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Goverla vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-84
28-13 23-14 16-33 25-24
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UkraineFBU Superleague
Other2025-26
Meetings · Goverla v Stariy Lutsk
31 Jan 2026
GOVE90
STAR77
04 Oct 2025
GOVE92
STAR84
10 Jan 2025
GOVE79
STAR74
04 Oct 2024
GOVE63
STAR67
26 Jan 2024
GOVE65
STAR71
08 Oct 2023
GOVE54
STAR49
10 Jan 2023
GOVE63
STAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goverla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoverlaUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoverla
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 61
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 61
A08/03
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
W
66-64
66
64
+2
54avg 61
A09/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 61
H16/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
81avg 61
A21/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 61
A22/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
85avg 61
A26/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 61
A27/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 61
H01/04
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
73avg 61
A05/04
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
11-20
22-22
17-21
21-22
14-22
19-20
26-29
20-16
11-15
15-25
20-8
18-19
14-19
18-25
21-22
20-18
25-25
18-22
29-23
14-26
23-21
12-18
20-13
18-22
25-15
21-25
24-28
21-27
23-22
15-26
23-17
13-26
21-17
17-21
25-27
22-28
23-22
16-23
19-22
163.8Avg total
77.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.486.4163.8-9.020%
Last 5 (5)79.089.2168.2-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)69.780.0149.7-10.312%
vs Similar (4)70.270.0140.2+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
52-96
52
96
-44
43avg 58
A02/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
62avg 58
H14/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 58
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 58
H23/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
43avg 58
H08/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
45avg 58
H09/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
62avg 58
A26/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 58
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
66avg 58
A01/04
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
49-83
49
83
-34
35avg 58
H04/04
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
15-14
17-21
8-32
23-20
12-17
19-24
15-25
17-24
24-19
17-22
27-22
22-26
20-21
20-27
22-23
15-13
14-19
18-18
15-21
16-20
15-11
25-15
8-20
22-19
13-12
23-24
10-23
32-18
9-17
18-26
12-19
13-22
23-15
19-18
15-21
17-17
13-23
6-24
13-19
149.4Avg total
67.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.482.0149.4-14.60%
Last 5 (5)64.476.6141.0-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.778.4144.2-12.711%
vs Similar (12)73.073.2146.2-0.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Goverla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -8.0-8.0
GoverlaStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoverlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/03
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A27/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/04
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A05/04
FBU Superleague
80.4Avg total
37.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.839.874.6-5.017%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.237.970.1-5.77%-
Last 30 away (15)37.441.679.0-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.780.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)34.740.375.0-5.715%-
vs Similar (4)35.836.071.8-0.225%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H23/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H08/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H09/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/04
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/04
FBU Superleague
72.3Avg total
34.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.871.0-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.238.872.0-5.67%-
Last 30 away (16)35.135.070.1+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.672.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.869.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.037.170.1-4.128%-
vs Similar (12)36.036.272.2-0.242%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Goverla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goverlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goverla: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.2
51.1%
49.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.1
30.1%
30.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
70.3%18.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.6
49.7%
49.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.6
26.4%
30.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
70.3%12.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goverla
LLLLLWLWLL
Stariy Lutsk
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-12.8
Net rating
-20.3
104.4
Offensive rating
89.1
117.2
Defensive rating
109.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
45.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
22.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.1%
3-point %
26.4%
62.1%
Assist %
57.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 89.1Defence117.2 · 109.5Shooting48.7% · 45.5%3-point %30.1% · 26.4%Ball care19.7% · 22.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Goverla   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Goverla wins
5
Stariy Lutsk wins
Goverlalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABC Dnipro80-95
01/04/25HBC Dnipro76-91
27/03/25ABK Zaporozhye82-92
26/03/25ABC Dnipro88-90
22/03/25ACherkaski Mavpy69-78
21/03/25AKryvbas92-88
16/03/25HBC Dnipro71-85
09/03/25AStariy Lutsk66-64
08/03/25ARivne80-93
14/02/25HCherkaski Mavpy70-88
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HKyiv Basket49-83
01/04/25AKyiv Basket70-76
27/03/25AKryvbas71-80
26/03/25ACherkaski Mavpy68-78
09/03/25HGoverla64-66
08/03/25HKyiv Basket62-71
23/02/25HRivne84-97
15/02/25HBK Zaporozhye85-87
14/02/25HBC Dnipro69-86
02/02/25ABC Dnipro52-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goverla
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kryvbas110100%67.054.0+13.0
2 BC Dnipro220100%73.064.5+8.5
3 Kyiv Basket110100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Kharkivski Sokoly21150%85.084.0+1.0
5 BK Zaporozhye21150%85.585.5+0.0
6 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv1010%76.084.0-8.0
7 Cherkaski Mavpy2020%65.074.5-9.5
8 Rivne1010%54.067.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goverla2823162592
Stariy Lutsk1314332484
← all games of the day
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