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Gorica vs Zlatorog Lasko Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 81-79
Projected total 160.1
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.4
Vs
56%
44%
■ GORI 56%■ ZLA 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game77.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gorica v Zlatorog Lasko
21 Nov 2026
GORI v ZLA
upcoming
24 Jan 2009
GORI60
ZLA67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Gorica host Zlatorog Lasko in the Liga Nova KBM. Pythia makes Gorica the favourite at 56% and projects 81-79, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Gorica are 4-4 this season (75.8 scored, 77.4 allowed a game), form WLWLL; Zlatorog Lasko are 3-5 this season (68.5 scored, 77.5 allowed a game), form LWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win
55.5%fair 1.80
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zlatorog Lasko win
44.5%fair 2.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 73
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
56avg 73
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
no box
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 73
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
32-24
15-24
20-28
28-28
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
9-20
23-20
12-11
15-16
19-16
28-18
30-17
18-22
24-22
17-20
15-8
19-21
17-21
17-23
23-19
20-23
30-24
21-23
22-20
29-13
13-23
18-19
20-31
14-23
19-19
17-22
14-19
22-25
158.9Avg total
77.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.877.4153.1-1.650%
Season at home (3)86.775.0161.7+11.767%
Season away (5)69.278.8148.0-9.640%
Last 10 (10)77.781.2158.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.684.8156.4-13.114%
vs Similar (9)89.783.6173.2+6.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.975.7162.6+11.186%
This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zlatorog LaskoSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLasko
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 66
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
67avg 66
A17/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
62avg 66
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
47avg 66
A29/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
74avg 66
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 66
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 66
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
60-69
60
69
-9
53avg 66
H31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
A07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-23
19-26
21-18
24-31
19-24
11-22
20-29
18-17
27-17
10-18
17-17
14-15
16-16
17-23
14-23
13-13
26-14
21-22
26-24
14-20
12-30
17-22
26-21
26-25
13-17
22-7
14-24
28-23
9-20
10-12
13-14
21-23
17-19
8-16
14-15
17-30
17-25
20-23
11-15
151.3Avg total
69.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.577.5146.0-9.038%
Season at home (5)70.479.4149.8-9.040%
Season away (3)65.374.3139.7-9.033%
Last 10 (10)69.881.5151.3-11.730%
Last 5 (5)65.880.2146.0-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.390.6165.8-15.316%
vs Similar (6)75.575.5151.0+0.067%
vs Weaker (5)82.685.4168.0-2.840%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
63.9%
Under 154
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
51.8%
Under 159
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
39.6%
Under 164
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Gorica total 77.5
Over 77.5
62.4%
Under 77.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica total 81.5
Over 81.5
47.1%
Under 81.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica total 85.5
Over 85.5
32.3%
Under 85.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlatorog Lasko total 73.5
Over 73.5
70.8%
Under 73.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlatorog Lasko total 77.5
Over 77.5
56.3%
Under 77.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlatorog Lasko total 81.5
Over 81.5
41.0%
Under 81.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Gorica -3
GORI -3
46.4%
ZLA +3
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
GORI
No market prices yet.
ZLA
No market prices yet.
Spread Gorica 0
GORI 0
55.5%
ZLA 0
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
GORI
No market prices yet.
ZLA
No market prices yet.
Spread Gorica +3
GORI +3
64.5%
ZLA -3
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
GORI
No market prices yet.
ZLA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
GoricaZlatorog Lasko
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/11
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.543.287.7+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.643.078.6-7.46%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.742.779.4-6.07%-
vs Similar (9)42.145.887.9-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.640.482.0+1.157%-
This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zlatorog LaskoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H13/11
Liga Nova KBM
79.1Avg total
36.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.885.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.046.585.5-7.514%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.479.1-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.846.481.2-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.246.485.6-7.321%-
vs Similar (6)41.841.283.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (5)42.243.285.4-1.040%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
70.0%11.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlatorog Laskotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatorog Lasko: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.5
53.5%
53.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
30.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
70.0%12.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWLWWLLLL
Zlatorog Lasko
LLLWLWLWLL
#5
League position
#7
-5.5
Net rating
-8.9
85.5
Offensive rating
86.2
91.0
Defensive rating
95.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.8%
3-point %
33.1%
65.3%
Assist %
50.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 86.2Defence91.0 · 95.2Shooting47.7% · 51.9%3-point %29.8% · 33.1%Ball care17.9% · 19.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ Zlatorog Lasko
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
2
Zlatorog Lasko wins
DateGameScore
24/01/09Gorica v Zlatorog Lasko60-67
31/10/08Zlatorog Lasko v Gorica97-59
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMarsonia72-85
10/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto65-96
07/11/26HKK Triglav Kranj102-80
07/11/26ADakovo77-86
31/10/26ATajfun Sentjur75-71
31/10/26HMladost95-73
25/10/26AHermes59-67
24/10/26APolzela67-74
18/10/26HJazine95-104
17/10/26HSencur70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPolzela65-93
07/11/26ASencur60-73
31/10/26HRogaska60-69
24/10/26AHelios Domzale75-73
14/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija69-93
11/10/26HTajfun Sentjur86-73
29/09/26AKK Krka Novo mesto61-77
26/09/26HKK Triglav Kranj72-69
17/05/26ACedevita Olimpija74-106
09/05/26HCedevita Olimpija76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.886.769.2
Allowed / game77.475.078.8
Point differential-1.6+11.7-9.6
Avg total153.1161.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zlatorog Lasko
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game68.570.465.3
Allowed / game77.579.474.3
Point differential-9.0-9.0-9.0
Avg total146.0149.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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