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Goverla vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 63-67
11-14 17-19 15-17 20-17
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game84.0
Goverla
Ukraine
vs
Stariy Lutsk 🏆
Ukraine
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game89.0
UkraineFBU Superleague· Sports Palace Veneto
Other2024-25
Meetings · Goverla v Stariy Lutsk
31 Jan 2026
GOVE90
STAR77
04 Oct 2025
GOVE92
STAR84
10 Jan 2025
GOVE79
STAR74
04 Oct 2024
GOVE63
STAR67
26 Jan 2024
GOVE65
STAR71
08 Oct 2023
GOVE54
STAR49
10 Jan 2023
GOVE63
STAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goverla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoverlaUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoverla
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
53-82
53
82
-29
42avg 64
A09/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
55-68
55
68
-13
46avg 64
H10/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 64
A11/02
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
70-61
70
61
+9
73avg 64
A15/03
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 64
H16/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
65avg 64
H17/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 64
A26/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
87avg 64
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
55avg 64
A03/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
58avg 64
H03/10
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
11-24
14-21
16-16
18-15
8-20
14-17
15-16
27-13
24-15
18-19
19-16
23-20
16-11
11-23
20-7
21-18
18-20
27-15
16-16
14-13
18-21
22-28
14-14
23-24
15-21
13-15
22-24
21-11
16-20
17-24
17-16
17-17
19-25
16-24
13-20
13-22
18-21
14-21
20-20
148.6Avg total
71.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.876.8148.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)74.085.0159.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.379.6145.9-13.327%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.268.8135.0-2.644%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Goverla
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
55avg 58
A26/01
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 58
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
62-68
62
68
-6
47avg 58
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 58
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
85-66
85
66
+19
75avg 58
H17/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 58
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 58
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
68-92
68
92
-24
53avg 58
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
88avg 58
H31/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
68avg 58
A03/10
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
11-18
17-15
17-15
28-19
17-20
23-18
18-24
13-20
17-12
16-15
16-21
22-21
16-16
17-21
21-16
25-16
25-8
16-16
19-26
19-18
19-26
22-28
9-25
12-15
19-23
30-16
13-16
13-17
18-20
24-31
13-24
24-27
25-27
21-20
20-17
26-10
19-27
15-14
17-26
156.0Avg total
76.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)76.779.3156.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)77.487.8165.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.280.1145.3-14.817%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.871.2145.0+2.667%
vs Weaker (3)75.764.3140.0+11.367%
This opponent (Goverla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.7-4.7
GoverlaStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoverlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A09/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H10/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A11/02
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/03
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H03/10
FBU Superleague
72.4Avg total
35.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.371.7-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.837.069.8-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)36.237.773.9-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.272.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.441.573.9-9.113%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.034.167.1-1.156%-
vs Weaker (6)41.331.873.2+9.583%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goverla
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/01
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H17/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H31/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/10
FBU Superleague
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.173.0-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.339.375.6-3.025%-
Last 30 away (14)33.436.670.1-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.741.374.0-8.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.934.370.2+1.656%-
vs Weaker (3)45.730.075.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (Goverla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goverlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goverla: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
48.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.4
29.6%
30.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
69.8%13.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.4
50.6%
48.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
30.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.411.6
66.7%
69.8%11.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goverla
LLWLLWWWLL
Stariy Lutsk
LLLWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#7
-7.1
Net rating
-1.9
99.9
Offensive rating
104.6
107.0
Defensive rating
106.5
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
24.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.6%
3-point %
32.1%
66.2%
Assist %
52.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 104.6Defence107.0 · 106.5Shooting48.4% · 49.7%3-point %29.6% · 32.1%Ball care24.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds37.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Goverla   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Goverla wins
3
Stariy Lutsk wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Goverla v Stariy Lutsk65-71
09/12/23Stariy Lutsk v Goverla72-64
08/10/23Goverla v Stariy Lutsk54-49
08/04/23Stariy Lutsk v Goverla64-69
28/01/23Stariy Lutsk v Goverla71-73
10/01/23Goverla v Stariy Lutsk63-72
09/11/22Stariy Lutsk v Goverla60-79
Goverlalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HRivne65-84
03/04/24AKyiv Basket65-86
30/03/24HKyiv Basket99-95 OT
26/03/24AKyiv Basket73-84
17/03/24HRivne68-76
16/03/24HBIPA82-69
15/03/24ABC Halychyna70-61
11/02/24AKryvbas88-63
10/02/24HBK Zaporozhye55-68
09/02/24ABC Dnipro53-82
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24AKyiv Basket86-89 OT
31/03/24HRivne90-91
27/03/24ARivne68-92
19/03/24HBK Zaporozhye74-70
18/03/24HBC Dnipro69-97
17/03/24HKryvbas85-66
07/02/24ACherkaski Mavpy76-74
06/02/24HKyiv Basket62-68
05/02/24HBIPA86-81
26/01/24AGoverla71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goverla
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential-19.0-19.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rivne110100%84.065.0+19.0
2 Kyiv Basket110100%89.086.0+3.0
3 Stariy Lutsk1010%86.089.0-3.0
4 Goverla1010%65.084.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goverla1117152063
Stariy Lutsk1419171767
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