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Sioux Falls Skyforce vs Mexico City Capitanes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 131-89
33-20 36-29 31-24 31-16
Position#16
Record25-21
FormWWLWL
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game117.5
vs
Position#9
Record28-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA - G League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sioux Falls Skyforce v Mexico City Capitanes
21 Mar 2026
SIOU105
MEXI116
20 Mar 2026
SIOU131
MEXI89
14 Mar 2024
SIOU107
MEXI119
12 Mar 2024
SIOU102
MEXI90
23 Feb 2023
SIOU118
MEXI109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sioux Falls Skyforce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico City Capitanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
W
123-106
123
106
+17
H20/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H21/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
141-115
141
115
+26
H22/02
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
W
123-108
123
108
+15
A01/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
119-82
119
82
+37
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
30-27
36-28
32-29
14-26
38-28
25-30
33-32
36-35
43-25
30-25
32-30
36-21
30-25
28-33
29-29
26-26
34-34
31-23
15-23
31-24
25-16
42-22
21-20
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
230.6Avg total
119.7Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)118.7117.5236.2+1.254%
Season at home (23)122.2119.0241.2+3.257%
Season away (23)115.2116.0231.2-0.852%
Last 10 (10)119.7110.9230.6+8.860%
Last 5 (5)118.8110.2229.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.5110.5225.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)116.3114.3230.6+1.958%
vs Weaker (9)117.7112.4230.1+5.244%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
120-119
120
119
+1
H22/02
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
122-118
122
118
+4
H25/02
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
117-118
117
118
-1
A28/02
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
118-114
118
114
+4
H01/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
122-110
122
110
+12
H04/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A07/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
116-97
116
97
+19
A08/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
125-122
125
122
+3
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
109-127
109
127
-18
H15/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
32-41
21-27
30-23
32-19
32-35
30-27
28-37
18-40
33-29
27-24
39-25
25-25
17-37
33-22
43-30
18-27
42-35
32-32
30-16
34-25
27-25
26-28
29-26
18-26
34-27
34-26
30-18
23-31
29-27
30-22
26-28
24-28
30-27
38-28
33-39
25-31
29-32
29-25
26-39
232.1Avg total
118.0Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)114.2111.4225.6+2.962%
Season at home (25)117.9110.5228.4+7.480%
Season away (20)109.7112.4222.1-2.740%
Last 10 (10)118.0114.1232.1+3.980%
Last 5 (5)116.2112.4228.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.0119.0229.0-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (19)116.5110.6227.1+5.868%
vs Weaker (8)117.6111.9229.5+5.888%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Sioux Falls SkyforceMexico City Capitanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H20/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H21/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H22/02
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A01/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
113.4Avg total
60.9Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.256.9117.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.356.7119.0+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)58.157.2115.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)60.952.5113.4+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)59.451.2110.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.053.0116.0+10.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)60.857.9118.8+2.963%-
vs Weaker (9)58.355.7114.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H22/02
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H25/02
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A28/02
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H01/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H04/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A07/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A08/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H15/03
NBA - G League
115.4Avg total
55.9Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.758.4113.1-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.859.3118.1-0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)49.257.3106.5-8.123%-
Last 10 (10)55.959.5115.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.8110.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.060.3108.3-12.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.559.4114.9-3.932%-
vs Weaker (8)55.155.4110.5-0.225%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
2
Mexico City Capitanes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109
06/03/26AMemphis Hustle119-82
04/03/26AOsceola Magic106-113 OT
01/03/26AOsceola Magic123-108
22/02/26HValley Suns141-115
21/02/26HValley Suns110-116
20/02/26HRio Grande Valley Vipers123-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle109-127
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle125-122
10/03/26AGrand Rapids Gold115-112 OT
08/03/26AWisconsin Herd116-97
07/03/26AWisconsin Herd116-104
04/03/26HNoblesville Boom122-110
01/03/26HNoblesville Boom118-114
28/02/26AIowa Wolves117-118
25/02/26HSalt Lake City Stars122-118
22/02/26HSalt Lake City Stars120-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %54%57%52%
Points / game118.7122.2115.2
Allowed / game117.5119.0116.0
Point differential+1.2+3.2-0.8
Avg total236.2241.2231.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)17% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452520
Win %62%80%40%
Points / game114.2117.9109.7
Allowed / game111.4110.5112.4
Point differential+2.9+7.4-2.7
Avg total225.6228.4222.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)86% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Raptors 90546341274%118.4110.2+8.2
2 Greensboro Swarm46331372%124.3115.4+8.9
3 Austin Toros Spurs46321470%114.4110.1+4.3
4 Osceola Magic46311567%119.9112.8+7.1
5 Cleveland Charge46301665%125.2119.0+6.2
6 South Bay Lakers45291664%120.3113.7+6.7
7 Stockton Kings45281762%116.5112.5+4.0
8 Mexico City Capitanes45281762%114.2111.4+2.9
9 Rio Grande Valley Vipers46281861%117.9116.3+1.6
10 Iowa Wolves46262057%122.9119.3+3.5
11 Motor City Cruise45252056%118.2115.9+2.4
12 Long Island Nets46252154%114.6113.0+1.5
13 Sioux Falls Skyforce46252154%118.7117.5+1.2
14 Rip City Remix46252154%121.4121.2+0.2
15 Salt Lake City Stars48262254%124.1120.1+4.1
16 San Diego Clippers47252253%114.7116.1-1.4
17 Maine Celtics48252352%112.0112.9-0.9
18 Capital City Go-Go47232449%114.9113.4+1.5
19 Windy City Bulls47222547%122.3125.4-3.1
20 Grand Rapids Gold47202743%118.3120.8-2.5
21 Noblesville Boom48202842%117.6118.6-1.0
22 Delaware Blue Coats46192741%118.5122.0-3.5
23 Birmingham Squadron47192840%108.0114.3-6.3
24 Texas Legends46182839%115.2116.6-1.4
25 College Park Skyhawks45162936%115.5122.8-7.3
26 Memphis Hustle46163035%113.5118.4-4.9
27 Oklahoma City Blue45153033%110.7117.3-6.6
28 Santa Cruz Warriors45143131%111.5117.0-5.5
29 Wisconsin Herd45133229%107.1111.6-4.5
30 Valley Suns47133428%113.1119.5-6.4
31 Westchester46123426%109.1117.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sioux Falls Skyforce33363131131
Mexico City Capitanes2029241689
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