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Gornik Walbrzych vs MKKS Koszalin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-57
29-12 16-18 9-15 23-12
Position#1
Record11-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game67.1
Gornik Walbrzych 🏆
Poland
vs
MKKS Koszalin
Poland
Position#12
Record8-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.2
Poland1 LigaRound 15· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Aqua Zdroj
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gornik Walbrzych v MKKS Koszalin
16 Dec 2023
GORN77
MKKS57
04 Mar 2023
GORN79
MKKS69
29 Jan 2022
GORN82
MKKS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gornik Walbrzych winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MKKS Koszalin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gornik WalbrzychPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalbrzych
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 76
A14/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 76
H18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
W
97-64
97
64
+33
103avg 76
A21/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
88-55
88
55
+33
96avg 76
H28/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
80avg 76
A10/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
48-58
48
58
-10
34avg 76
A15/11
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 76
H19/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
55avg 76
A26/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
91-57
91
57
+34
91avg 76
H02/12
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 76
A10/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-25
21-18
21-14
23-14
22-18
22-16
31-20
18-20
27-15
28-6
24-23
23-13
19-7
28-12
18-23
20-14
13-22
25-17
21-17
12-14
6-22
10-18
20-4
17-21
25-23
23-14
21-11
18-16
17-10
14-25
17-22
27-18
29-18
16-10
19-11
28-20
17-22
22-27
25-16
150.7Avg total
83.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.367.1146.4+12.279%
Season at home (6)83.763.0146.7+20.7100%
Season away (8)76.070.1146.1+5.962%
Last 10 (10)83.367.4150.7+15.980%
Last 5 (5)76.668.4145.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)61.770.3132.0-8.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.670.1152.7+12.485%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
62-91
62
91
-29
42avg 73
A14/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 73
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 73
A22/10
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 73
H29/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
67avg 73
A11/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 73
H15/11
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
82-94
82
94
-12
69avg 73
A18/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H25/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
105-92
105
92
+13
110avg 73
A02/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 73
H09/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-26
18-15
20-22
15-28
18-18
19-15
14-27
19-6
19-21
21-31
19-14
22-21
30-18
15-15
26-23
17-22
18-11
21-17
16-19
17-17
23-15
16-21
20-25
22-12
20-29
22-22
18-21
22-22
23-14
23-17
8-23
25-25
23-17
26-24
33-21
23-30
19-25
26-20
19-27
20-11
163.6Avg total
81.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.281.2162.5+0.062%
Season at home (6)85.377.5162.8+7.883%
Season away (7)77.784.4162.1-6.743%
Last 10 (10)81.682.0163.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)88.686.8175.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.684.7162.2-7.144%
vs Similar (15)84.580.6165.1+3.953%
vs Weaker (6)91.780.7172.3+11.067%
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
Gornik WalbrzychMKKS Koszalin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gornik WalbrzychLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H28/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A15/11
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A26/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H02/12
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/12
1 Liga
75.7Avg total
40.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.376.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.433.978.3+10.488%-
Last 30 away (13)38.137.075.1+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.075.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.032.764.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.735.678.3+7.181%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A14/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A22/10
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/11
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H25/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A02/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/12
1 Liga
80.0Avg total
40.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.079.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.982.8+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.180.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.740.981.6-0.244%-
vs Similar (15)40.438.779.1+1.753%-
vs Weaker (6)47.539.286.7+8.367%-
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gornik Walbrzychtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gornik Walbrzych: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.6
55.1%
51.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.8
32.9%
32.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.816.9
68.1%
69.4%16.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.9
56.2%
51.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.6
30.2%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.915.4
64.4%
69.4%15.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gornik Walbrzych
WWLWLWWWWW
MKKS Koszalin
WWLLWWWLWL
#1
League position
#12
+20.3
Net rating
+2.8
107.4
Offensive rating
105.8
87.1
Defensive rating
103.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
30.2%
70.7%
Assist %
61.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 105.8Defence87.1 · 103.0Shooting53.2% · 51.9%3-point %32.9% · 30.2%Ball care18.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Gornik Walbrzych   ■ MKKS Koszalin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gornik Walbrzych wins
1
MKKS Koszalin wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Gornik Walbrzych v MKKS Koszalin79-69
26/11/22MKKS Koszalin v Gornik Walbrzych96-94
29/01/22Gornik Walbrzych v MKKS Koszalin82-74
16/10/21MKKS Koszalin v Gornik Walbrzych71-90
Gornik Walbrzychlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AAlstom Krakow92-85
02/12/23HSlask Wroclaw II91-57
26/11/23AStarogard Gdanski66-73
19/11/23HAWF Katowice86-69
15/11/23ABydgoszcz48-58
10/11/23AKrosno79-70
28/10/23HGKS Tychy88-55
21/10/23APelplin97-64
18/10/23HSokol Miedzychod98-68
14/10/23AWKK Wroclaw88-75
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HKrosno84-83
02/12/23AGKS Tychy105-92
25/11/23HPelplin91-92 OT
18/11/23ASokol Miedzychod82-94
15/11/23HWKK Wroclaw81-73
11/11/23APoznan72-64
29/10/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl88-78
22/10/23APolonia Warszawa81-87
18/10/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg70-66
14/10/23APoli. Opolska62-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gornik Walbrzych
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%100%62%
Points / game79.383.776.0
Allowed / game67.163.070.1
Point differential+12.2+20.7+5.9
Avg total146.4146.7146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game81.285.377.7
Allowed / game81.277.584.4
Point differential+0.0+7.8-6.7
Avg total162.5162.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II1412286%88.784.6+4.1
2 Gornik Walbrzych1411379%79.367.1+12.2
3 Bydgoszcz1410471%79.371.0+8.3
4 Poli. Opolska1510567%85.179.5+5.5
5 Krosno149564%85.679.0+6.6
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg149564%82.978.9+4.1
7 MKKS Koszalin138562%81.281.2+0.0
8 Starogard Gdanski159660%74.570.5+4.0
9 Pelplin148657%82.078.7+3.3
10 GKS Tychy158753%79.782.4-2.7
11 HydroTruck Radom147750%79.783.1-3.4
12 Poznan146843%83.480.6+2.7
13 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl156940%79.984.3-4.3
14 Polonia Warszawa145936%75.978.9-2.9
15 WKK Wroclaw1541127%80.185.1-5.0
16 AWF Katowice1531220%76.784.9-8.2
17 Alstom Krakow1531220%76.585.2-8.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod141137%77.091.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gornik Walbrzych291692377
MKKS Koszalin1218151257
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