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Poznan vs MKKS Koszalin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-72
11-18 17-21 19-16 17-17
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#12
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.7
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Cityzen hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poznan v MKKS Koszalin
15 Jan 2025
POZN86
MKKS88
11 Nov 2023
POZN64
MKKS72
21 Jan 2023
POZN90
MKKS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MKKS Koszalin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
72avg 81
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
97-98
97
98
-1
93avg 81
A30/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 81
H07/10
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
58avg 81
A11/10
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
98avg 81
H15/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 81
A18/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
H21/10
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
92-79
92
79
+13
100avg 81
A29/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
18-14
25-16
23-23
28-24
16-16
29-26
16-20
20-24
23-32
9-22
26-18
26-19
13-23
28-29
30-27
12-18
21-16
25-12
20-22
18-19
19-20
15-11
11-16
23-23
30-21
29-17
19-19
23-15
21-9
16-22
19-25
22-18
21-26
17-17
24-23
18-24
16-14
31-22
27-19
166.3Avg total
84.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.081.9166.9+3.150%
Season at home (4)87.285.2172.5+2.050%
Season away (4)82.878.5161.2+4.250%
Last 10 (10)84.781.6166.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)85.478.6164.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (19)77.879.4157.2-1.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.980.9171.7+10.086%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H26/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A02/04
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 67
A02/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
63-91
63
91
-28
48avg 67
A06/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
96avg 67
H11/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
62-91
62
91
-29
42avg 67
A14/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 67
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 67
A22/10
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 67
H29/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
25-11
28-27
10-25
28-18
23-15
16-25
20-17
22-27
24-33
22-28
23-22
30-21
12-20
22-11
15-20
19-30
17-12
7-29
20-20
20-20
23-18
26-11
29-24
9-26
18-15
20-22
15-28
18-18
19-15
14-27
19-6
19-21
21-31
19-14
22-21
30-18
15-15
26-23
17-22
163.0Avg total
80.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.379.7157.0-2.457%
Season at home (3)85.372.3157.7+13.0100%
Season away (4)71.285.2156.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)80.182.9163.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.879.0158.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.185.6160.7-10.433%
vs Similar (16)83.579.8163.3+3.750%
vs Weaker (5)93.678.0171.6+15.680%
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
PoznanMKKS Koszalin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/10
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/10
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A18/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/10
1 Liga
79.7Avg total
40.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.778.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.276.7+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.179.3-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.779.7+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.546.586.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (19)36.437.273.6-0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.942.485.3+0.471%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/04
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H05/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A14/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A22/10
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
1 Liga
81.8Avg total
41.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.581.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.182.5+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.038.979.9+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.781.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.477.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.239.479.7+0.844%-
vs Similar (16)40.340.480.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (5)48.636.885.4+11.880%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.4
53.8%
51.8%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.8%
32.7%24.4
🏀 Free throws24.419.7
80.7%
69.4%19.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.0
53.3%
51.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.4
25.1%
32.7%19.3
🏀 Free throws20.713.1
63.4%
69.4%13.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
WLWWLWLLWW
MKKS Koszalin
WLWLWLWLWL
#10
League position
#12
+4.4
Net rating
-4.1
106.3
Offensive rating
99.4
101.9
Defensive rating
103.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
25.1%
64.8%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 99.4Defence101.9 · 103.5Shooting51.9% · 47.3%3-point %32.8% · 25.1%Ball care20.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 35.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poznan   ■ MKKS Koszalin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poznan wins
0
MKKS Koszalin wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Poznan v MKKS Koszalin90-77
15/10/22MKKS Koszalin v Poznan94-103
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AAlstom Krakow92-79
21/10/23HSlask Wroclaw II92-97 OT
18/10/23AStarogard Gdanski79-71
15/10/23HAWF Katowice101-80
11/10/23AGornik Walbrzych63-66
07/10/23HKrosno78-68
30/09/23AGKS Tychy97-98
23/09/23HPelplin78-96
05/04/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg89-86
02/04/23HSlask Wroclaw II78-75
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl88-78
22/10/23APolonia Warszawa81-87
18/10/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg70-66
14/10/23APoli. Opolska62-91
11/10/23HHydroTruck Radom98-73
06/10/23ABydgoszcz63-91
02/10/23AAlstom Krakow79-72
05/04/23HHydroTruck Radom91-110
02/04/23APolonia Warszawa87-75
26/03/23HDziki Warszawa82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.087.282.8
Allowed / game81.985.278.5
Point differential+3.1+2.0+4.2
Avg total166.9172.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game77.385.371.2
Allowed / game79.772.385.2
Point differential-2.4+13.0-14.0
Avg total157.0157.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II660100%94.281.2+13.0
2 Gornik Walbrzych98189%80.866.3+14.4
3 Krosno107370%84.378.1+6.2
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg85362%80.577.0+3.5
5 HydroTruck Radom85362%79.183.1-4.0
6 MKKS Koszalin74357%77.379.7-2.4
7 Pelplin95456%80.276.3+3.9
8 Bydgoszcz95456%78.975.4+3.4
9 Starogard Gdanski95456%73.470.1+3.3
10 GKS Tychy95456%78.782.2-3.6
11 Poznan84450%85.081.9+3.1
12 WKK Wroclaw84450%80.279.2+1.0
13 Poli. Opolska94544%81.180.2+0.9
14 Polonia Warszawa93633%75.778.7-3.0
15 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl72529%75.380.1-4.9
16 AWF Katowice92722%79.386.4-7.1
17 Alstom Krakow81712%76.184.1-8.0
18 Sokol Miedzychod8080%71.892.4-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1117191764
MKKS Koszalin1821161772
← all games of the day
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