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Sioux Falls Skyforce vs Mexico City Capitanes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-116
32-25 31-32 18-27 24-32
Position#16
Record26-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game116.9
vs
Position#9
Record28-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game111.8
USANBA - G League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sioux Falls Skyforce v Mexico City Capitanes
21 Mar 2026
SIOU105
MEXI116
20 Mar 2026
SIOU131
MEXI89
14 Mar 2024
SIOU107
MEXI119
12 Mar 2024
SIOU102
MEXI90
23 Feb 2023
SIOU118
MEXI109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sioux Falls Skyforce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico City Capitanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valley Suns
#31
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H21/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
141-115
141
115
+26
H22/02
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
W
123-108
123
108
+15
A01/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
119-82
119
82
+37
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
131-89
131
89
+42
H21/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
38-28
25-30
33-32
36-35
43-25
30-25
32-30
36-21
30-25
28-33
29-29
26-26
34-34
31-23
15-23
31-24
25-16
42-22
21-20
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
33-20
36-29
31-24
31-16
229.7Avg total
120.5Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)118.9116.9235.8+2.055%
Season at home (24)122.5117.8240.3+4.858%
Season away (23)115.2116.0231.2-0.852%
Last 10 (10)120.5109.2229.7+11.360%
Last 5 (5)121.2111.6232.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.5110.5225.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)117.6112.3229.8+5.363%
vs Weaker (9)117.7112.4230.1+5.244%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
122-118
122
118
+4
H25/02
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
117-118
117
118
-1
A28/02
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
118-114
118
114
+4
H01/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
122-110
122
110
+12
H04/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A07/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
116-97
116
97
+19
A08/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
125-122
125
122
+3
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
109-127
109
127
-18
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
89-131
89
131
-42
A21/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
32-35
30-27
28-37
18-40
33-29
27-24
39-25
25-25
17-37
33-22
43-30
18-27
42-35
32-32
30-16
34-25
27-25
26-28
29-26
18-26
34-27
34-26
30-18
23-31
29-27
30-22
26-28
24-28
30-27
38-28
33-39
25-31
29-32
29-25
26-39
20-33
29-36
24-31
16-31
230.2Avg total
114.9Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)113.7111.8225.5+1.961%
Season at home (25)117.9110.5228.4+7.480%
Season away (21)108.7113.3222.0-4.638%
Last 10 (10)114.9115.3230.2-0.470%
Last 5 (5)110.8117.8228.6-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.0119.0228.0-10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.1111.7226.8+3.465%
vs Weaker (8)117.6111.9229.5+5.888%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
Sioux Falls SkyforceMexico City Capitanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valley Suns
#31
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H21/02
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H22/02
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A01/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A04/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H21/03
NBA - G League
114.8Avg total
62.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.756.0116.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.856.2118.9+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)58.455.9114.2+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)62.352.5114.8+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)62.053.0115.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.053.0116.0+10.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)61.656.5118.1+5.168%-
vs Weaker (9)58.355.7114.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H25/02
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A28/02
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H01/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H04/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A07/03
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A08/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A21/03
NBA - G League
113.4Avg total
53.9Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.758.5113.3-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.859.3118.1-0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)49.457.5106.9-8.223%-
Last 10 (10)53.959.5113.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)52.259.6111.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.557.5106.0-9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)55.259.9115.1-4.730%-
vs Weaker (8)55.155.4110.5-0.225%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
2
Mexico City Capitanes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HMexico City Capitanes131-89
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109
06/03/26AMemphis Hustle119-82
04/03/26AOsceola Magic106-113 OT
01/03/26AOsceola Magic123-108
22/02/26HValley Suns141-115
21/02/26HValley Suns110-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce89-131
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle109-127
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle125-122
10/03/26AGrand Rapids Gold115-112 OT
08/03/26AWisconsin Herd116-97
07/03/26AWisconsin Herd116-104
04/03/26HNoblesville Boom122-110
01/03/26HNoblesville Boom118-114
28/02/26AIowa Wolves117-118
25/02/26HSalt Lake City Stars122-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayLLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %55%58%52%
Points / game118.9122.5115.2
Allowed / game116.9117.8116.0
Point differential+2.0+4.8-0.8
Avg total235.8240.3231.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)17% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game113.7117.9108.7
Allowed / game111.8110.5113.3
Point differential+1.9+7.4-4.6
Avg total225.5228.4222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)86% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Raptors 90548351373%118.3110.4+7.9
2 Greensboro Swarm46331372%124.3115.4+8.9
3 Austin Toros Spurs46321470%114.4110.1+4.3
4 Osceola Magic47321568%120.0112.7+7.3
5 South Bay Lakers46301665%120.1113.3+6.8
6 Cleveland Charge46301665%125.2119.0+6.2
7 Stockton Kings45281762%116.5112.5+4.0
8 Mexico City Capitanes46281861%113.7111.8+1.9
9 Rio Grande Valley Vipers46281861%117.9116.3+1.6
10 Iowa Wolves47272057%122.6119.0+3.6
11 Motor City Cruise46262057%118.3115.7+2.7
12 Sioux Falls Skyforce47262155%118.9116.9+2.0
13 Long Island Nets46252154%114.6113.0+1.5
14 Salt Lake City Stars48262254%124.1120.1+4.1
15 Rip City Remix48262254%121.2121.0+0.2
16 San Diego Clippers47252253%114.7116.1-1.4
17 Maine Celtics48252352%112.0112.9-0.9
18 Capital City Go-Go47232449%114.9113.4+1.5
19 Windy City Bulls47222547%122.3125.4-3.1
20 Noblesville Boom48202842%117.6118.6-1.0
21 Grand Rapids Gold48202842%117.8120.6-2.7
22 Delaware Blue Coats47192840%118.2122.0-3.8
23 Birmingham Squadron47192840%108.0114.3-6.3
24 Texas Legends47182938%114.9116.4-1.5
25 College Park Skyhawks46172937%115.8122.3-6.5
26 Memphis Hustle46163035%113.5118.4-4.9
27 Oklahoma City Blue45153033%110.7117.3-6.6
28 Santa Cruz Warriors45143131%111.5117.0-5.5
29 Wisconsin Herd46133328%107.1111.8-4.8
30 Valley Suns47133428%113.1119.5-6.4
31 Westchester47123526%108.8118.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sioux Falls Skyforce32311824105
Mexico City Capitanes25322732116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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