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GOTOBELES Astana vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 71-78
18-19 19-19 21-21 13-19
Position#9
Record11-21
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#7
Record14-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · GOTOBELES Astana v Pavlodar
11 Apr 2023
GOTO71
PAVL78
20 Nov 2022
GOTO71
PAVL79
25 Oct 2022
GOTO91
PAVL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

GOTOBELES Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GOTOBELES AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A16/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A17/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
51-99
51
99
-48
H18/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A19/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
61-104
61
104
-43
A20/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A06/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H07/04
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
105-66
105
66
+39
A08/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
H09/04
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A10/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
15-22
17-19
9-22
18-15
16-21
19-9
15-14
10-22
14-29
18-24
9-24
17-20
20-15
9-15
17-20
26-33
12-19
12-24
11-28
20-18
12-16
11-12
18-16
11-26
25-20
16-21
21-27
33-11
24-20
22-18
26-17
15-22
23-26
12-30
14-20
15-13
30-22
26-24
20-25
151.8Avg total
69.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.579.8152.3-7.434%
Season at home (11)71.589.6161.2-18.118%
Season away (21)73.074.7147.7-1.843%
Last 10 (10)69.382.5151.8-13.230%
Last 5 (5)78.880.8159.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.789.8155.4-24.16%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.869.8146.5+7.062%
vs Weaker (6)85.264.3149.5+20.883%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe 2
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H10/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
22-18
17-16
18-23
15-18
26-15
15-19
23-23
19-18
27-23
15-26
21-21
23-28
19-17
10-20
14-16
14-8
20-25
14-22
22-19
14-27
23-24
17-16
21-17
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
152.8Avg total
74.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.078.0152.0-4.044%
Season at home (12)73.478.8152.2-5.342%
Season away (20)74.377.5151.8-3.245%
Last 10 (10)74.178.7152.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)72.879.0151.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.985.6155.5-15.821%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.670.9143.5+1.862%
vs Weaker (8)81.271.5152.8+9.862%
This opponent (GOTOBELES Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
GOTOBELES AstanaPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GOTOBELES AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A16/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
24-51
24
51
-27
H18/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A20/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/04
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A08/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H09/04
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/04
Higher League
78.7Avg total
37.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.777.5-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.848.483.2-13.610%-
Last 30 away (20)37.836.974.7+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.678.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.745.379.0-11.66%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.640.477.0-3.838%-
vs Weaker (6)45.329.074.3+16.383%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
80.7Avg total
41.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.477.0+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.539.677.2-2.145%-
Last 30 away (19)39.237.676.8+1.663%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.580.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.644.480.0-8.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.232.874.0+8.588%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.988%-
This opponent (GOTOBELES Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
GOTOBELES Astana wins
1
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22GOTOBELES Astana v Pavlodar71-79
25/10/22GOTOBELES Astana v Pavlodar91-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23AAktobe 291-84
09/04/23HTigers-KazATU64-98
08/04/23AAltay105-66
07/04/23HShymkent73-94
06/04/23AKaraganda61-62
20/03/23ABars Petropavlovsk61-104
19/03/23AKaspiy Aktau63-70
18/03/23HBC Almaty 251-99
17/03/23AChelSU Kostanay68-59
16/03/23AAtyrau 256-89
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91
06/04/23HBC Almaty 275-84
15/03/23AAltay70-74
14/03/23AKaraganda66-81
13/03/23HShymkent82-88
12/03/23ATigers-KazATU79-75
11/03/23AAktobe 280-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

GOTOBELES Astana
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW34%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321121
Win %34%18%43%
Points / game72.571.573.0
Allowed / game79.889.674.7
Point differential-7.4-18.1-1.8
Avg total152.3161.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayWLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321220
Win %44%42%45%
Points / game74.073.474.3
Allowed / game78.078.877.5
Point differential-4.0-5.3-3.1
Avg total152.0152.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent3231197%92.471.6+20.8
2 Bars Petropavlovsk3228488%86.863.5+23.2
3 BC Almaty 23227584%92.867.3+25.5
4 Karaganda33221167%75.468.3+7.1
5 Atyrau 233151845%75.172.4+2.7
6 Tigers-KazATU33151845%77.578.6-1.1
7 Pavlodar32141844%74.078.0-4.0
8 Kaspiy Aktau33141942%66.272.3-6.1
9 GOTOBELES Astana32112134%72.579.8-7.4
10 ChelSU Kostanay33102330%68.978.3-9.4
11 Aktobe 23252716%67.080.0-13.1
12 Altay333309%56.693.7-37.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
GOTOBELES Astana1819211371
Pavlodar1919211978
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