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Karpos vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-79
19-24 22-17 16-19 28-19
Position#11
Record9-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.6
Karpos 🏆
vs
Zadar
Position#12
Record8-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarpos
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
61-95
61
95
-34
84avg 99
A11/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
61-98
61
98
-37
80avg 99
H14/02
ABA League
Vardar
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H19/02
Macedonian Cup
Tivat
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H22/02
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
100avg 99
A24/02
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A01/03
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-16
22-17
13-26
22-23
19-21
18-31
22-23
15-35
18-23
12-17
16-20
24-23
13-26
12-21
12-28
30-13
23-24
20-22
19-25
25-18
23-19
25-24
19-17
21-20
21-17
13-15
25-17
–
–
–
–
20-14
19-22
20-25
18-20
–
–
–
–
135.6Avg total
63.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.980.6155.5-5.838%
Season at home (12)78.376.8155.1+1.667%
Season away (12)71.484.5155.9-13.18%
Last 10 (10)63.272.4135.6-9.240%
Last 5 (5)49.853.6103.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.975.8143.7-7.837%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.976.6158.5+5.275%
vs Weaker (2)96.080.5176.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
104avg 107
A05/02
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H08/02
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
80-62
80
62
+18
112avg 107
H10/02
ABA League
Split
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
A12/02
Premijer liga
Split
#6
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
no box
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A24/02
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H27/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
116avg 107
H01/03
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
96-73
96
73
+23
no box
A04/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-18
22-17
21-19
34-25
20-19
23-23
17-19
24-16
10-19
23-16
23-11
24-30
20-13
19-20
20-20
28-4
15-24
16-21
21-15
14-21
25-21
22-31
14-19
20-23
24-24
17-18
25-22
21-22
30-10
20-6
13-34
24-21
18-20
19-21
24-22
23-13
31-19
20-18
22-23
164.0Avg total
85.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.587.2165.8-8.833%
Season at home (12)79.280.8159.9-1.658%
Season away (12)77.893.8171.6-15.98%
Last 10 (10)85.178.9164.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)85.281.6166.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.983.3158.2-8.320%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.082.6165.6+0.457%
vs Weaker (8)87.872.6160.4+15.175%
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
KarposZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A11/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H14/02
ABA League
Vardar
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/02
Macedonian Cup
Cedevita
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/02
ABA League
82.9Avg total
41.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.240.079.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.336.776.0+2.560%-
Last 30 away (13)39.243.883.1-4.623%-
Last 10 (8)41.641.282.9+0.462%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.741.178.8-3.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.637.576.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)48.042.590.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/02
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H08/02
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/02
ABA League
Split
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/02
Premijer liga
Split
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A24/02
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H27/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/03
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A04/03
Premijer liga
82.5Avg total
43.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.481.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.335.180.4+10.285%-
Last 30 away (17)38.842.781.5-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.682.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.884.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.143.480.5-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.738.983.6+5.971%-
vs Weaker (8)47.432.479.8+15.088%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.7
50.7%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
34.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.811.9
75.3%
73.3%11.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.9
50.1%
51.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.57.0
35.9%
34.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.411.4
65.5%
73.3%11.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LLLWWWLLLW
Zadar
WWWLLWWWWL
#11
League position
#12
-4.6
Net rating
-11.8
99.9
Offensive rating
97.0
104.4
Defensive rating
108.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.3%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
35.9%
59.0%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 97.0Defence104.4 · 108.8Shooting51.4% · 51.3%3-point %34.9% · 35.9%Ball care17.8% · 21.3%Off. rebounds22.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Karpos   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
1
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
02/12/16Zadar v Karpos93-74
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/17AKumanovo0-20
24/02/17ACedevita77-81
22/02/17HTivat0-20
19/02/17HFeni Industries80-69
18/02/17ARabotnicki92-78
17/02/17HVardar92-84
14/02/17HCrvena zvezda61-98
11/02/17ABuducnost61-95
08/02/17ATivat81-98
04/02/17HFMP Beograd88-81 OT
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17AHermes96-73
01/03/17HCibona85-84
27/02/17HJolly Sibenik84-72
24/02/17APartizan86-87
17/02/17ACedevita75-92
16/02/17ASplit80-64
12/02/17ASplit94-91 OT
10/02/17HMornar Bar80-62
08/02/17HZagreb94-86
05/02/17AIgokea77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%67%8%
Points / game74.978.371.4
Allowed / game80.676.884.5
Point differential-5.8+1.6-13.1
Avg total155.5155.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLLWW58%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%58%8%
Points / game78.579.277.8
Allowed / game87.280.893.8
Point differential-8.8-1.6-15.9
Avg total165.8159.9171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2524196%85.867.8+17.9
2 Cedevita2519676%88.880.6+8.1
3 Partizan2519676%80.775.1+5.6
4 Buducnost2518772%82.875.4+7.4
5 Igokea25121348%75.278.1-2.9
6 Cibona25111444%80.481.0-0.7
7 Mega Bemax25101540%82.283.0-0.8
8 FMP Beograd25101540%78.280.6-2.4
9 Petrol Olimpija25101540%79.582.5-3.0
10 Karpos2491538%74.980.6-5.8
11 Mornar Bar2591636%77.377.9-0.6
12 Zadar2481633%78.587.2-8.8
13 MZT Skopje2581732%77.282.7-5.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2571828%71.881.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos1922162885
Zadar2417191979
← all games of the day
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