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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 90-80
23-20 29-27 18-16 20-17
Position#6
Record28-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#13
Record19-25
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game88.2
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
03 May 2026
GUAN90
GUAN80
28 Apr 2026
GUAN76
GUAN93
19 Dec 2025
GUAN97
GUAN94
24 Jan 2025
GUAN111
GUAN82
13 Nov 2024
GUAN88
GUAN68
31 Mar 2024
GUAN124
GUAN97
10 Dec 2022
GUAN101
GUAN94
05 Mar 2022
GUAN98
GUAN89
14 Mar 2021
GUAN110
GUAN104
14 Jul 2020
GUAN121
GUAN99
18 Jan 2019
GUAN131
GUAN106
31 Oct 2017
GUAN105
GUAN94
19 Feb 2017
GUAN117
GUAN96
06 Nov 2015
GUAN127
GUAN100
28 Dec 2014
GUAN122
GUAN109
28 Dec 2013
GUAN87
GUAN88
14 Dec 2012
GUAN94
GUAN102
04 Dec 2011
GUAN116
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
117-84
117
84
+33
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
96-106
96
106
-10
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H28/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A01/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
16-28
27-23
20-20
26-28
24-30
19-24
29-16
31-22
25-19
35-24
26-19
27-22
24-18
24-21
16-24
16-26
23-20
16-13
22-15
26-18
27-25
16-26
14-26
21-26
27-25
21-23
27-32
25-17
26-25
16-20
24-31
25-20
12-22
20-23
19-28
27-17
25-7
16-18
17-22
181.0Avg total
91.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)93.888.8182.5+5.064%
Season at home (22)93.589.7183.2+3.864%
Season away (22)94.087.8181.8+6.264%
Last 10 (10)91.289.8181.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)86.290.2176.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.3101.3180.7-22.00%
vs Similar (11)92.392.9185.2-0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.283.3179.5+12.962%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-32
21-18
18-16
14-25
33-34
18-24
29-20
24-23
17-17
25-26
29-15
19-23
20-15
24-12
17-17
22-21
23-25
26-23
18-21
20-9
22-23
26-13
25-30
18-23
25-20
30-29
28-22
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
173.4Avg total
87.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)87.288.2175.4-1.043%
Season at home (22)88.588.1176.6+0.445%
Season away (22)85.988.2174.1-2.341%
Last 10 (10)87.685.8173.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)87.485.8173.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.792.0175.7-8.313%
vs Similar (11)91.587.0178.5+4.555%
vs Weaker (4)95.081.2176.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A24/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A01/05
CBA
91.9Avg total
47.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.244.993.1+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.844.991.8+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)49.844.994.7+4.957%-
Last 10 (10)47.644.391.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.488.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (11)46.548.294.7-1.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)51.841.092.8+10.888%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
86.0Avg total
40.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.289.1-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.145.389.4-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.188.7-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.886.0-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.281.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.548.591.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (11)45.843.589.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.581.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.9
58.2%
54.6%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.2
29.3%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.014.8
67.3%
73.6%14.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
35.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.616.6
80.6%
73.6%16.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLLLLWWWWL
Guangzhou
LWLWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#13
+1.5
Net rating
+1.1
100.0
Offensive rating
96.6
98.5
Defensive rating
95.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.3%
3-point %
34.4%
68.9%
Assist %
55.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 96.6Defence98.5 · 95.5Shooting52.7% · 52.5%3-point %29.3% · 34.4%Ball care11.7% · 14.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
01/05/26Guangzhou v Guangdong64-85
28/04/26Guangdong v Guangzhou76-93
23/12/25Guangzhou v Guangdong85-93
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26AGuangzhou85-64
28/04/26HGuangzhou76-93
24/04/26AFujian91-93
20/04/26AShanxi Zhongyu96-106
18/04/26HFujian83-95
14/04/26HNingbo Rockets77-74
12/04/26AZhejiang Guangsha91-85
10/04/26HJilin117-84
08/04/26AQingdao110-105 OT
06/04/26AShandong86-99
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
20/04/26HFujian101-94
18/04/26AJilin93-75
15/04/26HShanghai89-90
13/04/26HJiangsu Dragons80-67
11/04/26ANanjing Tongxi95-81
08/04/26HBeijing94-103
06/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW64%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game93.893.594.0
Allowed / game88.889.787.8
Point differential+5.0+3.8+6.2
Avg total182.5183.2181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %43%45%41%
Points / game87.288.585.9
Allowed / game88.288.188.2
Point differential-1.0+0.4-2.3
Avg total175.4176.6174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4238490%100.183.5+16.6
2 Zhejiang Guangsha4233979%91.782.4+9.4
3 Shenzhen42301271%99.394.2+5.1
4 Beijing42291369%90.582.4+8.1
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou44291566%87.081.0+6.0
6 Guangdong44281664%93.888.8+5.0
7 Shandong44251957%92.889.6+3.1
8 Qingdao44251957%88.385.3+3.0
9 Shanxi Zhongyu44242055%92.890.4+2.5
10 Liaoning44242055%86.084.5+1.5
11 Ningbo Rockets44212348%85.183.9+1.2
12 Guangzhou44192543%87.288.2-1.0
13 Beijing Royal Fighters42182443%89.193.3-4.2
14 Fujian42172540%92.094.4-2.3
15 Jilin42152736%81.990.3-8.5
16 Xinjiang42142833%86.487.8-1.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi42142833%90.695.9-5.3
18 Tianjin42132931%93.396.9-3.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons42123029%81.990.8-8.9
20 Sichuan420420%72.9100.3-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2329182090
Guangzhou2027161780
← all games of the day
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