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Guangdong vs Beijing Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 102-99 (OT)
29-29 14-23 29-23 19-16 11-8
Position#6
Record29-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#4
Record30-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game82.7
ChinaCBACBA - Quarter-finals· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Beijing
19 Mar 2027
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
29 Jan 2027
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
09 May 2026
GUAN102
BEIJ99
27 Mar 2026
GUAN93
BEIJ96
12 Dec 2024
GUAN106
BEIJ90
19 Jan 2024
GUAN104
BEIJ87
13 Dec 2023
GUAN106
BEIJ95
07 Dec 2022
GUAN91
BEIJ74
06 Nov 2021
GUAN67
BEIJ91
18 Apr 2021
GUAN104
BEIJ103
24 Mar 2021
GUAN94
BEIJ89
14 Dec 2020
GUAN118
BEIJ101
08 Aug 2020
GUAN88
BEIJ85
04 Aug 2020
GUAN111
BEIJ109
26 Jul 2020
GUAN101
BEIJ82
25 Dec 2018
GUAN96
BEIJ87
01 Feb 2018
GUAN109
BEIJ96
05 Feb 2017
GUAN103
BEIJ98
03 Jan 2016
GUAN117
BEIJ87
01 Mar 2015
GUAN110
BEIJ99
27 Feb 2015
GUAN96
BEIJ103
17 Dec 2014
GUAN122
BEIJ98
13 Mar 2014
GUAN102
BEIJ110
08 Mar 2014
GUAN104
BEIJ109
06 Mar 2014
GUAN99
BEIJ96
12 Jan 2014
GUAN107
BEIJ90
25 Dec 2012
GUAN100
BEIJ110
25 Mar 2012
GUAN111
BEIJ93
23 Mar 2012
GUAN106
BEIJ109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
117-84
117
84
+33
122avg 89
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 89
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
65avg 89
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 89
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
96-106
96
106
-10
89avg 89
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
91-93
91
93
-2
89avg 89
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
76-93
76
93
-17
62avg 89
H28/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 89
A01/05
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
113avg 89
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
86avg 89
A06/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
25-19
35-24
26-19
27-22
24-18
24-21
16-24
16-26
23-20
16-13
22-15
26-18
27-25
16-26
14-26
21-26
27-25
21-23
27-32
25-17
26-25
16-20
24-31
25-20
12-22
20-23
19-28
27-17
25-7
16-18
17-22
23-20
29-27
18-16
20-17
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
177.6Avg total
90.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)93.788.8182.5+4.863%
Season at home (23)93.389.3182.6+4.165%
Season away (23)94.088.4182.4+5.661%
Last 10 (10)90.087.6177.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)87.286.4173.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.595.5178.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.493.7186.1-1.250%
vs Weaker (16)95.782.1177.8+13.669%
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 87
H03/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
106-92
106
92
+14
101avg 87
H06/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
103-94
103
94
+9
97avg 87
A08/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 87
A10/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 87
H12/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
87-70
87
70
+17
82avg 87
H14/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 87
A17/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
92avg 87
A19/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
105-55
105
55
+50
115avg 87
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
104avg 87
H06/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
16-27
22-18
27-22
25-22
21-34
27-13
33-23
25-14
34-33
24-18
20-29
20-16
16-13
23-18
25-18
18-24
18-28
24-17
23-19
19-21
30-24
23-14
15-11
21-14
23-25
28-21
20-16
22-20
21-29
26-19
26-22
27-8
34-13
23-25
21-9
25-29
24-20
31-19
22-26
176.7Avg total
95.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)90.882.7173.5+8.170%
Season at home (22)92.281.2173.4+11.073%
Season away (21)89.484.3173.7+5.167%
Last 10 (10)95.481.3176.7+14.190%
Last 5 (5)96.277.0173.2+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.087.0162.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.583.1170.6+4.475%
vs Weaker (20)91.783.0174.6+8.775%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
GuangdongBeijing
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A01/05
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
91.3Avg total
48.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.644.392.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.443.490.8+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)49.745.294.9+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)48.842.591.3+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.889.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.551.086.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.848.295.0-1.542%-
vs Weaker (16)51.640.592.1+11.188%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H03/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H06/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A10/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H12/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H14/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
61-21
61
21
+40
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/05
CBA
90.7Avg total
47.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.088.3+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.342.387.6+3.038%-
Last 30 away (14)45.143.989.0+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)47.143.690.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)49.240.689.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.046.087.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.646.190.8-1.538%-
vs Weaker (20)45.941.587.4+4.450%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.124.1
61.6%
54.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.7
31.3%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
73.6%12.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.3
55.2%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.8
42.1%
35.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
73.6%15.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWWLLLLWWW
Beijing
WWWWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#4
+7.7
Net rating
+16.2
104.4
Offensive rating
109.6
96.7
Defensive rating
93.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
58.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
11.9%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
42.1%
66.6%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 109.6Defence96.7 · 93.4Shooting55.1% · 58.5%3-point %31.3% · 42.1%Ball care11.9% · 10.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Guangdong   ■ Beijing
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangdong wins
4
Beijing wins
DateGameScore
06/05/26Beijing v Guangdong102-94
27/03/26Guangdong v Beijing93-96
01/01/26Beijing v Guangdong105-74
12/12/24Guangdong v Beijing106-90
25/10/24Beijing v Guangdong105-101
27/03/24Beijing v Guangdong92-110
19/01/24Guangdong v Beijing104-87
13/12/23Guangdong v Beijing106-95
09/12/23Beijing v Guangdong110-114
30/12/22Beijing v Guangdong84-102
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26ABeijing94-102
03/05/26HGuangzhou90-80
01/05/26AGuangzhou85-64
28/04/26HGuangzhou76-93
24/04/26AFujian91-93
20/04/26AShanxi Zhongyu96-106
18/04/26HFujian83-95
14/04/26HNingbo Rockets77-74
12/04/26AZhejiang Guangsha91-85
10/04/26HJilin117-84
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HGuangdong102-94
24/04/26HJilin105-55
19/04/26AQingdao95-90
17/04/26AShandong92-76
14/04/26HQingdao87-70
12/04/26HShanghai83-88
10/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-65
08/04/26AGuangzhou103-94
06/04/26HNanjing Tongxi106-92
03/04/26HGuangzhou97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWWLLW65%
AwayWLLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %63%65%61%
Points / game93.793.394.0
Allowed / game88.889.388.4
Point differential+4.8+4.1+5.6
Avg total182.5182.6182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%26%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %7%9%4%
Beijing
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game90.892.289.4
Allowed / game82.781.284.3
Point differential+8.1+11.0+5.1
Avg total173.5173.4173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)25% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4339491%99.883.4+16.3
2 Zhejiang Guangsha43331077%91.782.6+9.1
3 Shenzhen43311272%99.594.2+5.3
4 Beijing43301370%90.882.7+8.1
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou45291664%87.281.6+5.6
6 Guangdong46291763%93.788.8+4.8
7 Qingdao44251957%88.385.3+3.0
8 Shandong46262057%92.689.3+3.2
9 Shanxi Zhongyu45252056%92.890.4+2.4
10 Liaoning45242153%86.084.8+1.1
11 Ningbo Rockets44212348%85.183.9+1.2
12 Beijing Royal Fighters42182443%89.193.3-4.2
13 Guangzhou45192642%87.088.2-1.2
14 Fujian42172540%92.094.4-2.3
15 Jilin42152736%81.990.3-8.5
16 Xinjiang42142833%86.487.8-1.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi42142833%90.695.9-5.3
18 Tianjin42132931%93.396.9-3.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons42123029%81.990.8-8.9
20 Sichuan420420%72.9100.3-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guangdong2914291911102
Beijing29232316899
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