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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-84
18-12 28-26 17-23 25-23
Position#12
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.0
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
116-70
116
70
+46
149avg 105
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
95-74
95
74
+21
no box
H11/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
108avg 105
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
86avg 105
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
117avg 105
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
93avg 105
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
95avg 105
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
A09/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
33-18
33-15
29-20
20-19
22-18
26-17
27-20
23-30
17-26
25-21
14-16
21-19
15-16
25-17
20-14
15-15
12-16
16-14
19-27
21-17
25-25
15-20
28-12
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
16-16
15-12
23-22
18-15
25-22
26-13
10-15
21-16
159.5Avg total
84.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.580.0159.5-0.545%
Season at home (7)79.677.1156.7+2.457%
Season away (4)79.285.0164.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)84.175.4159.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)81.675.8157.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.090.3168.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.678.1158.7+2.558%
vs Weaker (14)88.972.6161.6+16.393%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
104avg 107
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
no box
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
no box
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
108avg 107
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
107avg 107
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H09/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
15-18
24-15
15-12
23-9
25-17
27-22
19-17
18-23
16-16
16-21
26-16
26-13
24-13
28-14
24-21
18-16
20-21
22-22
26-27
26-19
13-18
18-21
26-26
25-13
29-14
26-19
29-22
18-23
22-8
20-27
23-20
19-29
21-19
20-11
23-16
22-14
19-24
30-16
24-32
166.7Avg total
90.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.382.3165.5+1.045%
Season at home (7)81.083.4164.4-2.429%
Season away (4)87.280.2167.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)90.376.4166.7+13.970%
Last 5 (5)90.678.2168.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.087.5173.5-1.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.382.5165.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (20)85.570.5155.9+15.090%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/12
BBL
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.880.2+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.580.1+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.039.480.4+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.479.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.750.392.0-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.036.075.0+3.058%-
vs Weaker (14)44.237.181.3+7.186%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/12
LKL
75.9Avg total
41.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.076.9+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.437.477.8+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)41.534.075.5+7.567%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.275.9+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.279.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.536.579.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.338.377.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (20)41.035.276.2+5.860%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.1
53.6%
52.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.17.5
39.3%
37.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
76.7%12.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.8
57.2%
52.7%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.35.2
39.1%
37.0%15.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.9
74.3%
76.7%15.9
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWLWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
+1.8
113.0
Offensive rating
112.1
110.6
Defensive rating
110.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.3%
3-point %
39.1%
59.1%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 112.1Defence110.6 · 110.3Shooting55.3% · 57.6%3-point %39.3% · 39.1%Ball care16.5% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
28/02/14Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas79-73
03/01/14Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern66-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18AJena82-66
06/12/18HKhimki M.72-65
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
22/11/18AGran Canaria89-74
20/11/18HOlympiacos62-72
18/11/18AMitteldeutscher81-66
16/11/18HCSKA Moscow79-93
11/11/18HOldenburg95-74
08/11/18HDarussafaka116-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18HRytas95-86
06/12/18HOlympiacos83-75
29/11/18HOlimpia Milano83-78
25/11/18APieno Zvaigzdes109-68
23/11/18HKhimki M.83-84
21/11/18ACSKA Moscow97-99 OT
18/11/18HSiauliai102-61
16/11/18HBarcelona85-88 OT
12/11/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-65
09/11/18ABuducnost72-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game79.579.679.2
Allowed / game80.077.185.0
Point differential-0.5+2.4-5.8
Avg total159.5156.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%29%75%
Points / game83.381.087.2
Allowed / game82.383.480.2
Point differential+1.0-2.4+7.0
Avg total165.5164.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %27%14%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1211192%85.176.4+8.7
2 Real Madrid1210283%89.877.9+11.9
3 CSKA Moscow1210283%88.882.0+6.8
4 Anadolu Efes128467%86.482.2+4.2
5 Olympiacos127558%80.678.2+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano126650%86.185.7+0.4
7 Barcelona126650%77.279.0-1.8
8 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%83.382.3+1.0
9 Bayern115645%79.580.0-0.5
10 Panathinaikos115645%79.179.6-0.5
11 Baskonia125742%81.182.1-1.0
12 Gran Canaria114736%82.089.5-7.5
13 Khimki M.124833%78.380.3-2.0
14 Buducnost113827%71.180.1-9.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%77.080.5-3.5
16 Darussafaka111109%76.187.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1828172588
Zalgiris Kaunas1226232384
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