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Gran Canaria vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-66
20-17 16-9 21-24 16-16
Position#14
Record5-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#9
Record7-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H22/11
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H24/11
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A29/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A06/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A09/12
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H14/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H16/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H18/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A20/12
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A23/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-25
20-15
12-28
19-19
25-16
20-18
21-26
22-25
12-19
23-12
18-15
20-22
28-18
23-23
23-23
20-17
11-23
15-25
17-22
26-20
30-14
26-23
13-28
19-21
19-16
23-16
22-15
27-22
8-19
18-27
18-16
14-20
19-32
21-21
23-25
21-21
13-21
17-12
18-17
160.4Avg total
78.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.889.4171.2-7.636%
Season at home (7)84.688.9173.4-4.343%
Season away (7)79.090.0169.0-11.029%
Last 10 (10)78.681.8160.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)79.081.2160.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.891.7171.6-11.917%
vs Similar (10)83.781.3165.0+2.450%
vs Weaker (2)79.573.0152.5+6.550%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
109-68
109
68
+41
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H23/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
13-18
18-21
26-26
25-13
29-14
26-19
29-22
18-23
22-8
20-27
23-20
19-29
21-19
20-11
23-16
22-14
19-24
30-16
24-32
12-18
26-28
23-17
23-25
18-9
20-17
23-10
18-19
15-19
18-20
16-14
26-18
16-16
23-17
20-20
21-20
15-24
23-13
18-18
16-14
159.0Avg total
84.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.581.2163.7+1.350%
Season at home (8)80.982.1163.0-1.238%
Season away (6)84.780.0164.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)84.374.7159.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)78.071.2149.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.087.5173.5-1.525%
vs Similar (8)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.967.6151.6+16.394%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Gran CanariaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/11
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/11
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A29/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A06/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/12
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/12
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/12
ACB
80.6Avg total
39.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.184.7-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.442.487.8+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.445.682.0-9.26%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.180.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.646.887.3-6.222%-
vs Similar (10)39.940.780.6-0.840%-
vs Weaker (2)44.037.581.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/12
LKL
76.2Avg total
40.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.776.0+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.637.376.9+2.365%-
Last 30 away (13)41.233.674.8+7.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.276.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.536.579.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (8)39.138.677.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.334.274.5+6.167%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.9
51.1%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.5%
37.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
76.7%11.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.3
55.0%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.66.5
41.7%
37.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.8
79.5%
76.7%17.8
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LLLWWLWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#9
-4.7
Net rating
+4.2
106.7
Offensive rating
115.5
111.3
Defensive rating
111.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.41
32.5%
3-point %
41.7%
59.3%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 115.5Defence111.3 · 111.3Shooting50.2% · 57.2%3-point %32.5% · 41.7%Ball care15.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gran Canaria wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza69-71
20/12/18AOlympiacos77-98
18/12/18HBaskonia71-84
16/12/18HJoventut Badalona83-68
14/12/18HBuducnost95-85
09/12/18AReal Madrid63-87
06/12/18AOlimpia Milano94-86
29/11/18ADarussafaka75-71
24/11/18HEstudiantes85-79
22/11/18HBayern74-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18HJuventus72-69
21/12/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-73
19/12/18ADarussafaka75-71
16/12/18ANevezis79-55
14/12/18ABayern84-88
09/12/18HRytas95-86
06/12/18HOlympiacos83-75
29/11/18HOlimpia Milano83-78
25/11/18APieno Zvaigzdes109-68
23/11/18HKhimki M.83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL36%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game81.884.679.0
Allowed / game89.488.990.0
Point differential-7.6-4.3-11.0
Avg total171.2173.4169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%38%67%
Points / game82.580.984.7
Allowed / game81.282.180.0
Point differential+1.3-1.2+4.7
Avg total163.7163.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %21%12%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1514193%83.674.7+8.9
2 Real Madrid1512380%87.576.0+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1511473%88.582.9+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes159660%86.182.4+3.7
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Bayern158753%80.580.8-0.3
7 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
8 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
9 Olimpia Milano157847%85.985.7+0.3
10 Baskonia157847%80.880.7+0.1
11 Panathinaikos157847%79.580.1-0.7
12 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%78.080.1-2.1
14 Khimki M.1551033%77.780.8-3.1
15 Buducnost1531220%72.584.3-11.7
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria2016211673
Zalgiris Kaunas179241666
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