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Goverla vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-74
18-12 22-29 14-20 25-13
Position#8
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#7
Record5-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game74.1
UkraineFBU Superleague· Manezh KFV
Other2024-25
Meetings · Goverla v Stariy Lutsk
31 Jan 2026
GOVE90
STAR77
04 Oct 2025
GOVE92
STAR84
10 Jan 2025
GOVE79
STAR74
04 Oct 2024
GOVE63
STAR67
26 Jan 2024
GOVE65
STAR71
08 Oct 2023
GOVE54
STAR49
10 Jan 2023
GOVE63
STAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goverla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoverlaUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoverla
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
63-82
63
82
-19
49avg 60
A01/11
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 60
A15/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
49avg 60
A16/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
60avg 60
H09/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 60
H10/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
70avg 60
H15/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
54avg 60
A16/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
60-73
60
73
-13
57avg 60
A21/12
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
51-84
51
84
-33
37avg 60
A22/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
49avg 60
H09/01
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-17
14-20
13-21
20-12
24-27
21-21
8-15
13-16
19-20
20-22
7-11
17-11
13-26
13-14
18-10
21-31
16-11
12-19
19-23
13-20
20-16
22-21
19-18
18-17
15-23
13-16
17-19
15-20
16-17
16-16
13-20
10-23
16-26
12-19
13-16
14-19
17-17
15-9
11-21
139.8Avg total
64.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.376.1141.4-10.86%
Season at home (8)66.874.0140.8-7.212%
Season away (8)63.978.2142.1-14.40%
Last 10 (10)64.375.5139.8-11.210%
Last 5 (5)61.074.6135.6-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)66.878.0144.9-11.214%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.670.0137.6-2.420%
vs Weaker (3)77.064.0141.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
66-65
66
65
+1
57avg 58
A05/11
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 58
A06/11
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
60avg 58
H15/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
57avg 58
A16/11
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
39avg 58
H07/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
63avg 58
H08/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
74-62
74
62
+12
68avg 58
A13/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
W
85-65
85
65
+20
90avg 58
A19/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
45avg 58
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
62avg 58
A09/01
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
13-18
22-11
14-16
19-27
12-16
13-15
20-18
12-20
27-24
21-21
15-8
19-21
25-14
15-16
6-14
8-24
22-22
13-21
15-24
19-25
16-18
15-10
20-22
24-14
14-17
21-20
15-11
27-21
13-7
33-19
12-18
24-19
14-21
11-13
15-19
16-16
15-19
20-22
15-22
143.8Avg total
69.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.974.1143.1-5.231%
Season at home (6)67.578.3145.8-10.817%
Season away (10)69.871.6141.4-1.840%
Last 10 (10)69.674.2143.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)71.870.6142.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.778.5145.2-11.816%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.772.8149.4+3.978%
vs Weaker (2)77.568.5146.0+9.050%
This opponent (Goverla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
GoverlaStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoverlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/11
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/12
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A22/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/01
FBU Superleague
72.6Avg total
33.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.637.872.4-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.536.569.9-3.024%-
Last 30 away (13)36.039.575.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.372.6-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)30.839.670.4-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.439.072.4-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.436.470.8-2.040%-
vs Weaker (3)43.731.375.0+12.3100%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A05/11
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A06/11
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A16/11
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H07/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A13/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A19/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A09/01
FBU Superleague
73.9Avg total
35.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.472.6-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.239.575.8-3.217%-
Last 30 away (18)34.535.970.4-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.373.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.471.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.238.271.3-5.021%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.337.174.4+0.244%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Goverla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goverlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goverla: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.1
45.6%
48.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.2
23.5%
30.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
69.8%13.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.8
49.0%
48.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.2
27.9%
30.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.8%
69.8%9.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goverla
LLLLLLWLLL
Stariy Lutsk
LLWWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#7
-15.8
Net rating
-7.8
91.8
Offensive rating
97.3
107.6
Defensive rating
105.1
41.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
23.1%
Turnover %
21.3%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
23.5%
3-point %
27.9%
74.9%
Assist %
54.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 97.3Defence107.6 · 105.1Shooting41.2% · 46.1%3-point %23.5% · 27.9%Ball care23.1% · 21.3%Off. rebounds38.6% · 35.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Goverla   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Goverla wins
5
Stariy Lutsk wins
Goverlalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HRivne57-66
22/12/24ABC Dnipro51-84
21/12/24ABK Zaporozhye60-73
16/12/24AKyiv Basket63-75
15/12/24HKyiv Basket74-75
10/12/24HKryvbas68-84
09/12/24HCherkaski Mavpy75-72 OT
16/11/24ARivne59-69
15/11/24AStariy Lutsk73-75
01/11/24AKyiv Basket63-82
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AKyiv Basket66-79
20/12/24ACherkaski Mavpy64-72
19/12/24AKryvbas85-65
13/12/24ARivne74-62
08/12/24HBK Zaporozhye70-75
07/12/24HBC Dnipro58-91
16/11/24AKyiv Basket74-84 OT
15/11/24HGoverla75-73
06/11/24ABC Dnipro64-76
05/11/24ABK Zaporozhye66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goverla
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game65.366.863.9
Allowed / game76.174.078.2
Point differential-10.8-7.2-14.4
Avg total141.4140.8142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %31%17%40%
Points / game68.967.569.8
Allowed / game74.178.371.6
Point differential-5.2-10.8-1.8
Avg total143.1145.8141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro11110100%81.559.5+22.0
2 Kyiv Basket1714382%77.769.6+8.1
3 Cherkaski Mavpy169756%74.173.5+0.6
4 Rivne179853%68.870.2-1.4
5 Kryvbas157847%70.673.9-3.3
6 BK Zaporozhye145936%67.271.6-4.4
7 Stariy Lutsk1651131%68.974.1-5.2
8 Goverla161156%65.376.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goverla1822142579
Stariy Lutsk1229201374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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