.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	69.9	87.7	157.6	-17.8	10%
vs Similar (9)	86.6	87.2	173.8	-0.7	56%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	65.0	148.0	+18.0	100%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

75-92

-17

A17/02

Croatian Cup

Partizan

86-87

-1

A24/02

ABA League

Jolly Sibenik

84-72

+12

H27/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

85-84

H01/03

ABA League

Hermes

#13

96-73

+23

A04/03

Premijer liga

Karpos

#11

79-85

-6

A06/03

ABA League

Zabok

#10

95-81

+14

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

#10

81-78

H12/03

ABA League

Osijek

80-77

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

90-80

+10

H26/03

Premijer liga

14-21

25-21

22-31

14-19

20-23

24-24

17-18

25-22

21-22

30-10

20-6

13-34

24-21

18-20

19-21

24-22

23-13

31-19

20-18

22-23

24-19

17-22

19-16

19-28

21-27

27-16

19-22

28-16

25-21

13-14

24-30

19-13

25-21

19-16

14-18

22-22

16-19

22-19

30-22

22-20

166.0Avg total

85.1Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.8	77.8	161.6	+6.0	68%
Season at home (11)	87.6	73.3	160.9	+14.4	91%
Season away (11)	80.0	82.3	162.3	-2.3	45%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	80.9	166.0	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	80.2	165.2	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.9	83.5	159.4	-7.6	29%
vs Similar (8)	82.1	83.6	165.8	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	90.0	73.5	163.5	+16.5	88%

This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GoricaZadar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.3	42.8	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.9	18.5	43.4	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	25.5	19.8	45.2	+5.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.1	41.9	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	22.1	39.9	-4.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	9.0	30.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.6	22.5	40.1	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	15.5	37.9	+6.9	88%	-

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

#14

38-38

A05/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

41-49

-8

H21/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

37-40

-3

A28/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

35-41

-6

H04/02

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

44-32

+12

H25/02

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

37-50

-13

A04/03

Premijer liga

Cedevita

33-44

-11

A08/03

Premijer liga

Split

38-40

-2

H12/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

#13

45-41

A18/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

38-33

H26/03

Premijer liga

79.4Avg total

38.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	42.8	82.1	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	43.4	77.3	-9.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.8	79.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.4	44.8	78.2	-11.4	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	28.0	65.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

39-42

-3

A17/02

Croatian Cup

Partizan

44-47

-3

A24/02

ABA League

Jolly Sibenik

51-32

+19

H27/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

42-41

H01/03

ABA League

Hermes

#13

54-32

+22

A04/03

Premijer liga

Karpos

#11

41-41

A06/03

ABA League

Zabok

#10

48-43

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

#10

38-35

H12/03

ABA League

Osijek

44-37

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

38-38

H26/03

Premijer liga

82.7Avg total

43.9Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.4	36.2	81.6	+9.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	42.9	82.6	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	38.8	82.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.1	43.2	81.3	-5.1	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.6	39.2	82.9	+4.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	47.9	35.2	83.1	+12.6	88%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	21.2	34.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.2	19.6	35.9	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.5	40.8	+1.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.9	38.5	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	21.6	41.1	-2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	23.1	46.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	22.3	43.8	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	16.0	45.0	+13.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.1	39.8	-2.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	43.1	81.1	-5.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	42.4	83.3	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	43.8	79.1	-8.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	43.3	80.6	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	45.2	78.6	-11.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.5	42.9	79.4	-6.4	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	44.3	84.6	-4.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	41.1	78.2	-3.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.1	83.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.9	40.3	78.1	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.1	43.4	80.5	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.4	36.8	78.1	+4.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	21.3	50.0%	53.3%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.6	35.0%	34.1%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	12.5	65.4%	74.0%	12.5

They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.7	52.7%	53.3%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	10.5	40.7%	34.1%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.8	76.7%	74.0%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	22.7	52.0%	53.3%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.0	6.0	31.8%	34.1%	18.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.5	70.0%	74.0%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	22.3	57.1%	53.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.5	37.6%	34.1%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.8	75.9%	74.0%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gorica wins

Zadar wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/16	Zadar v Gorica	97-53
14/05/16	Gorica v Zadar	79-86
22/04/16	Zadar v Gorica	68-70

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/17	H	Osijek	80-64
18/03/17	A	Hermes	73-99
12/03/17	H	Split	60-79
08/03/17	A	Cedevita	70-92
04/03/17	A	GKK Sibenik	75-100
25/02/17	H	Alkar	94-67
04/02/17	H	Cibona	70-80
28/01/17	A	Zabok	68-78
21/01/17	H	Jolly Sibenik	92-109
05/01/17	A	Kvarner	77-73

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/17	H	Cibona	90-80
18/03/17	A	Osijek	80-77
12/03/17	H	Petrol Olimpija	81-78
09/03/17	H	Zabok	95-81
06/03/17	A	Karpos	79-85
04/03/17	A	Hermes	96-73
01/03/17	H	Cibona	85-84
27/02/17	H	Jolly Sibenik	84-72
24/02/17	A	Partizan	86-87
17/02/17	A	Cedevita	75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica

Premijer liga 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	23%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	WLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	23%	36%	9%
Points / game	76.6	84.5	68.7
Allowed / game	89.1	87.6	90.5
Point differential	-12.5	-3.2	-21.8
Avg total	165.7	172.1	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

Zadar

Premijer liga 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	LLWWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	68%	91%	45%
Points / game	83.8	87.6	80.0
Allowed / game	77.8	73.3	82.3
Point differential	+6.0	+14.4	-2.3
Avg total	161.6	160.9	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	55%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Split	23	20	3	87%	82.6	74.2	+8.4
2	GKK Sibenik	23	19	4	83%	88.0	75.2	+12.8
3	Cedevita	22	17	5	77%	88.5	73.4	+15.1
4	Jolly Sibenik	23	17	6	74%	84.9	76.3	+8.7
5	Cibona	22	16	6	73%	88.0	79.4	+8.6
6	Zadar	22	15	7	68%	83.8	77.8	+6.0
7	Osijek	23	11	12	48%	76.3	75.3	+1.0
8	Zagreb	23	10	13	43%	82.0	84.3	-2.3
9	Skrljevo	23	8	15	35%	75.2	79.2	-4.0
10	Zabok	23	8	15	35%	82.9	89.8	-6.9
11	Alkar	23	6	17	26%	75.3	85.3	-10.0
12	Gorica	22	5	17	23%	76.6	89.1	-12.5
13	Hermes	23	5	18	22%	78.6	90.8	-12.3
14	Kvarner	23	2	21	9%	73.2	85.1	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gorica	21	19	17	24	81
Zadar	26	29	29	15	99

← all games of the day

Gorica vs Zadar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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