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Guangzhou vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 64-85
17-27 7-25 18-16 22-17
Position#13
Record19-24
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#6
Record27-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game89.3
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Guangdong
31 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
01 May 2026
GUAN64
GUAN85
23 Dec 2025
GUAN85
GUAN93
16 Jan 2025
GUAN77
GUAN85
03 Jan 2024
GUAN93
GUAN105
17 Mar 2023
GUAN79
GUAN101
13 Mar 2022
GUAN120
GUAN101
01 Mar 2021
GUAN98
GUAN105
22 Dec 2019
GUAN90
GUAN116
08 Nov 2018
GUAN110
GUAN125
27 Dec 2017
GUAN101
GUAN113
18 Dec 2016
GUAN80
GUAN101
03 Feb 2016
GUAN105
GUAN121
14 Nov 2014
GUAN116
GUAN123
13 Nov 2013
GUAN72
GUAN81
22 Jan 2013
GUAN114
GUAN127
13 Jan 2012
GUAN124
GUAN133
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
27-16
18-22
22-27
21-22
21-32
21-18
18-16
14-25
33-34
18-24
29-20
24-23
17-17
25-26
29-15
19-23
20-15
24-12
17-17
22-21
23-25
26-23
18-21
20-9
22-23
26-13
25-30
18-23
25-20
30-29
28-22
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
177.1Avg total
90.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)87.788.2176.0-0.544%
Season at home (21)89.788.3178.0+1.448%
Season away (22)85.988.2174.1-2.341%
Last 10 (10)90.187.0177.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)92.486.8179.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.492.3176.7-7.913%
vs Similar (11)91.587.0178.5+4.555%
vs Weaker (4)95.081.2176.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H04/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
117-84
117
84
+33
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
96-106
96
106
-10
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H28/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
23-25
24-20
25-14
23-28
16-28
27-23
20-20
26-28
24-30
19-24
29-16
31-22
25-19
35-24
26-19
27-22
24-18
24-21
16-24
16-26
23-20
16-13
22-15
26-18
27-25
16-26
14-26
21-26
27-25
21-23
27-32
25-17
26-25
16-20
24-31
25-20
12-22
20-23
19-28
184.1Avg total
92.7Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)94.089.3183.3+4.663%
Season at home (22)93.589.7183.2+3.864%
Season away (21)94.489.0183.4+5.562%
Last 10 (10)92.791.4184.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)84.692.2176.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.3101.3180.7-22.00%
vs Similar (11)92.392.9185.2-0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.383.8180.1+12.662%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
GuangzhouGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
88.1Avg total
42.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.089.2-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.444.990.3+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.145.188.1-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.488.1-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.348.091.3-4.727%-
vs Similar (11)45.843.589.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.581.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H04/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/04
CBA
94.0Avg total
47.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.192.8+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.844.991.8+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)48.845.394.1+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)47.546.594.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.890.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (11)46.548.294.7-1.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)50.941.392.2+9.688%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.0
53.1%
54.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
35.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.917.1
81.8%
73.6%17.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.4
58.1%
54.6%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
73.6%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLWWLWWLLL
Guangdong
LLLLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#6
+2.6
Net rating
+1.4
99.0
Offensive rating
100.6
96.5
Defensive rating
99.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
30.6%
53.5%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 100.6Defence96.5 · 99.2Shooting53.0% · 53.2%3-point %35.2% · 30.6%Ball care13.8% · 11.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
28/04/26Guangdong v Guangzhou76-93
23/12/25Guangzhou v Guangdong85-93
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
20/04/26HFujian101-94
18/04/26AJilin93-75
15/04/26HShanghai89-90
13/04/26HJiangsu Dragons80-67
11/04/26ANanjing Tongxi95-81
08/04/26HBeijing94-103
06/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha81-88
03/04/26ABeijing89-97
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26HGuangzhou76-93
24/04/26AFujian91-93
20/04/26AShanxi Zhongyu96-106
18/04/26HFujian83-95
14/04/26HNingbo Rockets77-74
12/04/26AZhejiang Guangsha91-85
10/04/26HJilin117-84
08/04/26AQingdao110-105 OT
06/04/26AShandong86-99
04/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLWLWL48%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %44%48%41%
Points / game87.789.785.9
Allowed / game88.288.388.2
Point differential-0.5+1.4-2.3
Avg total176.0178.0174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL63%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game94.093.594.4
Allowed / game89.389.789.0
Point differential+4.6+3.8+5.5
Avg total183.3183.2183.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4238490%100.183.5+16.6
2 Zhejiang Guangsha4233979%91.782.4+9.4
3 Shenzhen42301271%99.394.2+5.1
4 Beijing42291369%90.582.4+8.1
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou43281565%87.181.0+6.1
6 Guangdong43271663%94.089.3+4.6
7 Qingdao43251858%88.285.0+3.2
8 Shandong43241956%92.689.7+2.8
9 Liaoning43241956%86.084.1+1.9
10 Shanxi Zhongyu43232053%92.790.3+2.4
11 Ningbo Rockets43212249%85.283.9+1.3
12 Guangzhou43192444%87.788.2-0.5
13 Beijing Royal Fighters42182443%89.193.3-4.2
14 Fujian42172540%92.094.4-2.3
15 Jilin42152736%81.990.3-8.5
16 Xinjiang42142833%86.487.8-1.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi42142833%90.695.9-5.3
18 Tianjin42132931%93.396.9-3.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons42123029%81.990.8-8.9
20 Sichuan420420%72.9100.3-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou177182264
Guangdong2725161785
← all games of the day
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