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Grand Rapids Gold vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 113-116
Projected total 229.3
Final 116-130
27-26 26-35 29-37 34-32
Position#20
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Vs
39%
61%
■ GRAN 39%■ SIOU 61%
Pythia win probability
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Grand Rapids Gold v Sioux Falls Skyforce
08 Nov 2026
GRAN114
SIOU120
07 Nov 2026
GRAN116
SIOU130
14 Dec 2022
GRAN105
SIOU108
12 Dec 2022
GRAN83
SIOU89
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Grand Rapids Gold will host the Sioux Falls Skyforce on 7 November 2026 in the NBA G League, with the Skyforce the model favourite and the game expected to swing in their favour. Grand Rapids has struggled in recent play, winning only 2 of their last 5 games, while the Skyforce have managed a single win in their most recent five outings. Grand Rapids' last five results include a 123-101 victory over the Birmingham Squadron at home on 27 March 2026, followed by two consecutive losses to the South Bay Lakers on 21 and 20 March 2026. The Skyforce's recent slate features three straight defeats: a 132-140 loss to the South Bay Lakers on 28 March 2026, a 114-137 loss to the same team on 26 March 2026, and a 105-116 loss to the Mexico City Capitanes at home on 21 March 2026. In their eight meetings, the Skyforce lead 6-2, most recently falling to Grand Rapids 126-115 on 30 November 2025. Pythia assigns a 39% chance to Grand Rapids and a 61% chance to Sioux Falls, projecting a 113-116 score and a total of 229.3 points, with a 4% chance of overtime. The model sees a 39% probability that Grand Rapids will cover the home line. The Skyforce's recent dominance suggests they will likely pull away in this contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grand Rapids Gold winLost
38.9%fair 2.57
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sioux Falls Skyforce winWon
61.1%fair 1.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Grand Rapids GoldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capital City Go-Go
#18
W
130-121
130
121
+9
H03/03
NBA - G League
Capital City Go-Go
#18
L
120-126
120
126
-6
H06/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
H10/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
L
95-122
95
122
-27
H11/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A13/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
131-125 OT
131
125
+6
H15/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
127-130 OT
127
130
-3
H17/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
98-111
98
111
-13
A21/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
111-119
111
119
-8
A22/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
W
123-101
123
101
+22
H27/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
29-33
34-31
31-25
34-35
36-29
27-23
23-39
31-23
27-29
22-30
28-26
25-28
28-28
25-37
17-29
20-19
19-25
15-26
37-26
32-37
21-28
34-28
36-30
30-37
28-36
35-29
29-20
25-28
31-30
26-28
16-25
28-23
32-40
29-28
22-28
35-20
25-25
31-26
32-30
230.4Avg total
113.8Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)113.8116.6230.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)118.0117.2235.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)109.8125.3235.1-15.50%
vs Similar (17)114.8118.1232.9-3.441%
vs Weaker (3)125.7126.3252.0-0.733%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osceola Magic
#4
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
119-82
119
82
+37
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
131-89
131
89
+42
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
105-116
105
116
-11
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
132-140
132
140
-8
A29/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
34-34
31-23
15-23
31-24
25-16
42-22
21-20
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
33-20
36-29
31-24
31-16
32-25
31-32
18-27
24-32
23-31
35-37
36-32
20-37
31-36
36-35
39-38
26-31
232.8Avg total
118.2Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)118.2114.6232.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)120.6121.0241.6-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)118.8124.5243.2-5.825%
vs Similar (17)117.5113.1230.6+4.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)117.7112.4230.1+5.244%
This opponent (Grand Rapids Gold) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 227Actual: Over 227
Over 227
54.8%
Under 227
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 232Actual: Over 232
Over 232
44.1%
Under 232
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 237Actual: Over 237
Over 237
33.9%
Under 237
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Grand Rapids Gold total 113.5Actual: Grand Rapids Gold over 113.5
Over 113.5
47.6%
Under 113.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grand Rapids Gold total 117.5Actual: Grand Rapids Gold under 117.5
Over 117.5
34.6%
Under 117.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grand Rapids Gold total 121.5Actual: Grand Rapids Gold under 121.5
Over 121.5
23.1%
Under 121.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 110.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 110.5
Over 110.5
69.5%
Under 110.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 114.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 114.5
Over 114.5
56.9%
Under 114.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 118.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 118.5
Over 118.5
43.4%
Under 118.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Grand Rapids Gold -3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +3
GRAN -3
31.3%
SIOU +3
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Grand Rapids Gold 0Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce 0
GRAN 0
38.9%
SIOU 0
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Grand Rapids Gold +3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce -3
GRAN +3
46.5%
SIOU -3
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
Grand Rapids GoldSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Grand Rapids GoldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capital City Go-Go
#18
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H03/03
NBA - G League
Capital City Go-Go
#18
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H06/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H10/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A13/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H15/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A21/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A22/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H27/03
NBA - G League
115.7Avg total
57.2Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.560.4117.9-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.160.5118.6-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)56.960.3117.1-3.420%-
Last 10 (10)57.258.5115.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)57.460.8118.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)57.760.2117.9-2.530%-
vs Similar (17)57.159.0116.1-1.929%-
vs Weaker (3)59.368.7128.0-9.30%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osceola Magic
#4
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A29/03
NBA - G League
117.5Avg total
61.4Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.756.8117.5+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.656.2118.8+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)58.657.5116.1+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.1117.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)61.260.2121.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.861.2124.0+1.525%-
vs Similar (17)61.556.4117.8+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)58.355.7114.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Grand Rapids Gold) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HBirmingham Squadron123-101
22/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers111-119
21/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers98-111
17/03/26HOklahoma City Blue127-130 OT
15/03/26HOklahoma City Blue131-125 OT
13/03/26AMaine Celtics91-96
11/03/26HBirmingham Squadron95-122
10/03/26HMexico City Capitanes112-115 OT
06/03/26HCapital City Go-Go120-126
03/03/26HCapital City Go-Go130-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers132-140
27/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers114-137
22/03/26HMexico City Capitanes105-116
21/03/26HMexico City Capitanes131-89
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109
06/03/26AMemphis Hustle119-82
04/03/26AOsceola Magic106-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grand Rapids Gold
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maine Celtics110100%121.094.0+27.0
2 Delaware Blue Coats110100%147.0122.0+25.0
3 Windy City Bulls110100%127.0102.0+25.0
4 Wisconsin Herd110100%142.0124.0+18.0
5 Mexico City Capitanes110100%94.079.0+15.0
6 College Park Skyhawks110100%128.0117.0+11.0
7 South Bay Lakers110100%104.098.0+6.0
8 Austin Toros Spurs110100%120.0116.0+4.0
9 San Diego Clippers110100%127.0126.0+1.0
10 Greensboro Swarm21150%108.0104.5+3.5
11 Long Island Nets21150%104.5108.0-3.5
12 Valley Suns1010%126.0127.0-1.0
13 Rio Grande Valley Vipers1010%116.0120.0-4.0
14 Salt Lake City Stars1010%98.0104.0-6.0
15 Raptors 9051010%117.0128.0-11.0
16 Oklahoma City Blue1010%79.094.0-15.0
17 Iowa Wolves1010%124.0142.0-18.0
18 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
19 Noblesville Boom1010%102.0127.0-25.0
20 Westchester1010%94.0121.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grand Rapids Gold27262934116
Sioux Falls Skyforce26353732130
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