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Graffenstaden W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-74
16-24 15-17 21-15 9-18
Position#11
Record3-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game70.0
Graffenstaden W
France
vs
Toulouse W 🏆
France
Position#4
Record7-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game68.2
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 14· Hall De La SIG
Women2023-24
Meetings · Graffenstaden W v Toulouse W
27 Jan 2024
GRAF61
TOUL74
09 Oct 2021
GRAF65
TOUL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Graffenstaden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
87-49
87
49
+38
86avg 58
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
36avg 58
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
60-65
60
65
-5
55avg 58
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
L
65-79
65
79
-14
55avg 58
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
48-66
48
66
-18
36avg 58
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
55-64
55
64
-9
no box
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
64avg 58
A16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
67avg 58
H06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 58
H13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
72-55
72
55
+17
74avg 58
A20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
23-8
22-13
20-16
19-20
4-16
5-22
23-15
13-20
16-14
18-8
13-23
16-17
15-20
11-16
23-26
14-18
14-19
15-10
5-19
19-16
0-21
21-7
15-20
16-18
18-24
16-29
19-13
17-19
20-18
9-22
26-19
11-7
26-11
18-10
22-37
22-17
9-13
17-15
24-10
133.4Avg total
65.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)64.570.0134.5-5.523%
Season at home (7)65.165.9131.0-0.729%
Season away (6)63.874.8138.7-11.017%
Last 10 (10)65.667.8133.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)69.069.2138.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.270.8133.0-8.717%
vs Similar (12)60.865.3126.1-4.633%
vs Weaker (5)69.854.6124.4+15.2100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
37avg 60
A28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 60
H04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 60
A18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
55-53
55
53
+2
44avg 60
A24/11
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
75-64
75
64
+11
73avg 60
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
no box
A08/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 60
H16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
66avg 60
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 60
A13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
53avg 60
H20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
18-8
4-16
14-22
17-12
16-12
19-20
23-18
15-17
16-10
28-18
6-25
18-6
11-13
18-17
8-17
28-16
15-7
21-24
11-17
18-14
16-24
20-18
21-19
14-14
13-25
22-17
15-16
22-18
8-25
19-12
17-24
12-22
14-22
21-21
24-26
13-10
14-25
16-25
22-11
137.5Avg total
67.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.268.2139.5+3.054%
Season at home (6)79.067.3146.3+11.767%
Season away (7)64.669.0133.6-4.443%
Last 10 (10)67.669.9137.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)71.878.6150.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.277.6139.8-15.40%
vs Similar (17)74.372.0146.3+2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.066.1136.1+3.957%
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
Graffenstaden WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
37-18
37
18
+19
H13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/01
Ligue 2 Women
64.2Avg total
31.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.563.4-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.931.263.2+0.724%-
Last 30 away (13)29.634.263.8-4.546%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.864.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.632.864.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.235.064.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (12)31.133.064.1-1.925%-
vs Weaker (5)34.827.061.8+7.860%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#9
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A24/11
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H20/01
Ligue 2 Women
62.0Avg total
30.9Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.469.2+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.235.373.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)31.533.564.9-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)30.931.162.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)28.839.868.6-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.039.469.4-9.40%-
vs Similar (17)37.035.672.6+1.465%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.928.762.6+5.157%-
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 62.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.3
45.5%
45.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.13.9
29.8%
29.5%11.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
71.3%14.2
They take 53.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.219.2
44.4%
45.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.3
22.8%
29.5%12.9
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
71.3%12.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Graffenstaden W
WWLLLLLLLW
Toulouse W
LLLLWWWLWL
#11
League position
#4
-0.7
Net rating
-6.5
85.9
Offensive rating
83.3
86.6
Defensive rating
89.8
45.3%
Effective FG%
41.3%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
26.9%
Turnover %
22.3%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.8%
3-point %
22.8%
64.9%
Assist %
67.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 83.3Defence86.6 · 89.8Shooting45.3% · 41.3%3-point %29.8% · 22.8%Ball care26.9% · 22.3%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Graffenstaden W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Graffenstaden W wins
2
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Toulouse W v Graffenstaden W90-60
22/01/22Toulouse W v Graffenstaden W68-41
09/10/21Graffenstaden W v Toulouse W65-64
Graffenstaden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AMondeville W72-55
13/01/24HTronche Meylan W77-65
06/01/24HPays Voironnais W72-78
16/12/23AAulnoye AS W69-84
09/12/23HChartres W55-64
02/12/23HNice W48-66
25/11/23AFeytiat W65-79
18/11/23HChampagne W60-65
04/11/23AMontbrison W51-73
28/10/23HCentre Federal BB W87-49
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HChartres W65-71
13/01/24AAulnoye AS W71-91
06/01/24AMondeville W66-79
16/12/23HTronche Meylan W64-72
08/12/23AChampagne W93-80 OT
02/12/23HMontbrison W75-64
24/11/23ACentre Federal BB W55-53
18/11/23ANice W65-70
04/11/23HPays Voironnais W75-62
28/10/23AFeytiat W47-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW23%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game64.565.163.8
Allowed / game70.065.974.8
Point differential-5.5-0.7-11.0
Avg total134.5131.0138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game71.279.064.6
Allowed / game68.267.369.0
Point differential+3.0+11.7-4.4
Avg total139.5146.3133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aulnoye AS W1311285%76.763.1+13.6
2 Montbrison W1310377%66.560.2+6.3
3 Chartres W139469%64.859.0+5.8
4 Pays Voironnais W138562%68.968.2+0.8
5 Tronche Meylan W137654%68.062.8+5.2
6 Toulouse W137654%71.268.2+3.0
7 Mondeville W136746%64.161.9+2.2
8 Nice W136746%69.367.2+2.1
9 Champagne W135838%73.572.4+1.2
10 Feytiat W135838%62.469.8-7.5
11 Graffenstaden W1331023%64.570.0-5.5
12 Centre Federal BB W131128%50.177.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Graffenstaden W161521961
Toulouse W2417151874
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