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Great Britain vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-93
14-32 13-19 19-14 11-28
Position#81
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#29
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Vertu Motors Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Great Britain v Italy
27 Feb 2026
GREA57
ITAL93
08 Sep 2022
GREA56
ITAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Great Britain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Great BritainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBritain
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 61
H27/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
79-109
79
109
-30
68avg 61
A29/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
59-78
59
78
-19
51avg 61
H30/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
57-120
57
120
-63
36avg 61
A01/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 61
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#41
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-23
18-17
17-20
20-14
11-15
18-21
24-19
23-15
17-20
32-18
24-22
15-23
18-18
17-24
20-29
21-30
21-28
14-23
23-28
13-19
17-16
17-26
12-17
19-32
12-26
9-30
17-32
25-26
23-16
20-21
21-20
21-16
30-22
16-30
21-21
17-17
26-18
26-16
21-33
164.6Avg total
76.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.086.5175.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
Season away (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.887.8164.6-11.040%
Last 5 (5)76.690.8167.4-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.087.5158.5-16.414%
vs Similar (6)81.879.8161.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (3)77.785.7163.3-8.067%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Turkey
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 74
A28/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
78-62
78
62
+16
74avg 74
H30/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 74
A31/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
67-63
67
63
+4
58avg 74
H02/09
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
89-54
89
54
+35
87avg 74
H04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
77avg 74
H07/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#60
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
31-19
12-19
20-17
10-13
17-19
23-10
17-29
12-22
20-14
13-20
21-19
18-10
14-22
21-15
25-15
22-21
22-19
28-21
24-18
10-18
20-18
19-11
18-16
24-6
16-13
27-24
22-11
11-29
29-21
16-22
21-12
21-21
13-17
20-23
22-20
16-19
18-20
20-15
28-27
149.5Avg total
77.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Season away (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.871.7149.5+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.272.6150.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.878.7160.5+3.267%
vs Similar (11)79.378.7158.0+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.671.5154.1+11.269%
This opponent (Great Britain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Great BritainItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Great BritainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A29/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A01/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#41
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H27/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A30/11
World Cup
79.2Avg total
38.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.278.8-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.839.976.7-3.121%-
Last 30 away (16)38.242.380.6-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.179.2-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.341.577.9-5.214%-
vs Similar (6)40.340.881.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)40.739.780.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#20
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H30/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H07/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#60
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A30/11
World Cup
71.4Avg total
36.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.276.4+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.436.974.3+0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.037.578.5+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.371.4+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.340.780.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (11)39.138.277.3+0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.234.773.9+4.546%-
This opponent (Great Britain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Great Britaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Great Britain: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.015.4
42.8%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
-17.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.8
49.1%
-33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.6
34.0%
-28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
-15.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Great Britain
WLWLLLLWWL
Italy
WLLWWWWLLW
#81
League position
#29
-16.6
Net rating
+12.0
95.2
Offensive rating
108.6
111.8
Defensive rating
96.7
45.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.9%
3-point %
34.0%
69.5%
Assist %
75.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Great Britain   ■ Italy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Great Britain wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
08/09/22Great Britain v Italy56-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AIceland90-84
27/11/25HLithuania88-89
03/09/25AMontenegro89-83
01/09/25AGermany57-120
30/08/25HSweden59-78
29/08/25AFinland79-109
27/08/25HLithuania70-94
24/02/25HCzech Republic96-75
21/02/25ANetherlands73-69
24/11/24AGreece67-77
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ALithuania82-81
27/11/25HIceland76-81
07/09/25HSlovenia77-84
04/09/25HCyprus89-54
02/09/25HSpain67-63
31/08/25ABosnia & Herzegovina96-79
30/08/25HGeorgia78-62
28/08/25AGreece66-75
23/02/25HHungary67-71
20/02/25ATurkey80-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Great Britain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game89.088.090.0
Allowed / game86.589.084.0
Point differential+2.5-1.0+6.0
Avg total175.5177.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.076.082.0
Allowed / game81.081.081.0
Point differential-2.0-5.0+1.0
Avg total160.0157.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
3 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
4 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
5 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
6 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
7 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
8 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
9 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
10 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
11 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
12 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
13 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
14 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
15 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
16 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
17 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
18 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
19 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
20 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
21 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
34 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
35 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
36 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
37 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
38 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
39 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
40 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
41 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
42 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
43 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
44 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
45 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
46 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
47 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
48 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
49 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
50 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
58 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
59 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
64 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
70 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
71 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
72 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
73 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
74 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
75 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
76 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
77 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
78 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
79 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
80 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
81 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
82 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
83 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
84 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
85 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Great Britain1413191157
Italy3219142893
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