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Pavlodar vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 82-88
19-18 27-23 15-26 21-21
Position#7
Record13-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#1
Record23-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game69.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pavlodar v Shymkent
13 Mar 2023
PAVL82
SHYM88
15 Feb 2023
PAVL55
SHYM81
25 Dec 2022
PAVL81
SHYM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H15/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A16/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A12/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
14-26
23-27
32-16
14-29
15-20
23-15
22-17
26-12
25-16
23-23
22-10
16-19
21-12
22-11
24-18
23-15
14-13
16-23
14-25
24-28
7-11
15-24
9-18
22-24
17-28
18-24
18-24
14-21
19-10
18-20
28-10
23-17
22-18
17-16
18-23
15-18
26-15
15-19
23-23
153.6Avg total
76.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.477.4151.8-3.054%
Season at home (8)73.080.2153.2-7.250%
Season away (16)75.175.9151.1-0.856%
Last 10 (10)76.976.7153.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)73.678.2151.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.284.9153.2-16.715%
vs Similar (9)76.073.1149.1+2.967%
vs Weaker (8)84.871.1155.9+13.688%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A25/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
114-81
114
81
+33
H26/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A27/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A14/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A15/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H16/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
101-68
101
68
+33
A17/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
117-64
117
64
+53
H11/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
26-14
27-23
16-32
34-25
34-7
24-21
22-28
29-24
19-20
41-12
16-22
34-14
13-11
25-22
16-21
24-16
27-17
25-22
17-27
28-24
11-7
24-15
18-9
35-8
26-24
28-18
9-31
25-24
29-17
27-13
20-14
38-17
30-12
28-19
21-16
24-22
15-12
25-17
14-17
169.9Avg total
97.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.869.8162.6+23.096%
Season at home (11)96.670.4167.0+26.3100%
Season away (13)89.569.4158.9+20.292%
Last 10 (10)97.372.6169.9+24.7100%
Last 5 (5)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.587.5178.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (2)80.574.5155.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.267.6161.8+26.7100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +11.4+11.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +11.4+11.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
PavlodarShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A12/03
Higher League
75.0Avg total
36.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.939.575.5-3.627%-
Last 30 away (19)38.737.376.1+1.458%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.175.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.043.976.9-10.98%-
vs Similar (9)41.334.075.3+7.378%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.975%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A25/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H26/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A27/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A14/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H16/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A17/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
68-29
68
29
+39
H11/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A12/03
Higher League
85.7Avg total
53.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)49.931.881.7+18.1100%-
Last 30 at home (11)53.530.984.4+22.5100%-
Last 30 away (13)46.932.579.5+14.4100%-
Last 10 (10)53.032.785.7+20.3100%-
Last 5 (5)52.233.485.6+18.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.040.586.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)51.030.681.7+20.4100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
2
Shymkent wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Pavlodar v Shymkent55-81
25/12/22Pavlodar v Shymkent81-98
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ATigers-KazATU79-75
11/03/23AAktobe 280-74
17/02/23AAltay79-61
16/02/23AKaraganda75-100
15/02/23HShymkent55-81
14/02/23ATigers-KazATU67-76
13/02/23AAktobe 283-60
27/12/22AAltay96-61
26/12/22AKaraganda74-81
25/12/22HShymkent81-98
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AKaraganda78-68
11/03/23HAltay117-64
17/02/23ATigers-KazATU101-68
16/02/23HAktobe 298-81
15/02/23APavlodar81-55
14/02/23AKaraganda93-82
13/02/23HAltay88-68
27/12/22ATigers-KazATU105-78
26/12/22HAktobe 2114-81
25/12/22APavlodar98-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24816
Win %54%50%56%
Points / game74.473.075.1
Allowed / game77.480.275.9
Point differential-3.0-7.2-0.8
Avg total151.8153.2151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%12%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game92.896.689.5
Allowed / game69.870.469.4
Point differential+23.0+26.3+20.2
Avg total162.6167.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%82%85%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent2423196%92.869.8+23.0
2 Bars Petropavlovsk2220291%87.159.3+27.9
3 BC Almaty 22218482%93.568.1+25.4
4 Karaganda2416867%75.867.9+7.9
5 Pavlodar24131154%74.477.4-3.0
6 Tigers-KazATU24101442%75.480.8-5.4
7 Atyrau 22291341%76.573.8+2.7
8 GOTOBELES Astana2281436%73.978.6-4.7
9 Kaspiy Aktau2271532%65.473.7-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay2271532%68.278.6-10.5
11 Aktobe 22451921%65.879.1-13.3
12 Altay242228%56.195.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1927152182
Shymkent1823262188
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