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Granada vs Ourense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17· Palacio de Deportes
Other2026-27
Meetings · Granada v Ourense
17 Jan 2027
GRA v OURE
upcoming
14 Mar 2020
GRA v OURE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
GRA68
OURE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
96-109
96
109
-13
89avg 77
H23/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 77
A29/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
76-82
76
82
-6
66avg 77
H26/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
77-67
77
67
+10
67avg 77
A03/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 77
H10/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A17/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
76avg 77
A25/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
no box
A06/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
23-27
22-29
23-25
33-20
23-31
21-27
28-32
17-24
18-16
26-17
15-25
17-10
19-29
22-12
19-16
19-25
25-22
26-22
21-19
15-30
18-18
16-19
32-22
23-11
18-20
19-28
13-14
17-14
23-14
16-22
15-16
7-13
18-16
12-22
19-21
32-22
12-19
23-27
21-20
169.9Avg total
83.4Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.180.8159.9-1.650%
Season at home (4)83.884.2168.0-0.550%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.486.5169.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.895.4179.2-11.710%
vs Similar (7)82.778.9161.6+3.986%
vs Weaker (2)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 68
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 68
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 68
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 68
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 68
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 68
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 68
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
GranadaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H23/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A29/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A17/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H31/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A06/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/11
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
40.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.782.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.381.2+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.183.5-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.981.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.044.784.7-4.738%-
vs Similar (7)38.736.675.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)39.543.583.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.7
57.0%
53.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
74.2%19.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LLWWLWWLLL
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
#8
League position
#6
-4.9
Net rating
-5.1
104.5
Offensive rating
110.3
109.3
Defensive rating
115.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.7%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.6%
3-point %
30.5%
55.6%
Assist %
53.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.3Defence109.3 · 115.4Shooting54.9% · 49.6%3-point %34.6% · 30.5%Ball care11.7% · 0.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Granada   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Granada wins
1
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
09/11/19Ourense v Granada79-74
19/01/19Ourense v Granada80-83
07/10/18Granada v Ourense68-64
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEstudiantes97-101 OT
06/11/26APalencia56-72
31/10/26HFuenlabrada71-66
25/10/26ACaja 8784-81 OT
17/10/26AZamora81-89
10/10/26HTizona Burgos91-88
03/10/26AOviedo77-67
26/09/26HGipuzkoa76-82
29/05/26ASan Pablo Burgos105-110
23/05/26HTenerife96-109
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.183.874.5
Allowed / game80.884.277.2
Point differential-1.6-0.5-2.8
Avg total159.9168.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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