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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-78
18-23 22-8 20-27 23-20
Position#9
Record3-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#11
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2018
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H28/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H02/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A04/11
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
109-68
109
68
+41
A25/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-20
22-6
16-14
32-18
12-25
24-19
11-28
25-16
14-20
31-19
23-13
18-15
15-18
24-15
15-12
23-9
25-17
27-22
19-17
18-23
16-16
16-21
26-16
26-13
24-13
28-14
24-21
18-16
20-21
22-22
26-27
26-19
13-18
18-21
26-26
25-13
29-14
26-19
29-22
162.6Avg total
88.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.383.6166.9-0.233%
Season at home (5)80.286.2166.4-6.00%
Season away (4)87.280.2167.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)88.574.1162.6+14.460%
Last 5 (5)95.280.0175.2+15.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.087.5173.5-1.525%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.585.5169.0-2.025%
vs Weaker (22)85.770.0155.7+15.791%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A04/11
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H08/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H11/11
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H25/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
19-14
24-27
23-21
24-17
19-18
25-19
13-26
16-17
27-19
14-21
36-14
21-16
20-24
25-23
19-27
23-15
21-28
31-13
25-19
26-19
28-30
14-20
30-23
31-11
13-23
16-26
24-21
27-26
20-17
26-25
20-22
25-24
17-29
12-21
26-16
11-20
18-15
27-20
20-20
171.3Avg total
88.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.184.3171.4+2.867%
Season at home (5)85.086.2171.2-1.260%
Season away (4)89.882.0171.8+7.875%
Last 10 (10)88.782.6171.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)86.285.6171.8+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.0170.7-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.581.8167.3+3.783%
vs Weaker (20)88.277.7165.9+10.685%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/11
LKL
Buducnost
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A25/11
LKL
75.4Avg total
41.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.777.0+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.736.877.5+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)42.034.276.2+7.869%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.275.4+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.276.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.536.579.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.037.876.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (22)41.535.276.6+6.364%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/11
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/11
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/11
Lega A
83.9Avg total
43.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.985.9+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.236.378.5+5.973%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.283.9+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.841.882.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker (20)44.838.082.8+6.870%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.7
58.2%
52.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.35.8
40.6%
37.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.117.8
77.1%
76.7%17.8
They take 53.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.4
40.3%
37.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
76.7%16.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWLWWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLWWW
#9
League position
#11
+4.3
Net rating
+8.4
116.0
Offensive rating
117.3
111.6
Defensive rating
108.8
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
21.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.6%
3-point %
40.3%
61.8%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 117.3Defence111.6 · 108.8Shooting58.9% · 54.9%3-point %40.6% · 40.3%Ball care21.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/18APieno Zvaigzdes109-68
23/11/18HKhimki M.83-84
21/11/18ACSKA Moscow97-99 OT
18/11/18HSiauliai102-61
16/11/18HBarcelona85-88 OT
12/11/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-65
09/11/18ABuducnost72-60
04/11/18ASiauliai93-68
02/11/18HReal Madrid79-90
28/10/18HLietkabelis71-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/18HCremona76-75
23/11/18ABarcelona80-90
21/11/18HBaskonia93-90
18/11/18AVenezia84-81
15/11/18ADarussafaka98-92
11/11/18HReggiana100-75
08/11/18HCSKA Moscow85-90
04/11/18ATorino93-71
02/11/18HAnadolu Efes81-80
28/10/18APesaro97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%0%75%
Points / game83.380.287.2
Allowed / game83.686.280.2
Point differential-0.2-6.0+7.0
Avg total166.9166.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %33%20%50%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game87.185.089.8
Allowed / game84.386.282.0
Point differential+2.8-1.2+7.8
Avg total171.4171.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid98189%90.477.2+13.2
2 CSKA Moscow98189%90.282.9+7.3
3 Fenerbahce98189%84.977.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes97278%86.481.0+5.4
5 Barcelona96367%81.378.3+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano96367%87.184.3+2.8
7 Panathinaikos95456%81.479.9+1.6
8 Olympiacos95456%79.178.3+0.8
9 Bayern94544%81.280.0+1.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas93633%83.383.6-0.2
11 Baskonia93633%81.281.9-0.7
12 Khimki M.93633%80.681.8-1.2
13 Gran Canaria103730%80.889.9-9.1
14 Buducnost92722%71.780.6-8.9
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv91811%75.282.6-7.3
16 Darussafaka101910%76.689.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1822202383
Olimpia Milano238272078
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