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Tigers-KazATU vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 75-79
18-15 15-26 19-15 23-23
Position#6
Record10-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#7
Record12-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar
05 May 2026
TIGE96
PAVL41
16 Nov 2025
TIGE68
PAVL49
14 Nov 2025
TIGE75
PAVL55
12 Mar 2023
TIGE75
PAVL79
14 Feb 2023
TIGE76
PAVL67
24 Dec 2022
TIGE73
PAVL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tigers-KazATU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tigers-KazATUKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H24/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A25/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A26/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
H27/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H14/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A15/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A16/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
68-101
68
101
-33
H17/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A11/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-29
11-25
18-6
26-15
21-15
21-30
18-14
26-8
18-20
16-24
17-22
24-29
20-19
12-41
22-16
20-21
24-9
17-15
19-11
15-23
13-14
23-16
25-14
18-13
20-14
20-15
18-18
20-24
22-31
20-15
20-22
24-25
17-29
13-27
14-20
17-21
25-28
16-25
32-25
159.6Avg total
78.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.480.9156.3-5.443%
Season at home (10)73.884.8158.6-11.030%
Season away (13)76.777.8154.5-1.254%
Last 10 (10)78.681.0159.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)78.483.8162.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.189.9161.0-18.811%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (10)78.773.9152.6+4.870%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H15/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A16/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A11/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
29-20
25-11
6-18
12-29
14-26
23-27
32-16
14-29
15-20
23-15
22-17
26-12
25-16
23-23
22-10
16-19
21-12
22-11
24-18
23-15
14-13
16-23
14-25
24-28
7-11
15-24
9-18
22-24
17-28
18-24
18-24
14-21
19-10
18-20
28-10
23-17
22-18
17-16
18-23
153.7Avg total
77.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.277.5151.7-3.352%
Season at home (8)73.080.2153.2-7.250%
Season away (15)74.976.0150.9-1.153%
Last 10 (10)77.276.5153.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)71.278.4149.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.885.6155.4-15.914%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.672.9148.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)84.871.1155.9+13.688%
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Tigers-KazATUPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tigers-KazATULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H24/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H27/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H14/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A15/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H17/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/03
Higher League
82.3Avg total
41.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)39.041.780.7-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.845.484.2-6.610%-
Last 30 away (13)39.238.877.9+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.982.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.482.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.045.482.4-8.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.242.079.2-4.80%-
vs Weaker (10)41.538.179.6+3.460%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Higher League
77.1Avg total
37.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.776.5-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.939.575.5-3.627%-
Last 30 away (19)38.938.277.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.277.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.844.378.1-10.57%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.434.175.5+7.275%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.975%-
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tigers-KazATU wins
1
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar76-67
24/12/22Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar73-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AKaraganda90-99
17/02/23HShymkent68-101
16/02/23AAltay82-92
15/02/23AAktobe 276-60
14/02/23HPavlodar76-67
13/02/23AKaraganda80-56
27/12/22HShymkent78-105
26/12/22AAltay77-74
25/12/22AAktobe 286-74
24/12/22HPavlodar73-82
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AAktobe 280-74
17/02/23AAltay79-61
16/02/23AKaraganda75-100
15/02/23HShymkent55-81
14/02/23ATigers-KazATU67-76
13/02/23AAktobe 283-60
27/12/22AAltay96-61
26/12/22AKaraganda74-81
25/12/22HShymkent81-98
24/12/22ATigers-KazATU82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tigers-KazATU
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %43%30%54%
Points / game75.473.876.7
Allowed / game80.984.877.8
Point differential-5.4-11.0-1.2
Avg total156.3158.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23815
Win %52%50%53%
Points / game74.273.074.9
Allowed / game77.580.276.0
Point differential-3.3-7.2-1.1
Avg total151.7153.2150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%12%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent2423196%92.869.8+23.0
2 Bars Petropavlovsk2220291%87.159.3+27.9
3 BC Almaty 22218482%93.568.1+25.4
4 Karaganda2416867%75.867.9+7.9
5 Pavlodar23121152%74.277.5-3.3
6 Tigers-KazATU23101343%75.480.9-5.4
7 Atyrau 22291341%76.573.8+2.7
8 GOTOBELES Astana2281436%73.978.6-4.7
9 Kaspiy Aktau2271532%65.473.7-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay2271532%68.278.6-10.5
11 Aktobe 22451921%65.879.1-13.3
12 Altay242228%56.195.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tigers-KazATU1815192375
Pavlodar1526152379
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