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Grand Rapids Gold vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Projected 114-119
Projected total 232.9
Final 114-120
32-34 26-29 28-24 28-33
Position#20
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game130.0
Grand Rapids Gold
USA
Vs
35%
65%
■ GRAN 35%■ SIOU 65%
Pythia win probability
Sioux Falls Skyforce 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game130.0
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Grand Rapids Gold v Sioux Falls Skyforce
08 Nov 2026
GRAN114
SIOU120
07 Nov 2026
GRAN116
SIOU130
14 Dec 2022
GRAN105
SIOU108
12 Dec 2022
GRAN83
SIOU89
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Grand Rapids Gold will host the Sioux Falls Skyforce on 8 November 2026 in a low-scoring G League matchup where the model projects a tight 114-119 finish, favouring the Skyforce with a 65% win probability against the Gold's 35%; the Skyforce are the model's favourite and the projected total of 232.9 points sits well below the 246.5 line, giving only a 24% chance of an over and a 4% overtime likelihood. The Gold, 0-1 in their first game of the season, have allowed 130.0 points per game while scoring 116.0, and their lone home outing mirrored that result with a 116-130 loss to Sioux Falls; in the last five games they have won once and lost four. The Skyforce, 1-0 overall, have posted 130.0 points scored and 116.0 allowed, and their single road game was a 130-116 victory over Grand Rapids; they have won two of their last five. Head-to-head, the Skyforce lead 7-2, most recently defeating the Gold 130-116 on 7 November 2026. The Skyforce's recent win over Grand Rapids and the Gold's single loss suggest the Skyforce will likely edge the contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grand Rapids Gold winLost
34.9%fair 2.87
Best odds1.75
Implied53.5%
Edge-18.6pp
Sioux Falls Skyforce winWon
65.1%fair 1.54
Best odds2.01
Implied46.5%
Edge+18.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Grand Rapids GoldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capital City Go-Go
#18
L
120-126
120
126
-6
H06/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
H10/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
L
95-122
95
122
-27
H11/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A13/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
131-125 OT
131
125
+6
H15/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
127-130 OT
127
130
-3
H17/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
98-111
98
111
-13
A21/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
111-119
111
119
-8
A22/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
W
123-101
123
101
+22
H27/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#7
L
116-130
116
130
-14
H08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-35
36-29
27-23
23-39
31-23
27-29
22-30
28-26
25-28
28-28
25-37
17-29
20-19
19-25
15-26
37-26
32-37
21-28
34-28
36-30
30-37
28-36
35-29
29-20
25-28
31-30
26-28
16-25
28-23
32-40
29-28
22-28
35-20
25-25
31-26
32-30
27-26
26-35
29-37
34-32
229.9Avg total
112.4Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)116.0130.0246.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)116.0130.0246.0-14.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.4117.5229.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)115.0118.2233.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)109.5123.4232.9-13.90%
vs Similar (17)114.8118.1232.9-3.441%
vs Weaker (3)125.7126.3252.0-0.733%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
119-82
119
82
+37
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
131-89
131
89
+42
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
105-116
105
116
-11
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
132-140
132
140
-8
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#20
W
130-116
130
116
+14
A08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
25-16
42-22
21-20
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
33-20
36-29
31-24
31-16
32-25
31-32
18-27
24-32
23-31
35-37
36-32
20-37
31-36
36-35
39-38
26-31
26-27
35-26
37-29
32-34
235.5Avg total
120.6Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)130.0116.0246.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)130.0116.0246.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)120.6114.9235.5+5.750%
Last 5 (5)122.4119.6242.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)118.8124.5243.2-5.825%
vs Similar (16)117.9112.7230.6+5.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)118.9112.8231.7+6.150%
This opponent (Grand Rapids Gold) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 241.5Actual: Under 241.5
Over 241.5
32.5%
Under 241.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 246.5 · main lineActual: Under 246.5
Over 246.5
23.7%
@ 1.84-27.3pp
Under 246.5
76.3%
@ 1.91+27.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.91
Over/Under 251.5Actual: Under 251.5
Over 251.5
16.4%
Under 251.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Grand Rapids Gold total 120.5Actual: Grand Rapids Gold under 120.5
Over 120.5
28.9%
@ 1.52-31.5pp
Under 120.5
71.1%
@ 2.32+31.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.32
Grand Rapids Gold total 124.5 · main lineActual: Grand Rapids Gold under 124.5
Over 124.5
18.6%
@ 1.86-31.1pp
Under 124.5
81.4%
@ 1.84+31.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Grand Rapids Gold total 128.5Actual: Grand Rapids Gold under 128.5
Over 128.5
11.0%
@ 2.36-27.9pp
Under 128.5
89.0%
@ 1.50+27.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.50
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 118.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 118.5
Over 118.5
51.8%
@ 1.50-9.4pp
Under 118.5
48.2%
@ 2.37+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.37
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 122.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce under 122.5
Over 122.5
38.4%
@ 1.83-12.1pp
Under 122.5
61.6%
@ 1.87+12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 126.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce under 126.5
Over 126.5
26.2%
@ 2.31-13.5pp
Under 126.5
73.8%
@ 1.52+13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.52

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Grand Rapids Gold -3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +3
GRAN -3
27.7%
SIOU +3
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Grand Rapids Gold 0Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce 0
GRAN 0
34.9%
SIOU 0
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Grand Rapids Gold +3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce -3
GRAN +3
42.2%
SIOU -3
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
Grand Rapids GoldSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Grand Rapids GoldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capital City Go-Go
#18
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H06/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H10/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A13/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H15/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A21/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A22/03
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#24
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H27/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#7
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H08/11
NBA - G League
114.1Avg total
56.0Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 123.5
Last 30 (30)57.059.9116.8-2.927%33%
Last 30 at home (15)57.159.5116.5-2.433%33%
Last 30 away (15)56.960.3117.1-3.420%33%
Last 10 (10)56.058.1114.1-2.130%20%
Last 5 (5)57.460.0117.4-2.620%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)56.158.7114.8-2.630%10%
vs Similar (17)57.159.0116.1-1.929%41%
vs Weaker (3)59.368.7128.0-9.30%67%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A06/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#20
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/11
NBA - G League
116.9Avg total
61.5Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 123.5
Last 30 (30)60.756.1116.8+4.567%33%
Last 30 at home (16)62.656.2118.8+6.469%38%
Last 30 away (14)58.556.1114.6+2.464%29%
Last 10 (10)61.555.4116.9+6.170%40%
Last 5 (5)63.659.6123.2+4.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.861.2124.0+1.525%50%
vs Similar (16)61.455.3116.8+6.175%31%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)58.655.4114.0+3.270%30%
This opponent (Grand Rapids Gold) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Grand Rapids Gold -1.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +1.5
GRAN -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
SIOU +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Over/Under 123.5 · main lineActual: Under 123.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Grand Rapids Gold 1st half total 61.5 · main lineActual: Grand Rapids Gold under 61.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Sioux Falls Skyforce 1st half total 61.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 61.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Grand Rapids Gold -2.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +2.5
GRAN -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
SIOU +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Over/Under 121.5Actual: Under 121.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.03
1st half Over/Under 125.5Actual: Under 125.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.64
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce (regulation)
GRAN
no forecast
@ 1.81
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
SIOU
no forecast
@ 2.02

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Grand Rapids Gold under 121.573.9%2.17
1xBet
2.17		----+31.8ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 122.576.6%2.04
1xBet
2.04		----+31.7ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 120.571.1%2.32
1xBet
2.32		----+31.5ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 123.579.1%1.92
1xBet
1.92		----+31.4ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 124.581.4%1.84
1xBet
1.84		----+31.1ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 125.583.6%1.72
1xBet
1.72		----+30.4ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 126.585.6%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+29.8ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 127.587.4%1.57
1xBet
1.57		----+28.9ppWon
Grand Rapids Gold under 128.589.0%1.50
1xBet
1.50		----+27.9ppWon
Under 243.571.2%2.13
1xBet
2.13		----+27.7ppWon
Under 244.573.0%2.04
1xBet
2.04		----+27.7ppWon
Under 245.574.7%1.96
1xBet
1.96		----+27.5ppWon
Under 246.576.3%1.91
1xBet
1.91		----+27.3ppWon
Under 247.577.9%1.81
1xBet
1.81		----+26.8ppWon
Under 248.579.4%1.75
1xBet
1.75		----+26.6ppWon
Under 249.580.9%1.69
1xBet
1.69		----+26.2ppWon
Under 250.582.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+25.8ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce under 126.573.8%1.52
1xBet
1.52		----+13.5ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce under 125.570.9%1.59
1xBet
1.59		----+13.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Grand Rapids Gold wins
7
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Grand Rapids Gold v Sioux Falls Skyforce116-130
30/11/25Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold115-126
30/11/25Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold140-130
08/12/24Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold112-114
07/12/23Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold123-112
17/11/23Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold100-94
15/12/22Grand Rapids Gold v Sioux Falls Skyforce105-108
13/12/22Grand Rapids Gold v Sioux Falls Skyforce83-89
24/11/22Sioux Falls Skyforce v Grand Rapids Gold102-93
Grand Rapids Goldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HSioux Falls Skyforce116-130
27/03/26HBirmingham Squadron123-101
22/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers111-119
21/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers98-111
17/03/26HOklahoma City Blue127-130 OT
15/03/26HOklahoma City Blue131-125 OT
13/03/26AMaine Celtics91-96
11/03/26HBirmingham Squadron95-122
10/03/26HMexico City Capitanes112-115 OT
06/03/26HCapital City Go-Go120-126
Sioux Falls Skyforcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AGrand Rapids Gold130-116
29/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers132-140
27/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers114-137
22/03/26HMexico City Capitanes105-116
21/03/26HMexico City Capitanes131-89
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109
06/03/26AMemphis Hustle119-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grand Rapids Gold
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game116.0116.0-
Allowed / game130.0130.0-
Point differential-14.0-14.0-
Avg total246.0246.0-
Over 246.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game130.0-130.0
Allowed / game116.0-116.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total246.0-246.0
Over 246.50%-0%
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware Blue Coats110100%147.0122.0+25.0
2 Santa Cruz Warriors110100%127.0108.0+19.0
3 Wisconsin Herd110100%142.0124.0+18.0
4 Maine Celtics220100%109.593.5+16.0
5 Windy City Bulls220100%131.0115.0+16.0
6 Mexico City Capitanes110100%94.079.0+15.0
7 Sioux Falls Skyforce110100%130.0116.0+14.0
8 College Park Skyhawks220100%126.5120.5+6.0
9 South Bay Lakers110100%104.098.0+6.0
10 Austin Toros Spurs110100%120.0116.0+4.0
11 San Diego Clippers110100%127.0126.0+1.0
12 Greensboro Swarm21150%108.0104.5+3.5
13 Long Island Nets21150%104.5108.0-3.5
14 Valley Suns1010%126.0127.0-1.0
15 Rio Grande Valley Vipers1010%116.0120.0-4.0
16 Raptors 9052020%120.5126.5-6.0
17 Salt Lake City Stars1010%98.0104.0-6.0
18 Grand Rapids Gold1010%116.0130.0-14.0
19 Oklahoma City Blue1010%79.094.0-15.0
20 Noblesville Boom2020%115.0131.0-16.0
21 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
22 Iowa Wolves1010%124.0142.0-18.0
23 Stockton Kings1010%108.0127.0-19.0
24 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grand Rapids Gold32262828114
Sioux Falls Skyforce34292433120
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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