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Guangdong vs Qingdao Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 105-96
24-28 23-28 34-23 24-17
Position#8
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game99.4
vs
Position#7
Record19-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game100.2
ChinaCBARound 29· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Qingdao
02 Nov 2026
GUAN109
QING112
21 Dec 2025
GUAN89
QING80
10 Jan 2025
GUAN105
QING96
16 Jan 2024
GUAN99
QING109
08 Mar 2023
GUAN94
QING85
23 Jan 2022
GUAN98
QING91
03 Mar 2021
GUAN135
QING122
02 Aug 2020
GUAN110
QING88
08 Jul 2020
GUAN114
QING111
16 Nov 2018
GUAN120
QING99
23 Jan 2018
GUAN119
QING104
16 Jan 2017
GUAN125
QING96
13 Nov 2015
GUAN118
QING109
09 Nov 2014
GUAN127
QING116
13 Dec 2013
GUAN106
QING85
17 Feb 2013
GUAN121
QING104
08 Jan 2012
GUAN127
QING117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 105
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
107-113
107
113
-6
113avg 105
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 105
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 105
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 105
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 105
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
115avg 105
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
108avg 105
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 105
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
121avg 105
A08/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
30-28
32-12
25-33
30-31
32-34
26-27
19-21
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
25-22
38-17
27-13
16-13
24-24
19-23
19-20
27-28
33-21
25-29
28-30
24-23
27-26
24-30
28-23
19-14
27-28
28-21
17-22
19-13
22-24
44-25
30-33
24-29
196.2Avg total
102.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)104.899.4204.2+5.361%
Season at home (15)106.599.9206.4+6.767%
Season away (13)102.798.9201.6+3.854%
Last 10 (10)102.793.5196.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)101.697.2198.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)99.5100.6200.2-1.154%
vs Weaker (13)108.792.8201.5+15.985%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
114-102
114
102
+12
115avg 98
H19/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 98
A21/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 98
A23/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
123-95
123
95
+28
124avg 98
H25/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
121-109
121
109
+12
116avg 98
A27/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
72avg 98
A30/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
126-108
126
108
+18
131avg 98
H01/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
129-122
129
122
+7
123avg 98
H03/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 98
A05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 98
A08/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
30-24
33-29
24-22
21-32
28-20
25-26
29-22
21-18
20-22
20-25
22-27
32-21
33-24
23-22
35-28
29-30
29-27
26-28
37-24
23-31
26-33
22-19
18-20
39-23
26-28
27-25
34-32
37-23
25-34
35-33
32-32
26-26
27-21
26-23
24-20
33-29
30-22
21-19
23-25
211.4Avg total
109.8Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)104.6100.2204.9+4.468%
Season at home (14)110.6101.4212.0+9.371%
Season away (14)98.699.1197.7-0.464%
Last 10 (10)109.8101.6211.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)110.8103.6214.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.3101.0190.3-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)96.5102.0198.5-5.530%
vs Weaker (17)107.896.5204.2+11.394%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
GuangdongQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A08/01
CBA
105.4Avg total
55.7Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.650.4105.0+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.850.4106.2+5.453%-
Last 30 away (13)53.150.3103.4+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)55.749.7105.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.650.2104.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.351.8103.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker (13)60.848.5109.3+12.492%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H19/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A21/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H25/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A27/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A30/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H03/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A08/01
CBA
107.7Avg total
56.2Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.950.5102.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.549.3102.8+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)50.251.7101.9-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)56.251.5107.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.0112.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.058.3104.3-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)48.351.8100.1-3.540%-
vs Weaker (17)55.048.3103.3+6.776%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.6
56.9%
52.6%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.3
36.0%
35.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
76.3%16.6
They take 76.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.028.6
57.2%
52.6%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.920.7
77.0%
76.3%20.7
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWWWLWLWLW
Qingdao
WWWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#7
+10.3
Net rating
+8.3
115.4
Offensive rating
116.4
105.1
Defensive rating
108.1
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
35.8%
73.4%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 116.4Defence105.1 · 108.1Shooting55.7% · 55.9%3-point %36.0% · 35.8%Ball care16.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Guangdong   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangdong wins
2
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
18/10/24Qingdao v Guangdong113-118
16/01/24Guangdong v Qingdao99-109
05/11/23Qingdao v Guangdong109-111
15/03/23Qingdao v Guangdong76-66
08/03/23Guangdong v Qingdao94-85
23/01/22Guangdong v Qingdao98-91
18/10/21Qingdao v Guangdong90-103
12/03/21Qingdao v Guangdong104-120
03/03/21Guangdong v Qingdao135-122
02/08/20Guangdong v Qingdao110-88
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25ATianjin120-111
06/01/25AShenzhen91-84
04/01/25HShandong98-93
01/01/25HTianjin110-103
30/12/24ALiaoning89-95
28/12/24AJilin106-65
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72
21/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-113
18/12/24ANanjing Tongxi112-97
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AShenzhen107-95
05/01/25AGuangzhou103-90
03/01/25HShanxi Zhongyu129-122
01/01/25HSichuan126-108
30/12/24AZhejiang Guangsha89-103
27/12/24ANingbo Rockets121-109
25/12/24HTianjin123-95
23/12/24AShandong83-92
21/12/24ATianjin103-100
19/12/24HFujian114-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %61%67%54%
Points / game104.8106.5102.7
Allowed / game99.499.998.9
Point differential+5.3+6.7+3.8
Avg total204.2206.4201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game104.6110.698.6
Allowed / game100.2101.499.1
Point differential+4.4+9.3-0.4
Avg total204.9212.0197.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2824486%103.592.1+11.5
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2721678%115.6108.1+7.4
3 Xinjiang2720774%111.5102.5+9.0
4 Shandong2820871%106.0100.3+5.7
5 Beijing2719870%101.495.2+6.1
6 Liaoning2819968%105.297.1+8.1
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou2819968%113.6105.6+8.0
8 Qingdao2819968%104.6100.2+4.4
9 Guangdong28171161%104.899.4+5.3
10 Shanghai25151060%111.7105.6+6.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters27151256%105.4101.3+4.1
12 Nanjing Tongxi28131546%106.6108.6-2.0
13 Jilin28101836%101.5109.9-8.5
14 Shenzhen2882029%103.5107.8-4.3
15 Ningbo Rockets2882029%101.8113.1-11.3
16 Guangzhou2872125%98.3106.5-8.2
17 Sichuan2872125%101.2110.0-8.8
18 Tianjin2872125%100.2109.9-9.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons2852318%94.4103.1-8.7
20 Fujian2732411%102.8116.0-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong24233424105
Qingdao2828231796
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