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Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 60-61
22-14 13-14 14-17 11-16
Position#7
Record14-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#8
Record13-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game72.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau
17 Dec 2024
PAVL62
KASP70
16 Dec 2024
PAVL86
KASP69
19 Nov 2023
PAVL77
KASP85
18 Nov 2023
PAVL74
KASP96
10 Apr 2023
PAVL60
KASP61
19 Nov 2022
PAVL70
KASP47
24 Oct 2022
PAVL77
KASP73
01 Dec 2017
PAVL64
KASP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altay
#12
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A09/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-10
18-20
28-10
23-17
22-18
17-16
18-23
15-18
26-15
15-19
23-23
19-18
27-23
15-26
21-21
23-28
19-17
10-20
14-16
14-8
20-25
14-22
22-19
14-27
23-24
17-16
21-17
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
154.7Avg total
76.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.578.5153.0-4.145%
Season at home (11)74.680.4155.0-5.745%
Season away (20)74.377.5151.8-3.245%
Last 10 (10)76.078.7154.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)74.881.6156.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.985.6155.5-15.821%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.472.3146.7+2.171%
vs Weaker (9)81.970.9152.8+11.067%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H21/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A16/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
51-94
51
94
-43
H17/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H18/03
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H19/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H20/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A06/04
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H07/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A08/04
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A09/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
13-17
15-24
21-18
18-15
18-20
23-20
18-20
18-30
12-22
9-20
12-22
16-19
16-25
18-16
17-16
20-17
15-20
15-9
20-17
17-14
10-22
14-9
21-16
16-19
13-30
16-24
21-18
21-9
22-14
27-14
12-14
17-7
12-21
25-10
16-30
28-10
24-23
14-15
11-12
140.1Avg total
68.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.572.9139.4-6.442%
Season at home (17)67.972.5140.4-4.641%
Season away (14)64.873.4138.1-8.643%
Last 10 (10)68.971.2140.1-2.360%
Last 5 (5)71.466.2137.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.678.5143.1-13.925%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.472.4138.8-6.038%
vs Weaker (6)75.554.2129.7+21.3100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
PavlodarKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altay
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/02
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.777.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 away (20)39.037.676.6+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.644.480.0-8.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.133.475.6+8.786%-
vs Weaker (9)40.633.874.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H17/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/03
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H20/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A06/04
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H07/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/04
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A09/04
Higher League
71.2Avg total
34.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.337.571.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.438.472.8-4.024%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.470.5-2.354%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.740.973.6-8.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.138.571.6-5.412%-
vs Weaker (6)40.027.267.2+12.883%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pavlodar wins
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91
06/04/23HBC Almaty 275-84
15/03/23AAltay70-74
14/03/23AKaraganda66-81
13/03/23HShymkent82-88
12/03/23ATigers-KazATU79-75
11/03/23AAktobe 280-74
17/02/23AAltay79-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23AAktobe 277-60
08/04/23ATigers-KazATU70-68
07/04/23HAltay82-51
06/04/23AShymkent66-91
20/03/23HChelSU Kostanay62-61
19/03/23HGOTOBELES Astana70-63
18/03/23HAtyrau 267-76
17/03/23HBC Almaty 251-94
16/03/23ABars Petropavlovsk77-75
21/02/23HChelSU Kostanay67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayWLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311120
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game74.574.674.3
Allowed / game78.580.477.5
Point differential-4.1-5.7-3.1
Avg total153.0155.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %3%9%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeLLWWW41%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%41%43%
Points / game66.567.964.8
Allowed / game72.972.573.4
Point differential-6.4-4.6-8.6
Avg total139.4140.4138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent3231197%92.471.6+20.8
2 Bars Petropavlovsk3127487%86.563.0+23.6
3 BC Almaty 23227584%92.867.3+25.5
4 Karaganda31211068%75.567.6+7.9
5 Pavlodar31141745%74.578.5-4.1
6 Atyrau 232141844%75.273.1+2.2
7 Tigers-KazATU32141844%77.179.1-2.0
8 Kaspiy Aktau31131842%66.572.9-6.4
9 GOTOBELES Astana31102132%71.979.7-7.8
10 ChelSU Kostanay3192229%68.878.5-9.7
11 Aktobe 23152616%66.479.7-13.3
12 Altay3132810%56.795.0-38.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2213141160
Kaspiy Aktau1414171661
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