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Gornik Walbrzych vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-56
26-13 16-15 21-18 21-10
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#11
Record14-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.1
Poland1 LigaRound 24· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Aqua Zdroj
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gornik Walbrzych v Pelplin
03 Feb 2024
GORN84
PELP56
08 Jan 2023
GORN72
PELP60
24 Oct 2021
GORN73
PELP54
27 Mar 2021
GORN93
PELP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gornik Walbrzych winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gornik WalbrzychPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalbrzych
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 78
A10/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
77-57
77
57
+20
76avg 78
H16/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 78
A20/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H30/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 78
H06/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
80avg 78
A14/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 78
H17/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
88-92
88
92
-4
88avg 78
A20/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 78
H28/01
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
89-73
89
73
+16
87avg 78
A31/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
17-22
22-27
25-16
29-12
16-18
9-15
23-12
17-22
22-23
17-16
19-12
17-21
14-16
26-27
21-14
18-17
20-10
21-14
25-17
26-23
17-19
26-6
18-16
22-22
22-23
29-18
14-6
20-21
20-16
21-31
27-24
19-21
21-13
19-17
25-15
22-17
21-19
22-16
24-21
157.5Avg total
84.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.168.7149.9+12.478%
Season at home (11)83.565.3148.8+18.391%
Season away (12)78.971.9150.8+7.067%
Last 10 (10)84.872.7157.5+12.180%
Last 5 (5)87.072.8159.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)61.770.3132.0-8.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.570.0152.5+12.481%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 74
A09/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 74
H16/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
A23/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 74
H30/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 74
H07/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 74
A13/01
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 74
A17/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
48-67
48
67
-19
38avg 74
H20/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 74
A27/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
62avg 74
H31/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
22-21
19-16
16-23
21-26
25-18
22-22
17-21
12-14
18-17
19-18
20-20
26-22
25-23
14-26
27-12
18-14
22-21
20-18
22-25
24-10
17-8
18-28
25-22
28-26
27-15
19-12
19-22
12-20
6-10
14-26
16-11
25-30
24-14
24-19
14-22
12-21
15-19
14-23
27-12
156.5Avg total
79.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.078.1159.1+3.061%
Season at home (12)78.275.5153.7+2.758%
Season away (11)84.280.9165.1+3.364%
Last 10 (10)79.077.5156.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.981.4154.3-8.525%
vs Similar (10)82.779.7162.4+3.080%
vs Weaker (8)91.568.8160.2+22.888%
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
Gornik WalbrzychPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gornik WalbrzychLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H06/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A14/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H28/01
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/01
1 Liga
78.3Avg total
40.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.575.3+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.134.075.1+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.075.5+1.567%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.578.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.032.764.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.735.876.5+4.974%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A23/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
41-18
41
18
+23
A13/01
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A17/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H20/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H31/01
1 Liga
76.6Avg total
39.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.676.7+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.675.2+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.637.578.1+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.672.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.238.474.6-2.233%-
vs Similar (10)38.538.977.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)48.030.978.9+17.175%-
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gornik Walbrzychtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gornik Walbrzych: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.9
54.8%
51.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.6
32.6%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.516.0
65.3%
69.4%16.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.9
54.4%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.7
28.9%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.716.7
73.6%
69.4%16.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gornik Walbrzych
WWLWWWLWWW
Pelplin
LWLWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#11
+20.8
Net rating
+4.5
110.2
Offensive rating
104.5
89.4
Defensive rating
100.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.6%
3-point %
28.9%
69.2%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 104.5Defence89.4 · 100.1Shooting52.7% · 49.8%3-point %32.6% · 28.9%Ball care18.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds35.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Gornik Walbrzych   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gornik Walbrzych wins
0
Pelplin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24ASokol Miedzychod89-73
28/01/24HWKK Wroclaw84-66
20/01/24APoznan88-92
17/01/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl87-69
14/01/24APolonia Warszawa87-64
06/01/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-58
30/12/23HPoli. Opolska85-90 OT
20/12/23AHydroTruck Radom75-73
16/12/23HMKKS Koszalin77-57
10/12/23AAlstom Krakow92-85
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HKrosno68-75
27/01/24AGKS Tychy87-85
20/01/24HBydgoszcz48-67
17/01/24ASokol Miedzychod93-75
13/01/24AWKK Wroclaw84-68
07/01/24HPoznan82-78
30/12/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl92-83
23/12/23APolonia Warszawa77-76 OT
16/12/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg85-87
09/12/23APoli. Opolska74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gornik Walbrzych
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%91%67%
Points / game81.183.578.9
Allowed / game68.765.371.9
Point differential+12.4+18.3+7.0
Avg total149.9148.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%58%64%
Points / game81.078.284.2
Allowed / game78.175.580.9
Point differential+3.0+2.7+3.3
Avg total159.1153.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %17%8%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych2318578%81.168.7+12.4
2 Slask Wroclaw II2217577%89.687.3+2.3
3 Krosno2317674%85.278.0+7.2
4 Bydgoszcz2316770%81.371.9+9.4
5 Poli. Opolska2315865%86.282.0+4.2
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg2315865%83.980.9+3.0
7 Starogard Gdanski2214864%80.073.6+6.4
8 Pelplin2314961%81.078.1+3.0
9 GKS Tychy23131057%81.782.0-0.3
10 HydroTruck Radom23121152%80.384.0-3.6
11 MKKS Koszalin23111248%81.582.6-1.1
12 Poznan22101245%83.780.5+3.2
13 Polonia Warszawa2381535%78.181.3-3.2
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl2271532%80.785.6-4.9
15 WKK Wroclaw2361726%78.784.6-5.9
16 Alstom Krakow2351822%77.086.5-9.4
17 AWF Katowice2341917%76.886.5-9.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod2332013%77.389.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gornik Walbrzych2616212184
Pelplin1315181056
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